Ahead of the Curve – Week 11

Nov 13, 2008

Written by Lisa Danhof

Fair Warning: I’m not clairvoyant. I don’t even play one on TV. That said, it really doesn’t take a crystal ball to anticipate some changes for your team. So, with a bit of deductive reasoning, logic, and historical evaluation you can finally stop reacting and start anticipating. For once you won’t be sniped at the waiver wire, but actually be ahead of the curve.

1.  Michael Jenkins, ATL WR 14.5% owned.
Jenkins is apparently the beneficiary of several factors cosmically aligning. First, the Falcons seem to have had, and will continue to have, a soft schedule. Second, rookie quarterback Matt Ryan really seems to be coming into his own, steadily increasing his passing yards and touchdowns. Lastly, as Roddy White emerges as a strong number one wide receiver, defenses will be forced to re-scheme to shut him down, likely freeing up Jenkins for more single back coverage. Jenkins has eight catches for 136 yards and two touchdowns in his last two games. My guess is that you have someone worse than that on your bench right now. He is worth owning for the rest of the season.

2. Cadillac Williams TB RB 6.3% owned.
The Bucs cut Michael Bennett today to make room for this one time feature back. Earnest Graham (knee) and Warrick Dunn (back) are dinged up and had only moderate success even when they were healthy. A fresh Williams down the stretch could be what the Bucs need to make a playoff push. He may be rusty out of the gate, as would be expected after a 14 month layoff, but should be hitting his stride come fantasy playoff time. If you have a spot he is definitely worth the risk.

3. Tyler Thigpen KC 16% owned.
Let me repeat that 16% owned. Don’t fall into the Win-Loss trap that says just because a team isn’t winning means they aren’t scoring fantasy points. Since their bye week he has averaged 19.75 fantasy points, ironically only .25 points less than his entire offense has averaged in that time. He is also averaging 1.5 touchdowns in that four game span. This week the Chiefs face a porous New Orleans defense, who is allowing an average of 238 passing yards and 348 total yards a game. Buffalo will be a tougher match up, but then they face Oakland, which will be a much easier test.

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