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Here’s the LestersLegends’ Week 13 2011 fantasy football tight end rankings.
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1A.  Jimmy Graham vs. Detroit:  Leads all TEs in yards.
1B.  Rob Gronkowski vs. Indianapolis: Leads all TEs in TDs.
3.  Antonio Gates @ Jacksonville:  Has scored in three of the past four games and four of his past six.
4.  Tony Gonzalez @ Houston:  Has scored in three of his past four games and has averaged 71.3 yards in his past three games.
5.  Jason Witten @ Arizona:  Averaging 59.0 yards and 0.5 TDs in his past four games.
6.  Jermichael Finley @ New York Giants:  Jimmy Graham just torched the G-Men. It’s Finley’s turn.
7.  Brent Celek @ Seattle:  Averaging 68.4 yards in his past five games.
8.  Vernon Davis vs. St. Louis:  Averaging 46.5 yards and 0.5 TDs in his past four games.
9.  Jermaine Gresham @ Pittsburgh:  Scored in their last meeting. Averaging 46.3 yards with two TDs in past three games.
10.  Dustin Keller @ Washington:  Averaging 51.0 yards in his past six games.
11.  Kellen Winslow vs. Carolina:  Averaging 54.2 yards with two TDs in his past five games.
12.  Fred Davis vs. New York Jets:  Averaging 55.0 yards and 0.5 TDs in his past two games.
13.  Aaron Hernandez vs. Indianapolis:  Hasn’t been as big of a factor since their bye, but caught six passes last week.
14.  Scott Chandler vs. Tennessee:  Has 11 catches for 121 yards in the past two games.
15.  Jake Ballard vs. Green Bay:  Bounced back last week. G-Men should be forced to pass a lot.
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2011 NFL Picks – Week 13

30 November 2011


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It was a thrilling 12th week of NFL action. Here are my Week 13 picks.
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Week 12 Results:  13-3
Week 12 Lock Picks:  2-0
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Previous Lock to Win Picks: NE (W), PIT (W), SD (W), GB (W), NYG (L), NYJ (W), DAL (W), SF (W), ATL (W), BAL (L), CHI (W), CIN (W)
Previous Lock to Lose Picks: MIN (W), CAR (W), INDY (W), SEA (W), NYJ (W), STL (W), JAX (L), MIA (W) CLE (W), OAK (L), KC (W), PHI (W)
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Regular Season Total: 122-54 (.693)
Regular Season Lock Picks: 20-4 (.833)
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Week 13 Locks:
Lock to Win:  Denver Broncos
Lock to Lose (can’t be same game as above):  New York Giants
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Week 13 Picks:
Seattle over Philadelphia
Tennessee over Buffalo
Chicago over Kansas City
Oakland over Miami
Denver over Minnesota  (Winner Lock)
New England over Indianapolis
Pittsburgh over Cincinnati
Carolina over Tampa Bay
New York Jets over Washington
Atlanta over Houston
Baltimore over Cleveland
Green Bay over New York Giants  (Loser Lock)
Dallas over Arizona
San Francisco over St. Louis
New Orleans over Detroit
San Diego over Jacksonville

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These are heads-up picks. We’re doing picks with the spread on Yahoo. If you want to get in on the action, leave me a message in the comment section with your e-mail or send one to me at ryan@lesterslegends.com.
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Here’s the LestersLegends’ Week 13 2011 fantasy football wide receiver rankings.
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1. Calvin Johnson @ New Orleans: Megatron got back in the end zone last week giving him 12 TDs on the year.
2. Greg Jennings @ New York Giants: Extra time should help his sore knee, which wasn’t really a problem on Thanksgiving anyway.
3. Wes Welker vs. Indianapolis: Scored twice last week and should really add to his yardage lead against the downtrodden Colts.
4. Victor Cruz vs. Green Bay: The Packers struggle against the Pack and Cruz has become as dangerous a receiver as there is in the league.
5. Roddy White @ Houston: Has 17 catches for 267 yards in his past two games.
6. Laurent Robinson @ Arizona: Am I on the LoRo train? You bet I am. He has seven TDs in his past five games.
7. Steve Smith @ Tampa Bay: He’s been relatively quiet the past few weeks. I expect him to explode against the Bucs’ secondary.
8. Hakeem Nicks vs. Green Bay: Nicks has been pretty steady this year when healthy. G-Men are going to have to pass often.
9. Jordy Nelson @ New York Giants: Quiet last week but had five TDs in his prior three games.
10. Vincent Jackson @ Jacksonville: Consistency is an issue but big play potential is there.
11. Brandon Lloyd @ San Francisco: Has scored in three straight games. Niners are vulnerable to the pass.
12. Larry Fitzgerald vs. Dallas: Tends to produce no matter who is under center. Could be Kolb this week.
13. Percy Harvin vs. Denver: Vikings are doing a great job getting him the ball.
14. Brandon Marshall vs. Oakland: Had a dud in Week 11, but has had 98 or more yards in the other three of his last four games.
15. Marques Colston vs. Detroit: Saints’ offense is rolling.
16. Dez Bryant @ Arizona: Has scored in two of his past three games.
17. Andre Johnson vs. Atlanta: He’s back, but unfortunately he has T.J. Yates throwing him the ball.
18. Antonio Brown vs. Cincinnati: Averaging 89.0 yards in his past five games.
19. A.J. Green @ Pittsburgh: Scored against the Steelers in Week 10. He’s been a force in his rookie year.
20. Mike Wallace vs. Cincinnati: Has been quiet of late, but is always a threat.
21. Mike Williams vs. Carolina: Averaging 83.5 yards and a score the past two games.
22. Anquan Boldin @ Cleveland: Like everyone in the Ravens’ passing game, he’s inconsistent.
23. Stevie Johnson vs. Tennessee: Bounced back last week, but I’m not convinced the Bills’ offense is completely back on track.
24. Dwayne Bowe @ Chicago: Would move up if Kyle Orton gets the start.
25. Jason Avant @ Seattle: Maclin is banged up and DeSean is either acting like a fool or dropping passes.
26. Eric Decker @ Minnesota: Has scored in four of his past five games. Should do well against the lowly Vikes in his return to the Dome.
27. Deion Branch vs. Indianapolis: Had a monster game last week and is a solid option against the Colts.
28. Plaxico Burress @ Washington: Has five TDs in his past five games.
29. Lance Moore vs. Detroit: Moore is showing that nose for the end zone again.
30. Torrey Smith @ Cleveland: He’s hot and cold, but is capable of a breakout game.
31. Julio Jones @ Houston: He certainly didn’t wear himself out last week.
32. Johnny Knox vs. Kansas City: Averaging 121 yards in the past two games.
33. David Nelson vs. Tennessee: Has scored in three of the past four games.
34. Michael Crabtree vs. St. Louis: Has 13 catches in his past two games.
35. Damian Williams @ Buffalo: Has scored in three of the past four games.
36. Santonio Holmes @ Washington: Made a clutch catch, but only has 61 yards in his last two games.
37. DeSean Jackson @ Seattle: Andy Reid says he’s going to start, but that’s a risky prospect for your fantasy team at this point.
38. Jabar Gaffney vs. New York Jets: Has to be thankful that Santana Moss is back to deal with Revis Island.
39. Riley Cooper @ Seattle: Decent option if Jeremy Maclin is out again.
40. Greg Little vs. Baltimore: Averaging 66.7 yards with one TD in his past three games.
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By Grant Miller
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For many fantasy football managers, Week 13 of the NFL season is not much different than most other weeks. Sure, some may be scrambling for a desperation win and hoping to grab that last playoff spot, while others have long ago thrown in the towel. But many of you attentive fantasy-footballers secured your playoff fate in Week 12 (or perhaps even earlier), and now you’re starting to think ahead. You’re beginning to ask yourself questions like, “What if Green Bay locks up home-field advantage before Week 16, and Rodgers only plays in the first half against Chicago?” On some level, this happens every year … and it never ceases to amaze me how quickly a fantasy team full of Pro-Bowlers can turn pedestrian in a week’s time.
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In the same vein, someone in the free agency pool always steps up, seemingly out of nowhere, with a dominant performance during the fantasy playoffs (see: Jerome Simpson, 2010; Jerome Harrison, 2009). Below are a few candidates that could potentially help fill a void or concern on your team during Weeks 14 thru 16. Format includes player, team, Yahoo owned %, and weeks recommended.
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These suggestions are intended for deeper leagues (12+ teams); most of these players are owned in less than 25% of Yahoo leagues. Run/pass defensive ranks are based on fantasy points allowed in standard scoring formats. Best of luck to you in making the right decisions for your playoff-bound teams.
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Quarterbacks
Rex Grossman, WAS, 10%, Weeks 14, 15, 16
Opponents: Week 14 vs NE (31st pass); Week 15 @ NYG (19th pass); Week 16 vs MIN (32nd pass)
I hate to lead off by recommending Grossman, but he’s put up decent numbers over the last two games against decent defenses (292/3/1 vs DAL, 314/2/2 @ SEA). As you can see, the upcoming schedule is about as soft as it gets. Now that he’s got Moss back, low-QB1 numbers in any of the matchups above should be expected.
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Matt Moore, MIA, 14%, Weeks 14, 15, 16
Opponents: Week 14 vs PHI (27th pass); Week 15 @ BUF (25th pass); Week 16 @ NE (31st pass)
Moore has been somewhat inconsistent (as you might expect), but the upcoming schedule speaks for itself. He put up 160/3/0 against Buffalo in Week 11. The biggest X-factor here is I’m not sure how the cold weather will affect him … although he did play college ball at Oregon State, so there’s that.
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Running Backs
Maurice Morris, DET, 37%, Weeks 14, 15, 16
Opponents: Week 14 vs MIN (10th run, 32nd pass); Week 15 @ OAK (27th run, 23rd pass); Week 16 vs SD (22nd run, 18th pass)
My recommendation of Morris is based primarily on the pass defenses of upcoming opponents. He had 9 catches and 120 total yards against Green Bay last week. Morris’ numbers will certainly be dependent on the health of Kevin Smith, but I’m betting Smith will continue to deal with the high-ankle sprain for the rest of the season.
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Javon Ringer, TEN, 14%, Week 15
Opponents: Week 15 @ IND (32nd run)
Say what you will about the resurgence of Chris Johnson, but it was Ringer who had 19 touches (14 rush, 5 rec) and 102 total yards against Indy in Week 8. CJ1K will net the lion’s share of touches, but I’d be willing to bet Ringer will get a significant amount of garbage-time work in this game.
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Wide Receivers / Tight Ends
Davone Bess, MIA, 22%, Weeks 14, 15, 16
Opponents: Week 14 vs PHI (27th pass); Week 15 @ BUF (25th pass); Week 16 @ NE (31st pass)
Previously a PPR-lite machine, Bess has been very quiet this year … but I have a feeling a little regression toward the mean is in store. As I mentioned for Moore above, this schedule speaks for itself. He put up a season-best 5/92/0 against New England in Week 1, and scored his only TD of the season at Buffalo in Week 11.
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Brad Smith, BUF, 1%, Weeks 14, 15, 16
Opponents: Week 14 vs SD (18th pass); Week 15 @ MIA (22nd pass); Week 16 @ DEN (24th pass)
I would put Smith on a “stand-by” basis for now, but he sure looked good on Sunday, and I think it’s no coincidence that Fitzpatrick looked better too. Smith’s TD catch may have appeared somewhat fluky (semi-deflected pass), but it required a lot of concentration and determination to snag the ball and drag Cromartie into the end zone. Playoff schedule is soft, and I think he’ll see a considerable number of RZ looks.
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Tony Scheffler, DET, 4%, Weeks 14, 15
Opponents: Week 14 vs MIN (32nd pass); Week 15 @ OAK (23rd pass)
You won’t get a lot of yardage from Scheffler, but he has stolen away most of Brandon Pettigrew’s red-zone opportunities over the last few weeks. He’s scored a TD in 3 of his last 4 games. If you don’t own one of the top TEs (or if you’re just sick of Jermichael Finley), Scheffler is a modest plug-and-play.

drew-brees
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By Mr. Destiny
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With one game to go in order to salvage your season and squeak into the playoffs, it is as important as ever to make the right decisions.
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Monday Night Football saw an explosion of offense from the Saints. Drew Brees was in beast mode, tossing 4 scores and running one in so he is of course a must start. The issue here is picking a running back to roll with on this team. The Saints have been using all three backs with effectiveness but there are only two you can trust. Darren Sproles carries the greatest value due to his special teams, pass catching and runs. If you have Mark Ingram, he has quickly separated himself as the lead back for runs. He has scored in 3 of the last 5 games he has played and received 13 touches last night compared to 8 each for Sproles and Pierre Thomas. Thomas is the most unworthy of the three and will have to rely on the big play. Ingram is the better red zone option and will have some solid match up’s coming in the playoffs.
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Brad Smith was announced as the guy who will line up across Steve Johnson next week after Chan Gailey stated how much he was impressed with his performance. David Nelson still has value as the red zone target but he is clearly a flex play as is Smith. Smith does get a slight bump due to his Wildcat potential but neither deserves consideration as a lead receiver on your team.
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Darren McFadden did some light work on Monday but is still far from being a definitive start. Keep tabs throughout the week to see his progress. As I alerted everyone to before the games last week, Marcel Reece makes for a sneaky flex play. He has 153 total yards in 2 games now.
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Sam Bradford tweaked his ankle once again but is expected to practice on Wednesday. Either way, Brandon Lloyd remains the top target on the team and if anything Bradford’s absence hurts Steven Jackson most. Lloyd has a TD in four of his last five games.
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Mike Vick did not practice on Monday which is not a good sign given the Eagles have the Thursday night game. Barring him getting on the field tomorrow, expect him to be very doubtful. We should see Lesean McCoy perform well against a Seattle team which allowed Ryan Helu a 162 yard performance. Though the Eagles are imploding, McCoy is a gamer and will be heavily relied upon at the home of the 12th man. Andy Reid is sure to notice the 14 touches Sunday as a problem he will make sure does not repeat itself.
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Aaron Brown was signed by the Detroit Lions this week after putting Best on the I.R. list. The problem here is I am not sure if it was to fill the vacancy or because Kevin Smith is not as healthy as expected. Keep tabs on Smith’s practice participation this week. He has a decent match up against the Saints 19th ranked rush defense and will be a big factor in the screen game if he plays.
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All signs point to Adrian Peterson missing week 13 though he could be a game time decision. High ankle sprains are about the worse non-season ending injury a running back could have so get ready to look elsewhere just in case.
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Expect Peyton Hillis to carry a good load once again but he is matched up against a tough Baltimore defense which should have issues containing him. If you have a better option, go for it. The never bench your studs rule is gold, but match ups don’t get much worse. His lone saving grace may come if he breaks a few due to volume. Otherwise I would plan on avoiding him based on who else is on your roster.
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Get ready for some big MONEY this week. www.TheSportsParlor.com will be offering DOUBLE your WINNINGS to the high scorers in the Eagles @ Seahawks, Chargers @ Jags, and Lions @ Saints games this week! Get in now and get a shot no other Daily Fantasy Sites offer!
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Here’s the LestersLegends’ Week 13 2011 fantasy football running back rankings.
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1. Frank Gore vs. St. Louis: Gore is the latest to take on the brutal Rams’ run defense that is yielding a league-high 159.0 ypg.
2. Arian Foster vs. Atlanta: Now onto QB #3 Foster will be leaned on heavily. He’s scored eight TDs in his past five games.
3. LeSean McCoy @ Seattle: Shady was held in check last week but still managed to get in the end zone.
4. Ray Rice @ Cleveland: The Browns are giving up 138.6 ypg on the ground.
5. Matt Forte vs. Kansas City: The Bears will rely on the ground game this week. The Chiefs are giving up 133.7 ypg.
6. DeMarco Murray @ Arizona: The Cards are giving up 123.5 ypg. Murray continues to roll.
7. LeGarrette Blount vs. Carolina: Blount has back-to-back 100+ yard games. The Panthers are giving up 137.5 y pg.
8. Chris Johnson @ Buffalo: Bounced back big time. Bills are giving up 123.8 ypg.
9. Marshawn Lynch vs. Philadelphia: Lynch has scored in seven straight games. The Eagles are giving up 110.3 ypg.
10. Michael Bush @ Miami: Assuming McFadden isn’t ready. Bush has scored in four straight games.
11. Michael Turner @ Houston: Texans have a strong defense but Turner has been steady all year.
12. Rashard Mendenhall vs. Cincinnati: Scored two TDs in their Week 10 meeting.
13. Beanie Wells vs. Dallas: Monster game, even if it was against the Rams, signifies he’s back.
14.  Maurice Jones-Drew vs. San Diego:  Steady.
15. Ryan Mathews @ Jacksonville: Looks like Mathews is back to after shredding Denver’s run defense for 137 yards.
16. BenJarvus Green-Ellis vs. Indianapolis: Always tough to predict Patriots’ RBs, but he’s been solid two straight weeks.
17. Reggie Bush vs. Oakland: Averaging 95.0 total yards with four TDs in his past five games. Raiders are giving up 135.3 ypg.
18. Willis McGahee @ Minnesota: The Vikes are tough against the run, but the Broncos are rolling.
19. Steven Jackson @ San Francisco: Has returned to Earth. Plus, he faces the Niners.
20. Cedric Benson @ Pittsburgh: Has run well of late, but Pittsburgh on the road is a tough draw.
21. Shonn Greene @ Washington: Returned from rib injury to continue his steady, unspectacular play.
22.  C.J. Spiller vs. Tennessee:  Solid, not spectacular, numbers against the Jets. Should be able to repeat or better against Titans.
23. Jonathan Stewart @ Tampa Bay: Continues to deliver fantasy goodies.
24. DeAngelo Williams @ Tampa Bay: Picked it up in the past two games. Bucs are bad defensively.
25.  Toby Gerhart vs. Denver:  AP is likely out again making Toby a borderline RB2.
26. Peyton Hillis vs. Baltimore: Not exactly a dream match-up, but Hillis should see plenty of touches.
27. Donald Brown @ New England: Has averaged 77.7 total yards with a touchdown in his past three games.
28. Roy Helu vs. New York Jets: Has big numbers in two of his past four games but you have to deal with Shanahan.
29. Darren Sproles vs. Detroit: Should see plenty of touches in a shootout.
30. Maurice Morris @ New Orleans: Assuming Kevin Smith won’t be good to go, MoMo will at least see touches.

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Here’s the LestersLegends’ Week 13 2011 fantasy football quarterback rankings.
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1.  Aaron Rodgers @ New York Giants:  He has 33 TDs (plus two rushing) and four INTs.
2.  Tom Brady vs. Indianapolis:  Pats will show no mercy. Their offense is humming topping 30 for three straight weeks. TB has six straight multiple TD games.
3.  Drew Brees vs. Detroit:  Likely won’t have to face Suh this week.
4.  Cam Newton @ Tampa Bay:  Up to ten rushing TDs on the year. Tampa can’t stop the run or the pass.
5.  Tony Romo @ Arizona:  Has ten TD passes in the past four games.
6.  Matthew Stafford @ New Orleans:  Extra time for his thumb to heal. Hopefully he’ll stop throwing to the wrong jersey (nine INT in past three games).
7.  Matt Ryan @ Houston:  Has nine TDs in his past four games.
8.  Eli Manning vs. Green Bay:  Packers suddenly look tougher on defense, but Eli remains a solid QB1.
9.  Tim Tebow @ Minnesota:  He’s produced in just about every start. The Vikes pass defense could even make Tebow look good.
10.  Vince Young @ Seattle: Short week likely means another game for VY.
11.  Philip Rivers @ Jacksonville:  Has nine TDs in his past four games. Actually didn’t throw a pick last week.
12.  Ben Roethlisberger vs. Cincinnati:  Only has three TDs in his past three games.
13.  Andy Dalton @ Pittsburgh:  Averaging 257.5 yards with seven TDs in his past four games.
14.  Matt Mooore vs. Oakland:  Has seven TDs with just one pick in past four games.
15.  Carson Palmer @ Miami:   Averaging 274.0 yards with six TDs in past four games.
16.  Alex Smith vs. St. Louis:  Has 13 TDs with just five picks on the year.
17.  Joe Flacco @ Cleveland:  Browns lead the league by giving up just 174.7 passing yards per game.
18.  Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Tennessee:  Bounced back last week with three TDs but I’m not ready to say he’s back.
19.  Mark Sanchez @ Washington:  Ditto Fitzpatrick.
20.  Matt Hasselbeck @ Buffalo:  Sanchez had four TD passes against them last week so there is a chance.    .
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