Why Adrian Peterson Should Be The Number One Pick in 2011 Fantasy Football Drafts

Mar 9, 2011

The Vikings were terrible last year. Brett Favre was nowhere near the level he played at in his first year with the Purple. Sidney Rice wasn’t Sidney Rice. Percy Harvin and Visanthe Shiancoe were in the same boat. Jared Allen and Kevin Williams weren’t even as dominant. It was like it was a completely different team…except for Adrian Peterson.
Peterson, who was much maligned for his fumbling issues, lost just one fumble, and it was caused by his own teammate, Bernard Berrian. AP ran for a career low 1298 yards, but nobody should be complaining about nearly 1300 rushing yards. He added 36 catches for 341 yards. Peterson ran for 12 touchdowns and caught another one. Quite simply, Adrian Peterson had a typical year for him.
What exactly is a typical year for #28? In his four years All Day has averaged 1445.5 yards per season at 4.8 yards per carry. Last year Peterson posted a 4.6 yards per carry clip. When you ask a Viking fan what the most pressing need after quarterback is, the majority will tell you the offensive line. Yes, Peterson compiled 1639 yards of total offense and top ten ypc rank. AP finished with 13 total touchdowns, which is nothing new to him. He has averaged 13.5 touchdowns since setting the league ablaze as a rookie out of Oklahoma in 2007.
I know he only had five 100 yards games last year, but he scored in nine of the 15 games he played. He has 1198 career carries, but he’ll be just 26 when (if) the season starts. One could argue that he inflicts more pain on would-be tacklers than vice versa. My guess is when Peterson does decline, it will be a rapid one. His body will probably give way because he is such a violent runner. You may not be prepared for his fall, but I don’t see it happening now. Peterson works too hard. He needs to improve at catching the ball out of the backfield and he goes for 43 receptions the next year. He has to solves his fumbling woes and he loses just one fumble in Week 16. Every year Peterson comes back a better player. This year shouldn’t be the exception.
You want to draft Arian Foster? I can’t fault you, but do note that he has one spectacular year under his belt. Peterson has four. Chris Johnson, Jamaal Charles, etc? I won’t argue with you, but nobody has the track record that All Day does. If you’re lucky enough to win the first pick in your fantasy draft, remember the guy who has averaged 1738 total yards and 13.5 touchdowns for the past four seasons.
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2 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. Berger
    March 10th, 2011 at 9:46 am #

    I agree with you here. If I had the number one pick, I would be taking AP. Arian Foster looks sexy, but he seems primed for a sophomore letdown. (I think he qualifies for sophomore since he missed his rookie year.) The biggest thing I worry about with AP though, is that he was injury prone in college, and has yet to have a serious injury hit him in the NFL, so he seems due. But even with that, that’s not something you can bank on, so I’d take him anyway.

  2. LestersLegends
    March 10th, 2011 at 10:22 am #

    that’s is a risk, especially as violent a runner as he is, but you have to go with the track record

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