Brady Quinn – Fantasy Gold or Fool’s Gold?
Cleveland fans were clamoring for Brady Quinn, and he didn’t disappoint in his first career start at home against Denver. He developed a nice rapport with Kellen Winslow, which is important because a young QB needs a reliable target. Look at Roddy White for Matt Ryan as an example. He wasn’t able to get Braylon Edwards to snap out of his funk, but Brady Quinn isn’t a Miracle Worker. So what should you expect from him going forward?
Naturally he’s going to have some inconsistent play. All Rookies do, which is in essence what he is. I expect him to struggle next week as he goes to Buffalo, who has allowed just 7 passing TDs this year. He’ll be playing a good pass D on the road where weather could become a factor. The cards don’t seem to be stacked in his favor.
Moving forward he faces a Houston in Week 12. The Texans are 28th in the league with 15 TD passes allowed. Quinn should make a nice play that weekend. Then the road gets rougher as he faces Indianapolis (191.0 yards per game, 2 passing TDS), Tennessee (194.4 ypg, 5 TDs), and Philadelphia (190.4 ypg, 12 TDs) in Weeks 13-15. In Week 16, which is the Fantasy Super Bowl in most leagues, he gets Cincinnati. Despite their record they have allowed just 193.7 ypg and 13 TDs this year. They are a decent matchup, but are you really going to risk your fantasy glory on a guy who’s making his seventh career start? If you happen to play the whole season out, he gets Pittsburgh in Week 17. Pittsburgh is tops in the league with 171.1 ypg and have allowed just 9 TDs.
With one good matchup remaining and a finish against five teams allowing 200 ypg or fewer, Brady doesn’t appear to be the answer for fantasy teams. What he will provide is a glimpse into 2009. You can watch to see how he responds to this tough schedule. If he holds his own, perhaps he’ll be next year’s Jay Cutler or Philip Rivers.