2011 Fantasy Baseball Profile: Will Tommy Hanson Bounce Back?

Jan 28, 2011


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After going 11-4 as a rookie, there were high hopes for Tommy Hanson going into last season. Despite 75 more innings pitched, he finished with one fewer win en route to a 10-11 season.
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It would easy to be disappointed by the sub-.500 record, but there was more to the story. Despite a difference of 0.257 in winning percentage, his ERA went up just 0.44 to a rock solid 3.33. His WHIP actually dipped a bit from 1.18 to 1.17.
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While he struck out fewer per nine innings, he made great strides in his control picking up just ten additional walks in those extra 75 innings.
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A look at his splits are proof at how wins can be overrated. Take a look:
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Before the All-Star Game:  4.13 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, .271 BAA
After the All-Star Game:  2.51 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, .205 BAA
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Clearly he was 2-6 in the first half and 8-5 in the second half. Wrong. Despite pitching remarkably better in the second half he won just two out of eight decisions.
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What impresses me is the fact that he got better as the season went on. He did not wear down like some young pitchers tend to. His best month came in September went he went 2-1 with a 2.04 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a .159 BAA.
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So will his win total bounce back in 2011? It’s hard to say. Just ask Matt Cain or Felix Hernandez about how tough wins can be to come by sometimes. The addition of Dan Uggla and the continued development of Jason Heyward should help.
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I wouldn’t recommend him as your number one fantasy SP, but he makes for a solid number two. He’s currently ranked 24th in my starting pitcher rankings, with the potential to jump into the top 15 or better.
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What do you expect from Tommy Hanson in 2011?
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