How Does Arian Foster’s Signing Impact Jay Ajayi’s Fantasy Value?

Jul 21, 2016

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Jay Ajayi
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Arian Foster’s signing puts a damper on Jay Ajayi’s fantasy forecast for the upcoming NFL season. He is a running back that has topped 1,200 rushing yards with double-digit touchdowns in four of the past six seasons. As long as he can stay healthy, Foster should get plenty of touches this year, but there should be enough to go around.
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Foster will turn 30 before the year start. He has missed nearly half (23 of 48) of his games the previous three seasons. Most recently Foster lost all but four games of the 2015 season, which was cut short by an Achilles’ tear. He finished with 163 yards on 63 carries for a paltry 2.6 yards per carry average. Foster did manage to catch 22 passes. His receiving totals (227 yards, 2 touchdowns) exceeded his rushing totals (163 yards, 1 touchdown).
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That is the way I envision Foster doing most of his damage. He has proved himself capable of thriving in the passing game, catching 241 passes in 70 games since 2010. That is good for 3.4 receptions per game. He seems to embrace that role. In a recent interview with the Miami Herald, he stated that his strength at this stage of his career is “route-running and catching the ball out of the backfield” and that Adam Gase knows how to “steer the ship and that he’s happy to have a seat on the boat.” His is willing to accept whatever role the Dolphins find for him.
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Ajayi ran for 187 yards on 49 carries (3.8 ypc) as a rookie, adding seven catches for 90 yards in nine games. He should be able to improve in year two. The Dolphins drafted Rookie Laremy Tunsil and added Jermon Bushrod from the Bears to improve their guard play. Branden Albert has worked on his conditioning and should be more effective in 2016. Improved offensive line and having a year under his belt should help Ajayi develop in Year 2.
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Foster’s presence does make Ajayi more of a RB3 option. There is always the possibility that the veteran Foster wins the starting job about from Ajayi at some point. That’s something to keep in mind during your fantasy draft.

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