Baseball Professor’s Sunday Survey #1

Apr 5, 2010

1. Baseball Professor featured an article this week that attempted to predict which rookie starter has the best chance of breaking out this year. Who is your choice: Mat Latos, Brian Matusz, or Wade Davis?

Of the three I give Latos the best chance to succeed. He doesn’t have to face the Yankees and Red Sox repeatedly, which is tough on a young pitcher’s psyche, not to mention his stat line. Not only does he get to avoid pitching against the beasts of the East, he also gets to pitch in pitcher-friendly PETCO Park. PETCO ranked 30th last year with a 0.741 rating for runs. Tropicana checked in at 17 and Oriole Park at Camden Yards was 11th. 

2. Jose Reyes is starting the season on the DL but expects to be ready in time for the team’s fifth game of the season. Between the hamstring, thyroid, and any other ailments, how many games do you expect Reyes to play this season?

From 2005-2008 Reyes missed just 15 combined games. Last year was devastating to fantasy owners, and his thyroid issues certainly didn’t help to assuage any fears, but I’m not worried about Reyes missing significant time more than anyone else in the league. I’ll play it somewhat same and say Reyes plays around 140 games.

3. David Ortiz struggled mightily last season but rebounded to hit an AL-leading 27 HR after June 1, finishing with 28 HR and 99 RBI. Will Ortiz be a 30/100 guy in 2010?

I don’t think he’ll be 30 & 100, but he’ll be close. His bat speed isn’t what it used to be. He is still a dangerous hitter though. I think something in the neighborhood of .260-80-27-90-0 is where Big Papi will finish up.

Click here to see the rest of the responses of the Baseball Professor’s Sunday Survey.

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