Brady Quinn – Fantasy Gold or Fool’s Gold?

Nov 10, 2008

Cleveland fans were clamoring for Brady Quinn, and he didn’t disappoint in his first career start at home against Denver. He developed a nice rapport with Kellen Winslow, which is important because a young QB needs a reliable target. Look at Roddy White for Matt Ryan as an example. He wasn’t able to get Braylon Edwards to snap out of his funk, but Brady Quinn isn’t a Miracle Worker. So what should you expect from him going forward?

Naturally he’s going to have some inconsistent play. All Rookies do, which is in essence what he is. I expect him to struggle next week as he goes to Buffalo, who has allowed just 7 passing TDs this year. He’ll be playing a good pass D on the road where weather could become a factor. The cards don’t seem to be stacked in his favor.

Moving forward he faces a Houston in Week 12. The Texans are 28th in the league with 15 TD passes allowed. Quinn should make a nice play that weekend. Then the road gets rougher as he faces Indianapolis (191.0 yards per game, 2 passing TDS), Tennessee (194.4 ypg, 5 TDs), and Philadelphia (190.4 ypg, 12 TDs) in Weeks 13-15. In Week 16, which is the Fantasy Super Bowl in most leagues, he gets Cincinnati. Despite their record they have allowed just 193.7 ypg and 13 TDs this year. They are a decent matchup, but are you really going to risk your fantasy glory on a guy who’s making his seventh career start? If you happen to play the whole season out, he gets Pittsburgh in Week 17. Pittsburgh is tops in the league with 171.1 ypg and have allowed just 9 TDs.
With one good matchup remaining and a finish against five teams allowing 200 ypg or fewer, Brady doesn’t appear to be the answer for fantasy teams. What he will provide is a glimpse into 2009. You can watch to see how he responds to this tough schedule. If he holds his own, perhaps he’ll be next year’s Jay Cutler or Philip Rivers.

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5 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. CK0712
    November 10th, 2008 at 10:52 am #

    from a stand point in his actual career in the NFL , he’s going to be just fine. some solid coaching should support him to the level that he can play.

  2. LestersLegends
    November 10th, 2008 at 10:54 am #

    I think he’ll have to take his lumps this year and learn for next year.

  3. CK0712
    November 10th, 2008 at 11:16 am #

    of course!!! in the long run he’ll be a solid QB!

  4. David Funk
    November 10th, 2008 at 11:28 am #

    He has the skills to do good, but we also can’t overlook the fact that Cleveland is in transition in the front office, too. While he’ll have his struggles, it also becomes a factor not constantly changing coaches. Changing an offensive scheme with the strong possibility of Crennel being let go could delay his progression even more. If you want one reason why the Bears are better in the passing game, take a look at quarterback’s coach Pep Hamilton. Also, they’ve had the same offensive scheme since 2005 which helps as well.

    Coaching is huge in sports, but keeping the same staff and schemes are important, too. I think Quinn can still get it done eventually though.

  5. LestersLegends
    November 10th, 2008 at 11:50 am #

    Agree. Changing schemes has been tough on guys like Vince Young and Alex Smith. Not saying they would be all the much better, but it’s hard switching every year. You never get comfortable in an Offense.

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