BCRT: Using Change in Player Rank To Spot True Fantasy Basketball Breakouts
Written by Alex Woods
Working the waiver wire is essential to winning at fantasy basketball. Even in the shallowest leagues finding waiver wire gems can separate the winners from the losers. In basketball there are always new players emerging to make a name for themselves. Injuries, lack of performance or in Nate Robinson’s case shooting at the oppositions goal can all get a player benched opening the window of opportunity for tomorrows fantasy stars.
Typically we look at weekly rank to spot recent breakout players. While this type of screen is in most cases sufficient we uncovered a highly useful tool over at BasketballMonster.com (Hot Players Screen) that allows one to sort by change in rank over various time periods.
Change in rank over a two week or month long period is probably a better indicator for spotting true breakout players than just searching for players who appear as anomalies on the weekly rank list.
Change in rank will show you which players are making an impact and have a fairly good chance to maintain their newfound success on court. It is also an excellent indicator of meaningful change to a players role, if a players rank has increased significantly over a month long period it is likely he is now playing an important role in his teams game plan. Whereas a player ranked high for a week may just be the result of a hot streak or short term injury to a teammate.
Using this tool with a search time frame of one month we see that the time to buy low on Caron Butler and Brandon Roy has clearly past as both have seen a major bump in value over the past month.
The BasketballMonster.com tool is also excellent for spotting slumping players to target in trades. If you scroll to the bottom of the sort you will see players whose rank has dropped most significantly over the selected time period. We suggest searching over a two week period for identifying slumping players to target in trades.
While some of the players whose rank has fallen will be the truly overrated players who are coming back down to earth, a handful will be your buy low trade targets. This week we see Eric Gordon, Trevor Ariza and Marreese Speights flagged as having a rough two weeks. We know these players are solid and now is probably the time make a move to acquire them.
So there you have it, another tool to give you an edge in your quest for a fantasy basketball title. Using the BasketballMonster.com Hot Players screen is a great way to screen players based on change in rank. The screen is a great way to uncover hidden talent and you should use it for scouring the waiver wire and targeting players for trade.