2011 NFL Picks – Week 15

Dec 14, 2011


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It was a thrilling 14th week of NFL action. Here are my Week 15 picks.
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Week 14 Results:  13-3
Week 14 Lock Picks:  2-0
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Previous Lock to Win Picks: NE (W), PIT (W), SD (W), GB (W), NYG (L), NYJ (W), DAL (W), SF (W), ATL (W), BAL (L), CHI (W), CIN (W), DEN (W), SEA (W)
Previous Lock to Lose Picks: MIN (W), CAR (W), INDY (W), SEA (W), NYJ (W), STL (W), JAX (L), MIA (W) CLE (W), OAK (L), KC (W), PHI (W), NYG (W), TENN (W)
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Regular Season Total: 147-61 (.707)
Regular Season Lock Picks: 24-4 (.857)
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Week 15 Locks:
Lock to Win:  New Orleans Saints
Lock to Lose (can’t be same game as above):  Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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Week 15 Picks:
Atlanta over Jacksonville
Dallas over Tampa Bay (Loser Lock)
Miami over Buffalo
Chicago over Seattle
Tennessee over Indianapolis
Green Bay over Kansas City
Cincinnati ove St. Louis
New Orleans over Minnesota (Winner Lock)
New York Giants over Washington
Houston over Carolina
Detroit over Oakland
New England over Denver
New York Jets over Philadelphia
Arizona over Cleveland
Baltimore over San Diego
Pittsburgh over San Francisco

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These are heads-up picks. We’re doing a picks with the spread contest on Yahoo!. If you want to get in on the action, leave me a message in the comment section with your e-mail or send one to me at ryan@lesterslegends.com.
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10 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. Mark
    December 14th, 2011 at 10:08 am #

    Well, I see 3 or 4 games worth talking about it terms tought to call.
    Seattle at Bears, again, I just don’t see how the Bears score any points? Miami at Buff is a close call for me. Miami had big setback last week and they are playing at Buffalo. Jets at Philly, I think is a very good matchup. Why are you think the Jets? And finally, Pitts at San Fran with a gimpy Big Ben and a missing Harrison, should be a good matchup. Like to hear your reasoning for this matchup also? And finially, I do need to mention Pats vs Denver. I just have a hard time betting and pulling against Tebow right now.

  2. Mark
    December 14th, 2011 at 11:06 am #

    Oops, sorry for the typo’s…should have read over comments..

  3. LestersLegends
    December 14th, 2011 at 11:14 am #

    Those toss up games are just that. If the Bears don’t make the mistakes they win last week. It’s different when it’s Tebow and his teams believe and maybe the defense says here we go again. If they can slow Lynch, they are in great shape.

    I think Miami bounces back.

    My thinking is the Eagles are a mess, despite the win last week. The Jets need this win and will get it. They will knock Vick around and he won’t like it. I can see him not finishing the game.

    A gimpy Big Ben is better than a healthy Smith. Gore isn’t running like he did earlier. He’s hurting. Pitt is the better team and it will show.

    Tebow has been nice, but he hasn’t exactly played dominant teams. Belichick will have an answer for Tebow.

  4. Lou
    December 14th, 2011 at 11:40 pm #

    Mr. Ryan, how about the SD game vs BAL.. I could see an upset here. Chargers are playing good ball late again!… Offense might light up BAL on west coast? Waht do you think? Also, Miami going to Buffalo —> cold weather, coach just got fired.. nothing to play for; no letdown…..And JP Losman might start for Dolphins, he is wretched and against his OLD team! If the Steelers don’t have big ben on MNF, do u still pick them over the 49ers? Thanks good picking last week!!

  5. LestersLegends
    December 15th, 2011 at 6:18 am #

    Lou – I hear you on those games. BAL usually has a letdown against bad teams. With home field at stake I think they take care of business. I can see that happening in the Buffalo game, but I can also see it as a rallying point. W/o Big Ben I’d go SF.

  6. Bill
    December 15th, 2011 at 10:12 am #

    With Oakland having home field advantage why Detroit?

  7. LestersLegends
    December 15th, 2011 at 11:27 am #

    Oakland got blasted in past two games, Suh is back, and Megatron is due.

  8. Russ
    December 15th, 2011 at 3:20 pm #

    Ever think of placing your picks in order of confidence level? I like most of the picks this week by the way :)

  9. LestersLegends
    December 15th, 2011 at 3:41 pm #

    Thanks Russ. I haven’t. Mostly do it for fun. That would probably be feasible straight up, but ATS it would be hard to rank them.

  10. Raul
    December 17th, 2011 at 1:59 am #

    I’m just wondering if you have the ATS picks for week 15?

    Thanks.

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