I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Peyton Manning 20.45 beat Jon Kitna 5.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Edgerrin James 9.7 beat Frank Gore 7.5 as I predicted
Cedric Benson 12.9 beat Michael Pittman 1.5 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Braylon Edwards 11.0 beat Brandon Marshall 7.2 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Steve Smith 10.7 beat Roy Williams 3.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Super Stretch
Gus Frerotte 25.2 beat Matt Hasselbeck 5.8 as I predictedRecap
Regular Picks: 1-4
Super Stretch Picks: 1-0
Overall: 2-4
Breakdown: QB: 1-1, RB: 1-1, WR: 0-2

 

Season Record
Regular Picks: 12-13
Super Stretch Picks: 4-1
Overall: 16-14
Breakdown: QB: 4-2, RB: 9-4, WR: 3-8

This Week’s Picks
Drew Brees
over Matt Schaub
How bad has this year been for Brees? He has 929 yards and only 1 TD, which makes him an Out on a Limb candidate vs. Schaub (1299 & 5 TDs). I have no reason to think he snaps out of his funk, but I’m going on a hunch. Schaub should have his hands full with Jacksonville.

LaDainian Tomlinson over Shaun Alexander and Maurice Jones-Drew
LT always destroys Oakland. I am doing my first two for one special of the year. LT will outscore SA & MJD combined in a battle of the Initial RBs.

Jason Wright over DeShaun Foster
Jason Wright may or may not get the start. Jamal Lewis missed last week with a foot injury. Miami has a bad run defense, so Wright may get some work either way. Foster faces a quietly tough Arizona defense.

Randy Moss over Terrell Owens +2 points
Let’s face it. New England-Dallas is the best matchup this season. Moss-MeO is the most intriguing WR matchup this weekend. I’ll spot MeO 20 yards. Moss will prove he’s Boss.

Dwayne Bowe over Torry Holt
The rookie has looked pretty darn good. I think his size will be a factor against Cincy. Holt has to face Baltimore with a backup QB.  

SUPER STRETCH
Kurt Warner
over Tony Romo
Romo looked horrible on Monday. This week it doesn’t get any easier against New England. Warner should do decent if he doesn’t get hurt. I just hope his wife isn’t doesn’t get her typical coverage.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks

Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4
Week 5

Fantasy Football Forum
Did you win your matchup this week? What’s your record? I got beat to fall to 4-1. Tom Brady was solid. Dallas Clark scored my only TD. Larry Johnson made me throw up in my mouth. I was afraid of Travis Henry so I started LenDale White. He put it on on the carpet, which cut down his carries. I was short on WRs with Ocho on bye and Andre Johnson still hurt. Coles was solid, as was my free agent pickup of Andre Davis. Roddy White, another waiver wire guy, was junk. I thought I found a kicker, but Jeff Reed sucked major backside. Not my best week.

I shook up my team. With Travis “9 kids and a pound a weed” Henry facing suspension, I dealt my top commodity. Well, top 2 I guess. I packaged Tom Brady, Larry Johnson, and Cedric Benson for Brett Favre, Ronnie Brown, and Edgerrin James. Hopefully it doesn’t blow up in my face.

That’s how my weekend of fantasy football went. How did you do?

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are mypreseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: 816 yards, 0 TDs, 3 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Hurt. Did not play.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: 1475 yards, 3 TDs, 3 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Hurt. Did not play.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1216 total yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Only 34 total yards, but found the endzone.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 761 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Only 27 total yards. Yuck.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 22 yards
Did not play because of ankle injury.
Right-O-Meter: 1 – An ankle injury will keep the Right-O-Meter low all year long.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 1008 yards, 6 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 8
84 yards and a TD. That’s what I needed.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yard, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 771 yards, 6 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
44 yards and a score. Nice.

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2332 yards passing, 492 rushing yards, 12 TDs, 4 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
157 yards passing (with 3 picks) and 27 rushing. But he did win.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 1072 total yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Had 112 total yards and a score, but he’s still way off.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1123 yards, 10 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
89 yards and a TD. Nice.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1082 yards, 3 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
Had 100 yards. His team sucks
I’m sucking at my predicitions, although my bust picks are pretty good still.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Brian Griese
23.1 beat Jeff Garcia 15.8 as I predicted.
Marion Barber III 7.2 Willie Parker 6.6 as I predicted.
Brian Leonard 5.9 beat Jerious Norwood 4.5 as I predicted.
Braylon Edwards 15.7 beat Kevin Curtis 2.1 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Marvin Harrison 0.8 beat Javon Walker 0.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Walker didn’t play. Harrison got hurt. Pretty much a wash.

Super Stretch
Larry Fitzgerald 12.3 beat Wes Welker 4.9 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Season Record: 11-9 Regular Picks, 3-1 Super Stretch Picks, 14-10 Overall
QB: 3-1, RB: 8-3, WR: 3-6

This Week’s Picks
Jon Kitna over Peyton Manning
Bring on the Big Gun. Kitna should be airing it out aginst Washington. Tampa will slightly slow down Manning. That’s my thought anyway.

Edgerrin James over Frank Gore
St. Louis is falling apart. Look for Edge to roll over them. Gore gets to face Baltimore. Any questions?

Michael Pittman over Cedric Benson
Pittman will have to share carries with Earnest Graham, but he still hould outproduce sucky Cedric Benson.

Brandon Marshall over Braylon Edwards
With Javon Walker and Travis Henry banged up, Marshall will be called upon heavily. Edwards gets to deal with Asante Samuel.

Roy Williams over Steve Smith
Roy will run wild against Washington. Steve Smith is in a major slump.

SUPER STRETCH
Gus Frerotte over Matt Hasselbeck
Gus is getting the nod because of Bulger’s rib injury. Matt travels to Pittsburgh. It’s going to be a long day for Matt.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4

Fantasy Football Forum
Did you win your matchup this week? What’s your record? Tom Brady’s solid Monday night helped me remain undefeated. Luck was on my side as I had the 3rd lowest score in my 8 man keeper league. Nonetheless, I’m the only one at 4-0. Aside from Brady, I got a solid performance from Laveranues Coles and recently acquired Travis Henry. I dealt Rudi Johnson and Mark Clayton for Henry and Santana Moss. My opponent had a huge game from Addai, but an injury kept him from finishing. Also, MeO did nothing despite Dallas scoring 2 TDs. I got cute and started Benson over Larry Johnson. LJ had a solid 14.8 points for my bench. I also had Dallas Clark and his 2 TDs on the bench in favor of Heath Miller.

That’s how my weekend of fantasy football went. How did you do?

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are mypreseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: 1020 yards, 0 TDs, 4 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Hurt. Did not play.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: 1844 yards, 4 TDs, 4 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
He got hurt on the 3rd play of the game.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1440 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 8
Had a bye.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 844 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 4
45 total yards. Not what I was expecting.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 28 yards
Did not play because of ankle injury.
Right-O-Meter: 1 – An ankle injury will keep the Right-O-Meter low all year long.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 924 yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 4
52 yards.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yard, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 805 yards, 5 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Solidf 82 yard performance

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2272 yards passing, 512 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 5 rushing TDs, 15 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Had a bye. My predictions are on target, but a further review of my projections, and those numbers wouldn’t be that bad.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 832 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Had a bye.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1048 yards, 8 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
He only had 52 yards.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 952 yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
He finally picked up a TD. He’s coming around. I think I’m way off on this.

I’m sucking at my predicitions, although my bust picks are pretty good still.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Brett Favre 30.55 beat Jason Campbell 14.7 WHICH I GOT WRONG
Frank Gore 5.1 beat Rudi Johnson 4.2 WHICH I GOT WRONG
LaMont Jordan
21.3 beat Maurice Jones-Drew as I predicted.
Larry Fitzgerald 8.5 beat Santana Moss 8.4 WHICH I GOT WRONG
However, Fitz fumbled a ball so if your league deducts for fumbles, Moss was the better play.
Vincent Jackson 16.8 beat Hines Ward 0.9 as I predicted.

Super Stretch
LenDale White 12.0 beat Thomas Jones 11.1 asI predicted.

Season Record: 8-7 Regular Picks, 3-0 Super Stretch Picks, 11-7 Overall
QB: 2-1, RB: 6-3, WR: 3-3

This Week’s Picks
Brian Griese over Jeff Garcia
Chicago is finally pulling the plug on the Rex Grossman Experiment. Griese has a solid day to keep the job for a while. Garcia struggles a little on the road against Carolina.

Marion Barber III over Willie Parker
MB3 has been awesome. He should have no problems against St. Louis at home. Fast Willie won’t be able to keep up on the road against Arizona.

Brian Leonard over Jerious Norwood
Leonard gets the starting nod because of S-Jax’s injury. He takes advantage of by outperforming Norwood against Houston’s surprisingly good D.

Kevin Curtis over Braylon Edwards
Curtis shows he was no fluke against a weak Giants pass D. Edwards has the fun matchup with Baltimore.

Javon Walker over Marvin Harrison
Their teams square off so why not an Out on a Limb square off as well.  Denver will be playing from behind padding Walker’s stats. Indy will be up so Addai will get the work. Not to mention Marvin has to share with Wayne.
SUPER STRETCH
Wes Welker
over Larry Fitzgerald
I’m really picking on Fitz this year. He hasn’t reached rock bottom yet. Facing Pittsburgh will bring him there. I sense Brady will remind everyone that it’s not just Randy Moss this year.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

What Happened to Our Running Backs?

I’ll ask it again. What has happened to our running backs? LaDainian Tomlinson, Steven Jackson, and Larry Johnson. These guys were generally the top 3 picks in most fantasy drafts. LJ may have slid depending on when you drafted based on his preseason contract situation. Rudi Johnson, Willis McGahee, Laurence Maroney, Maurice Jones-Drew, and Reggie Bush were late first, early second round picks. All of these players have been fairly disappointing thus far.

These running backs are being outscored by the likes of Randy Moss, Chad Johnson, Plaxico Burress, Steve Smith, Roy Williams, Terrell Owens, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Kevin Curtis, Anquan Boldin, Braylon Edwards, and Andre Johnson (who even missed a game). I could see Randy Moss, Chad Johnson, Steve Smith, and Terrell Owens, but the rest? That’s crazy.

Not all of the running backs are off to slow starts. Brian Westbrook and Ronnie Brown have rode big Week 3′s to the top of the scoring list. Joseph Addai and Willie Parker have been great. Marion Barber III, LaMont Jordan, Adrian Peterson, Clinton Portis, Edgerrin James, and Derrick Ward have been surprisingly some of the strongest, most consistent plays.

How many of these guys brought jeers from your leaguemates when you selected them in your draft? Who’s laughing now? Fantasy football is unpredictable. You can research until your face turns blue, but sometimes a little luck is all you need. So when you are drafting next year, try not to make fun of people for their picks. Remember, anything can happen.

So what can you do with this info? If you’re me, you seek out the owners of the running backs who have been disappoinments. Obviously, LT is most likely untouchable. As is Reggie Bush, whose value increased with the injury to Deuce McAllister. There may not be a better time to try and get S-Jax. He’s hurt and has been struggling. However, if you can get him for a bargain, it will help you in the long run. Eventually, New England will use the running game more. If you can get Maroney for cheap, you may be smiling when your faith is rewarded. Kansas City worked the outside with Dwayne Bowe, which opened the middle for Tony Gonzalez. That could eventually opens things up for LJ. Have you looked at Cincinnati’s fantasy playoff schedule (Weeks 14-16)? It’s as close to a cake walk as you’re going to get in the NFL. For that reason, he could be a trade target. I don’t recommend MJD. I predicted he’d be a bust in the preseason, and he’s making me look like a genius.

So there you have it. A little bit of news. A little bit of trade help. Hopefully it helps you. Agree with my assessments? Think I’m full of it? Feel free to leave me a comment below.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Fantasy Football Forum
Did you win your matchup this week? What’s your record? Me, I’m 3-0. I was the 2nd high scorer in my league this week despite getting less than 8 points from Larry & Rudi Johnson. The guy who carried the big lumber for me this week was Kevin Curtis. My opponent was less than pleased. As you may know, I’m in an 8 man keeper league. I’m pretty proud of starting Curtis in an 8 man league. Tom Brady was amazing yet again. Chad Johnson played well. My free agent pickup of Dallas Clark paid an immediate dividend. I finally found a kicker in Jeff Reed. I would have been better off starting Benson or LenDale over either Johnson.

That’s how my weekend of fantasy football went. How did you do?
Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are mypreseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: 1360 yards, 0 TDs, 5 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Losman got hurt. Really hurts your projections. He completed every pass in Week 3. So what if he just threw one pass.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: 2459 yards, 5 TDs, 5 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Well, he finally cracked 200 yards and threw his first TD.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1440 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 8
56 total yards in Week 3. LenDale has scored the past two weeks though. Brown needs to break some long ones.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 885 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 4
His 66 total yards was his season’s best.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 37 yards
Did not play because of ankle injury.
Right-O-Meter: 1 – An ankle injury will keep the Right-O-Meter low all year long.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 955 yards, 5 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 6
98 yards and a score. That’s what I’m talking about.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yard, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 805 yards, 5 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Solidf 82 yard performance

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2272 yards passing, 512 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 5 rushing TDs, 15 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
My predictions are on target, but a further review of my projections, and those numbers wouldn’t be that bad.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 832 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
55 total yards. Another stinker. At least he outscored Larry and Rudi Johnson this week.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1120 yards, 11 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 5
He didn’t reach the endzone this week. His 63 yards were mediocre, but keep in mind Bulger only threw for 116 yards.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 891 yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 8
His yardage is better than I thought, but he still hasn’t reached the endzone. He did have a solid 7 catch, 96 yard game against Minnesota. Dwayne Bowe looked good, which could open things up for Gonzo and LJ.

I continue to bomb at QB. Half of my WR prediction seems to be coming around. MY RBs need to break long TDs to get me going. TE has been solid. My bust picks are still pretty accurate.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Brett Favre 26.1 beat Marc Bulger 22.4 as I predicted.
Shaun Alexander 13.5 beat Steven Jackson 9.6 as I predicted.
Laurence Maroney 7.7 beat Maurice Jones-Drew 4.1 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Marvin Harrison 8.7 beat Reggie Wayne 7.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
I’m 0-3 picking Reggie’s this year.
Santonio Holmes 5.3 beat Ronald Curry 1.2 as I predicted.

Super Stretch
Cedric Benson 11.0 beat Larry Johnson 8.7 as I predicted.

Season Record: 6-4, 2-0
QB: 2-0, RB: 4-2, WR: 2-2

This Week’s Picks
Jason Campbell over Brett Favre
Last week I rode Favre against a porous Giants defense. This time I’m flipping the switch on the old man. I’m going Campbell against the aforementioned porous Giants D, figuring Shawn Merrim*n and company will force Favre into plenty of mistakes.

LaMont Jordan over Maurice Jones-Drew
MJD let me down last week. This week I’m picking on him. LaMont Jordan should be able to move the chains against Cleveland. MJD will have his hands full with Denver’s tough D.

Rudi Johnson over Frank Gore
I’ll take on Gore again. I’m not going with a Reggie this time. Instead, I’ll take Rudi against Seattle. I like the matchup better than Gore against Pittsburgh.

Santana Moss over Larry Fitzgerald
Jason Campbell has to throw to somebody. I think Moss gets in the endzone. I wouldn’t be surprised if he ran one in as well. Fitz has gotten off to a slow start. Facing Baltimore won’t help

Vincent Jackson over Hines Ward
Vincnet Jackson has been pretty quiet. I think he gets it going this week against Green Bay. Hines Ward will have Nate Clements to deal with in SF.

STRETCH
LenDale White
over Thomas Jones
LenDale has actually been pretty productive. Thomas Jones hasn’t got on track yet. Facing New England, Baltimore, and now Miami won’t help. He is a buy low candidate though. I suggest you try and steal him from his owner in your leauge.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2

Fantasy Football Forum
Did you win your matchup this week? 2-0, 1-1, or 0-2? Me, I’m 2-0. I was the high scorer in my league this week despite another non-Larry Johnsonesque performance from LJ. The other Johnsons (Chad, Andre, and Rudi) carried the load for me. Tom Brady sealed the deal. I feel bad for my opponent. He had the second highest score with big games from Kellen Winslow, Housh, MN DEF, and Edge. Thankfully he had Jamal Lewis and Cotchery on the bench. I had another sucky game from a kicker. I picked up Kasay and he was awful. I hate kickers. I want to be in a league that just doesn’t have them. Next year maybe. Cedric Benson or LenDale White would have been better plays at RB than LJ. Oh well.

That’s how my weekend of fantasy football went. How did you do?

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are mypreseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: 2008 yards, 0 TDs, 8 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Horrible Week 2. Faced tough Pittsburgh D. Needs to step up big time. At least he didn’t throw a pick.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: 2016 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Another mediocre game for Smith. He’s winning though.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1712 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 8
Brown came back to Earth. My projections still look pretty good.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 800 yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 5
43 total yards. Not so great.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 4 receptions, 28 yards, 0 TDs
Did not play because of ankle injury.
Right-O-Meter: 1 – An ankle injury will keep the Right-O-Meter low all year long.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 648 yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 1
He better start catching some TDs if my projections are going to be even close.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yard, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 552 yards, 8 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
34 yards. He didn’t exactly set the world on fire. A TD would have been nice.

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2096 yards, 600 rushing yards, 8 TDs, 8 rushing TDs, 8 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Pretty on the money thus far.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 808 yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Another horrible performance for a 2nd round fantasy pick. 41 total yards. Are you kidding me?

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1176 yards, 16 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 3
He scored a TD for the second straight week. Can’t argue with that.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 568 yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
43 yards. Yuck.

I continued to bomb at QB and WR. I’m still doing well at RB & TE. My bust picks, aside from Holt, are money.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week

Last Week
Big Ben 24.25 beat Vince Young 12.1 as I predicted.
Travis Henry 18.3 beat Shaun Alexander 17.4 as I predicted.
Frank Gore 13.6 beat Reggie Bush 4.5 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Roy Williams 8.0 beat Reggie Brown 1.4 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Andre Johnson 19.2 beat Chad Johnson 15.7 as I predicted.Super Stretch
Joseph Addai 20.3 beat LT as I predicted.
Season Record: 3-2, 1-0
QB: 1-0, RB: 2-1, WR: 1-1

 

This Week’s Picks
Brett Favre over Marc Bluger
The Giants made Tony Romo look like Joe Montana last week. This week they make Brett Favre look like a younger version of himself. SF’s defense looked pretty good on MNF.

Maurice Jones-Drew over Laurence Maroney
I’m not a huge MJD guy. However, I think he’ll win the battle of the 2nd year backs this week. Jax is coming off a tough loss to Tennessee. They are going to focus heavily on the run against Atlanta, who flat out stinks. Maroney will have to deal with San Diego.

Shaun Alexander over Steven Jackson
SA will continue his TD scoring ways against Arizona. S-Jax struggles a bit without Orlando Pace.

Reggie Wayne over Marvin Harrison
Reggie will continue to prove that he’s finally the best receiver on the Colts. Noboday can stay with him…period. Marvin will do fine, but he loses out to his teammate

Santonio Holmes over Ronald Curry
I think Santonio has a decent outing this week. I’m not putting him in the endzone, but I think he does good. Ronald Curry will be facing Champ Bailey, who I’m sure realizes Curry had 10 grabs last week for 133 yards and a touch. Bailey will not allow him to repeat.

Super Stretch
Cedric Benson over Larry Johnson
Kansas City is awful. They are just what the doctor order for a struggling Chicago offense. Chicago shut down LT. They will be looking to same against LJ.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1


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