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Before you start to break down the rankings for the playoffs, you need to decide who you think will be in the Super Bowl. I’m predicting a Patriots-Saints Super Bowl. As I pave their path to the big game, I will know how many games I expect each playoff team to play in.
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Here’s the breakdown.
Saints (4)
Eagles (3)
Patriots (3)
Colts (2)
Ravens (2)
Steelers (2)
Bears (1)
Chiefs (1)
Falcons (1)
Jets (1)
Packers (1)
Seahawks (1)
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Here are my top quarterbacks based on my above playoff projections.
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1. Drew Brees
2. Tom Brady
3. Michael Vick
4. Peyton Manning
5. Ben Roethlisberger
6. Joe Flacco
7. Aaron Rodgers
8. Matt Ryan
9. Matt Cassel
10. Jay Cutler
11. Mark Sanchez
12. Matt Hasselbeck
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Here are my Week 17 fantasy football quarterback rankings for those of you playing the whole year out.
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1. Philip Rivers @ Denver
2. Peyton Manning vs. Tennessee
3. Drew Brees vs. Tampa Bay
4. Matt Schaub vs. Jacksonville
5. Aaron Rodgers vs. Chicago
6. Ben Roethlisberger @ Cleveland
7. Joe Flacco vs. Cincinnati
8. Matt Cassel vs. Oakland
9. Josh Freeman @ New Orleans
10. Jay Cutler @ Green Bay
11. Eli Manning @ Washington
12. Matt Ryan vs. Carolina
13. Sam Bradford vs. Seattle
14. Michael Vick vs. Dallas
15. Alex Smith vs. Arizona
16. Kerry Collins @ Indianapolis
17. Shaun  Hill vs. Minnesota
18. Tom Brady vs. Miami
19. Tim Tebow vs. San Diego
20. Trent Edwards @ Houston

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Inside the numbers:

  • I don’t know who he’s going to be throwing to, but Rivers should finish strong against Denver. He threw four touchdowns the last time he faced them.
  • Aaron Rodgers looked all the way back from his concussion. He threw for 316 yards the last time he faced the Bears.
  • Big Ben threw three touchdown passes the last time he faced the Browns.
  • Knowing the Patriots have nothing to play for, I’m worried that Tom Brady will have a light workload. This is why I’m for ending the fantasy season after Week 16.
  • ***Update***  The Eagles are locked in the number three seed, the beating Vick took on Tuesday, and a chance to improve Kevin Kolb’s trade value (borrowed from Greg Brosh of FantasyFootball.com).
  • ***Update*** David Garrard is out. As bad as Houston’s pass defense is, Trent Edwards may actually be a decent desperation play this week.

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Here are my Week 16 fantasy football quarterback rankings.
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1. Michael Vick vs. Minnesota
2. Tom Brady @ Buffalo
3. Peyton Manning @ Oakland
4. Drew Brees @ Atlanta (Monday)
5. Philip Rivers @ Cincinnati
6. Matt Schaub @ Denver
7. Aaron Rodgers vs. New York Giants
8. Jon Kitna @ Arizona (Saturday)
9. Joe Flacco @ Cleveland
10. Eli Manning @ Green Bay
11. Ben Roethlisberger vs. Carolina (Thursday)
12. David Garrard vs. Washington
13. Josh Freeman vs. Seattle
14. Rex Grossman @ Jacksonville
15. Matt Ryan vs. New Orleans (Monday)
16. Kerry Collins @ Kansas City
17. Matt Cassel vs. Tennessee
18. Sam Bradford vs. San Francisco
19. Jay Cutler vs. New York Jets
20. Chad Henne vs. Detroit
21. Troy Smith  @ St. Louis
22. Shaun  Hill @ Miami
23. Tim Tebow vs. Houston
24. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. New England
25. John Skelton vs. Dallas
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Inside the numbers:

  • Tom Brady may be the league MVP, but Michael Vick is the fantasy MVP.
  • My gut says Aaron Rodgers will be able to go this week. I’m a little worried that he can stand up to the Giants’ pressure, but it would be hard not to trust him if he starts.
  • Kitna’s been a little up and down, but should be a strong play against the Cardinals this week.
  • Rex Grossman surprisingly delivered the goods this past week against Dallas. He has another strong matchup against Jacksonville as he auditions for a 2011 starting gig.
  • Kerry Collins isn’t quite as strong of a play this week, but he’s been playing well and Kenny Britt is back.
  • Tim Tebow scored on the ground and through the air, but despite a favorable matchup against Houston, I can’t justify taking a gamble on him this week.
  • It looks like Mark Sanchez will be limited if he’s able to go this week. He can’t be trusted.

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Here are my Week 15 fantasy football quarterback rankings.
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1. Tom Brady vs. Green Bay
2. Peyton Manning vs. Jacksonville
3. Michael Vick @ New York Giants
4. Drew Brees @ Baltimore
5. Philip Rivers vs. San Francisco (Thursday)
6. Josh Freeman vs. Detroit
7. Matt Cassel @ St. Louis
8. Matt Ryan @ Seattle
9. Matt Schaub @ Tennessee
10. Eli Manning vs. Philadelphia
11. Jay Cutler @ Minnesota (Monday)
12. Joe Flacco vs. New Orleans
13. Ben Roethlisberger vs. New York Jets
14. David Garrard @ Indianapolis
15. Kerry Collins vs. Houston
16. Sam Bradford vs. Kansas City
17. Jason Campbell vs. Denver
18. Jon Kitna vs. Washington
19. Kyle Orton @ Oakland
20. Carson Palmer vs. Cleveland
21. Alex Smith  @ San Diego (Thursday)
22. Mark Sanchez @ Pittsburgh
23. Matt Hasselbeck vs. Atlanta
24. Drew Stanton @ Tampa Bay
25. Rex Grossman @ Dallas
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Inside the numbers:

  • Tom Brady is on fire averaging 345.3 yards and 3.3 touchdowns in his past three games. His last two monster efforts came against two of the best pass defenses (Jets and Bears) in the league.
  • Peyton bounced back against the Titans, and should pick Jacksonville apart like he always does. He averages 278.6 yards and 2.0 touchdowns in 18 career meetings. Earlier this year he threw for 352 yards with two touchdowns against them.
  • Michael Vick is taking far too many hits, a trend that won’t change against the Giants, but he’s far too explosive to contain.
  • Josh Freeman is quietly having an outstanding season, ranking near the top of all quarterbacks in fantasy points because of his rushing yardage and lack of turnovers. He have a favorable match-up against Detroit.
  • Matt Cassel should be healed and ready to restore order for Kansas City. Playing St. Louis should help matters.
  • It’s not that I think Matt Ryan can’t put up top five numbers against Seattle, rather I don’t think he’ll need to.
  • Maybe I’m making too big of a deal out of one game, but Kerry Collins looked good against the Colts. He should have another nice game against Houston.
  • I did not like the way the Broncos responded to the Josh McDaniels firing. Jason Campbell should be able to have a solid game. I’d rank him higher, but I think Darren McFadden is going to go off in this one.
  • Speaking of Denver, can you really trust Kyle Orton as your QB1 anymore? How quickly he has fallen.
  • Matt Hasselbeck is quickly running out of receivers. When they get down big to Atlanta, don’t think Charlie Whitehurst won’t get some reps. Avoid Hasselbeck despite the intriguing matchup.
  • ***UPDATE*** Donovon McNabb was benched in favor of Rex Grossman.

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Mother Nature has spoken and the rankings need to be updated. Here are my updated Week 14 fantasy football quarterback rankings.
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1. Michael Vick @ Dallas
2. Aaron Rodgers @ Detroit
3. Drew Brees vs. St. Louis
4. Peyton Manning @ Tennessee (Thursday)
5. Philip Rivers vs. Kansas City
6. Joe Flacco @ Houston (Monday)
7. Eli Manning @ Minnesota
8. Kyle Orton @ Arizona
9. Tom Brady @ Chicago
10. Ben Roethlisberger vs. Cincinnati
11. Matt Schaub vs. Baltimore (Monday)
12. Matt Ryan @ Carolina
13. Jon Kitna vs. Philadelphia
14. Jay Cutler vs. New England
15. Josh Freeman @ Washington
16. Mark Sanchez vs. Miami
17. Carson Palmer @ Pittsburgh
18. David Garrard vs. Oakland
19. Jason Campbell @ Jacksonville
20. Sam Bradford @ New Orleans
21. Alex Smith  vs. Seattle
22. Donovan McNabb vs. Tampa Bay
23. Drew Stanton vs. Green Bay
24. Matt Hasselbeck @ San Francisco
25. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Cleveland
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Notable Changes:

  • Big Ben slid a few notches because it’s expected to be a rain/snow mix in Pittsburgh. The Steelers will likely focus more on the rushing attack.
  • It’s supposed to be very windy in Chicago. Tom Brady stays put, but Jay Cutler, who isn’t as accurate, slides down a few notches.
  • Washington could be wet and windy, making Josh Freeman a less desirable option. I no longer consider him a QB1 this week.
  • Kyle Orton slides up a few notches. Arizona can be beat through the air, and despite a new coach, they will exploit that weakness.
  • With Asante Samuel out, Jon Kitna suddenly becomes a more attractive option.
  • The expected weather in Buffalo move Ryan Fitzpatrick from the QB2 ranks.

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Click here for my updated Week 14 fantasy quarterback rankings.
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Here are my Week 14 fantasy football quarterback rankings.
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1. Michael Vick @ Dallas
2. Aaron Rodgers @ Detroit
3. Drew Brees vs. St. Louis
4. Peyton Manning @ Tennessee (Thursday)
5. Philip Rivers vs. Kansas City
6. Joe Flacco @ Houston (Monday)
7. Ben Roethlisberger vs. Cincinnati
8. Jay Cutler vs. New England
9. Tom Brady @ Chicago
10. Eli Manning @ Minnesota
11. Josh Freeman @ Washington
12. Kyle Orton @ Arizona
13. Matt Schaub vs. Baltimore (Monday)
14. Mark Sanchez vs. Miami
15. Matt Ryan @ Carolina
16. Carson Palmer @ Pittsburgh
17. David Garrard vs. Oakland
18. Jason Campbell @ Jacksonville
19. Sam Bradford @ New Orleans
20. Alex Smith  vs. Seattle
21. Jon Kitna vs. Philadelphia
22. Donovan McNabb vs. Tampa Bay
23. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Cleveland
24. Drew Stanton vs. Green Bay
25. Matt Hasselbeck @ San Francisco
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Inside the numbers:

  • Michael Vick repeats as the top ranked QB. He’s firing on all cylinders and Dallas just does not have what it takes to slow him down.
  • Aaron Rodgers is on fire. He has 11 touchdown passes and one touchdown run in his past four games. Plus, he is averaging 304.6 passing yards with 14 touchdowns in five career games against the Lions.
  • The Colts are at .500, but I expect Peyton Manning to bounce back after his four interception game. He has 27 career TD tosses against Tennessee. NFL betting suggests Peyton will have a big game in his return to Tennessee.
  • I think Joe Flacco will find Houston’s defense much more to his liking than the Steel Curtain.
  • I’m a little fearful that the Broncos will run all over Arizona, making Orton an afterthought again.
  • After getting burned by Sam Bradford last week, I am extra cautious this week, especially going up against New Orleans.
  • Even if Brett Favre starts this week’s game against the Giants, I don’t expect him to finish it. I don’t like Favre or Tarvaris this week.
  • Alex Smith replaces Troy Smith in the Niners’ starting lineup and in the rankings.
  • Matt Cassel will likely miss the game after undergoing an appendectomy. Matt Hasselbeck takes his spot.

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Here are my Week 13 fantasy football quarterback rankings.
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1. Michael Vick vs. Houston (Thursday)
2. Peyton Manning vs. Dallas
3. Drew Brees @ Cincinnati
4. Aaron Rodgers vs. San Francisco
5. Kyle Orton @ Kansas City
6. Philip Rivers vs. Oakland
7. Eli Manning vs. Washington
8. Tom Brady vs. New York Jets (Monday)
9. Matt Cassel vs. Denver
10. Jay Cutler @ Detroit
11. Sam Bradford @ Arizona
12. Matt Ryan @ Tampa Bay
13. Mark Sanchez @ New England (Monday)
14. Ben Roethlisberger @ Baltimore
15. Joe Flacco vs. Pittsburgh
16. Josh Freeman vs. Atlanta
17. Carson Palmer vs. New Orleans
18. Matt Schaub @ Philadelphia (Thursday)
19. David Garrard @ Tennessee
20. Brett Favre vs. Buffalo
21. Jon Kitna @ Indianapolis
22. Donovan McNabb @ New York Giants
23. Ryan Fitzpatrick @ Minnesota
24. Chad Henne vs. Cleveland
25. Derek Anderson vs. St. Louis
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Inside the numbers:

  • Michael Vick didn’t get the win for the Eagles, but he passed Chicago’s tough test with flying colors throwing for 333 yards and a pair of touchdowns (one interception). He added 44 yards on the ground. He’s a terrific play against Houston’s generous pass defense.
  • No Moss, no problem for Tom Brady. He has 11 touchdown passes in his past four games. The Jets will present a challenge, but it would be hard to sit him the way he’s playing right now.
  • Is Dwayne Bowe red hot or is it Matt Cassel? My guess is that it’s a combination of both. Cassel has 12 touchdown passes in his past four games, and is a good play against a vulnerable Broncos’ pass defense, who he torched for 469 yards and four touchdowns in week ten.
  • I guess Jay Cutler may be back. With Detroit on tap, it appears to be a good week to play him.
  • Sam Bradford has plenty of room to improve on his first game against Arizona, and I have every reason to believe he will.
  • Mark Sanchez threw for 220 yards and three scores in the first meeting with the Patriots. He’s a borderline fantasy starter this week.

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Here are my Week 12 fantasy football quarterback rankings.
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1. Aaron Rodgers @ Atlanta
2. Ben Roethlisberger @ Buffalo
3. Peyton Manning vs. San Diego
4. Drew Brees @ Dallas (Thursday)
5. Michael Vick @ Chicago
6. Tom Brady @ Detroit (Thursday)
7. Philip Rivers @ Indianapolis
8. Shaun Hill vs. New England (Thursday)
9. Kyle Orton vs. St. Louis
10. Eli Manning vs. Jacksonville
11. Joe Flacco vs. Tampa Bay
12. Jon Kitna vs. New Orleans (Thursday)
13. Matt Cassel @ Seattle
14. Mark Sanchez vs. Cincinnati (Thursday)
15. Matt Ryan vs. Green Bay
16. Sam Bradford @ Denver
17. Brett Favre @ Washington
18. Carson Palmer @ New York Jets (Thursday)
19. Matt Schaub vs. Tennessee
20. David Garrard @ New York Giants
21. Jay Cutler vs. Philadelphia
22. Josh Freeman @ Baltimore
23. Donovan McNabb vs. Minnesota
24. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Pittsburgh
25. Troy Smith @ Arizona (Monday)
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Inside the numbers:

  • The Chargers (#1) and Colts (#8) are two of the best at holding opposing quarterbacks to low yardage, but that goes out the window when Philip Rivers and Peyton Manning square off.
  • The Cowboys have improved in recent weeks, but they still struggle to defend the pass. Drew Brees has many of things to be thankful about on Thursday, and facing the Cowboys is one of them.
  • New England is allowing 300.5 passing yards per game this year with 20 passing touchdowns. Shaun Hill isn’t sexy, but he has thrown for 300+ yards or multiple touchdowns in five of the six games he started and finished.
  • Seattle is allowing 300.2 passing yards per game, making Matt Cassel a borderline fantasy starter this week.
  • Carson Palmer, Matt Schaub, and Jay Cutler have tough match-ups this week meaning your likely #1 to start the season will be riding the pine.
  • With Tennessee’s quarterbacks dropping like flies, the Texans get a reprieve. There’s an outside chance that they end the week out of the cellar in passing yards allowed.
  • What a difference a couple of days make. For starters, Colt McCoy (ankle) will likely be out so I replaced him with Brett Favre. With Brad Childress gone, I think the Vikings play inspired football, moving Favre up the rankings.

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Here are my Week 11 fantasy football quarterback rankings.
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1. Philip Rivers vs. Denver
2. Michael Vick vs. New York Giants
3. Peyton Manning @ New England
4. Aaron Rodgers @ Minnesota
5. Tom Brady vs. Indianapolis
6. Drew Brees vs. Seattle
7. Jon Kitna vs. Detroit
8. Joe Flacco @ Carolina
9. Eli Manning vs. Philadelphia
10. Ben Roethlisberger vs. Oakland
11. Kyle Orton @ San Diego
12. David Garrard vs. Cleveland
13. Mark Sanchez vs. Houston
14. Matt Cassel vs. Arizona
15. Sam Bradford vs. Atlanta
16. Carson Palmer vs. Buffalo
17. Matt Schaub @ New York Jets
18. Matt Ryan @ St. Louis
19. Shaun Hill @ Dallas
20. Jay Cutler @ Miami
21. Josh Freeman @ San Francisco
22. Brett Favre vs. Green Bay
23. Ryan Fitzpatrick @ Cincinnati
24. Donovan McNabb @ Tennessee
25. Vince Young vs. Washington
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Inside the numbers:

  • If Denver made Matt Cassel look like Joe Montana, Philip Rivers should be doing a Dan Fouts impersonation this week.
  • Peyton Manning has 32 touchdowns in 15 career games against New England. Most of those games the Pats had a much better pass defense than they do now. Peyton and Rivers are really 1A & 1B this week.
  • Jon Kitna and the Cowboys made the Giants look bad. They had a hard time containing the explosive Dez Bryant. The Birds have as many explosive players (Vick, McCoy, DeSean, Maclin) as any team in the league. Look for a big game from Vick.
    ***Update**** After Vick’s dissection of the Redskins, I bumped him up to #2.
  • The Vikings are toast. Look for Aaron Rodgers coming out of the bye to lead Brett Favre’s eulogy.
  • Tom Brady showed he can still produce AM (After Moss). He has 17 touchdowns in eight games.
  • The Cowboys are talented and the change to Jason Garrett was rewarded. Look for Kitna to put up big numbers against his former team.
  • The Raiders are tied for second in passing yards allowed per game (184.8), but have allowed 16 passing TDs. Big Ben remains a decent QB1.

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Here are my Week 10 fantasy football quarterback rankings. Remember that Green Bay, Oakland, New Orleans, and San Diego are on bye.
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1. Eli Manning vs. Dallas
2. Peyton Manning vs. Cincinnati
3. Ben Roethlisberger vs. New England
4. Matt Schaub @ Jacksonville
5. Michael Vick @ Washington
6. Joe Flacco @ Atlanta
7. Jay Cutler vs. Minnesota
8. David Garrard vs. Houston
9. Tom Brady @ Pittsburgh
10. Matt Ryan vs. Baltimore
11. Josh Freeman vs. Carolina
12. Kyle Orton vs. Kansas City
13. Mark Sanchez @ Cleveland
14. Donovan McNabb vs. Philadelphia
15. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Detroit
16. Matt Cassel @ Denver
17. Carson Palmer @ Indianapolis
18. Brett Favre @ Chicago
19. Sam Bradford @ San Francisco
20. Jon Kitna @ New York Giants
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Inside the numbers:

  • Dallas is a trainwreck. Eli Manning has the Giants’ offense humming. He should eat them alive at home.
  • Does it even matter who Peyton Manning is throwing too? He could take Favre’s high school buddies and put up 300 yards.
  • Look for Matt Schaub to play like last year’s version against a Jacksonville team ranked 28th in passing yards allowed per game and tied for 29th in passing TDs allowed.
  • I think Michael Vick will slide this time.
  • Joe Flacco will continue his turnaround against the shaky Atlanta pass defense (26th in passing yards allowed, 21st in passing TDs allowed).
  • I realize I may have Donovan McNabb a little high, but part of it is my hope that he can show both the Eagles and Redskins front offices that they have underestimated him.
  • Brett Favre had an unbelievable game, but he played a bad team at home. I want to see him do it on the road against the Bears, who have allowed a league low five touchdown passes.

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