Brandon Jacobs – Sinking Ship?

Oct 27, 2008

Brandon Jacobs began a string of tough matchups last week with Pittsburgh.  The G-Men won, but he was held to 47 yards on 18 carries (2.6 ypc).  The road continues to get bumpy with several matchups against some of the league’s best Run Defenses.

First up is Dallas, who ranks 11th with 95.5 rushing yards per game and tied for 13th with 6 rushing TDs allowed.  After than he’s looking at Philadelphia (89.4 ypg, 3 TDs), Baltimore (64.3, 1 TD), Arizona (96.4, 5 TDs), Washington (82.8, 4 TDs), Philly again, Dallas again, Carolina (99.9, 4 TDs), and Minnesota (70.7, 7 TDs).  Not one of those defenses is a pushover.  In fact, none of those teams rank below 14th in rushing yardage or 13th in rushing TDs allowed, and Carolina  is the only team to allow 4.0 yards per carry.

Furthermore, you have to figure the Giants will continue to utilize Derrick Ward and Ahmad Bradshaw to keep Jacobs fresh for the stretch run.  Ward and Bradshaw have combined for 86 carries through Week 8.  It behooves the Giants to continue to share the load in the ground game. 

Finally, you have to worry about Jacobs breaking down.  He already has 114 carries in seven games.  His career high is just 202 carries.  With the Giants cruising to another playoff appearance it’s likely Jacobs will get a lighter workload when you need him the most, which is in the fantasy playoffs (Weeks 14-16).

So what to do with Jacobs?  Trade him.  His numbers are amazing, but if you can ship him out for Marshawn Lynch, who faces Cleveland, Miami, Kansas City, San Francisco, and Denver down the stretch, you’ll be better suited to make a run at a fantasy title.  If you have good depth at Running Back, perhaps you can move him for an elite Wide Receiver.  Either way, it appears his fantasy dominance has run its course.

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5 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. 3rdStoneFromTheSun
    October 27th, 2008 at 12:57 pm #

    I’m stuck with him

    either him or some bum like Shawn Alexander

    so gotta pray from goal line TD’s

  2. LestersLegends
    October 27th, 2008 at 12:58 pm #

    He’s worth keeping, but I just wouldn’t expect him to produce like earlier in the year.

  3. LEV
    October 28th, 2008 at 8:00 am #

    very nice post… interesting food for thought

  4. LestersLegends
    October 28th, 2008 at 8:01 am #

    Thanks LEV. He still could finish nicely, but the road will get tougher.

  5. American Football NFL » Brandon Jacobs: Sinking Ship Revisited
    December 17th, 2008 at 9:34 pm #

    [...] the original article, Jacobs has 439 yards and 6 TDs.  He hasn’t caught a pass.  In his last four weeks [...]

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