I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Jay Cutler 11.95 beat Vince Young 8.4 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Frank Gore (19.2) and Ryan Grant (16.9) combined (36.1) to beatLaDainian Tomlinson 17.4 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Brian Westbrook 10.9 beat Adrian Peterson 6.8 (4.8 acutal plus 2 spotted) as I predicted.
Hines Ward 5.9 beat Torry Holt 4.1 as I predicted.
Donald Driver 6.2 (3.2 plus 3 spotted points) beat Greg Jennings 4.2 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Super Stretch
Clinton Portis 23.15 beat Kenny Watson 21.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Regular Picks: 2-3
Super Stretch Picks: 0-1
Overall: 2-4
Breakdown: QB: 0-1, RB 1-2, WR: 1-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 37-43-1
Super Stretch Picks: 12-4
Overall: 49-47-1
Breakdown: QB: 7-11, RB: 25-16-1, WR: 16-20

This Week’s Picks 
Kurt Warner over Tom Brady
Tom will get the Pats out to an early lead, get the record, and check out. Warner will keep throwing and throwing and throwing…. 

Laurence Maroney over Marion Barber
Former Golden Gophers squaring off. Maroney will continue his December surge. MB3 will face a hungry Washington team with little on the line. 

Jamal Lewis over Joseph Addai
Jamal will cap a fine season against San Francisco while Addai will likely be hitting the showers early 

Anquan Boldin over Reggie Wayne
See Exhibit A Kurt Warner for Boldin and Exhibit B Joseph Addai for Wayne. 

Brandon Marshall over Andre Johnson
Marshall has been on fire. Johnson has been on fire. Who would you rather face? Minnesota or Jacksonville. Pretty easy answer.

SUPER STRETCH 
Najeh Davenport over Ryan Grant
Grant will probably have an early exit as the Pack prepare for the playoffs.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8
Week 9
Week 10
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15

Week 16

Merry Christmas

Fantasy Football Forum
Did you win your championship? I had four matchups this weekend. One was for the championship on NFL.com with some friends from the Sporting News. I was in two third place games. One was a Yahoo public league that I joined super early because I had the itch and the Sporting News mock drafts weren’t open. The other was a league of friends from college and past co-workers. Finally, in my money league I was playing in the 5th place game.

In the NFL.com championship, I made the mistake of benching Dallas Clark. I figured Anthony Gonzalez was taking Clark’s numbers so I went with Owen Daniels. I put Aaron Stecker in the lineup briefly before re-inserting LenDale White. I was fortunate enough to have TENN D, Randy Moss, and Reggie Wayne. I was up big, but was facing LT and Gates. Gates fizzled at the end, and it was too much for even LT to overcome. I was happy to see I won the title.

In my public league I put Kurt Warner in the starting spot after Romo hurt his thumb. When I found out he was OK, I went back to Romo. Dance with who brought you there. Mistake. Ryan Grant, Dwayne Bowe, and TENN D did the trick though, as I added a third place trophy to my Yahoo trophy case.

In my friend’s league I got off to a huge start with T.O., MB3, and Steven Jackson. Tony Gonzalez sealed the deal as I won that third place trophy as well. Incidentally, a guy in this league named his team Future League Champ after the draft. He lived up to the billing. Impressive.

In my keeper league, I struggled during the year, as you very may know. Andre Johnson, Isaac Bruce, Marshawn Lynch, and Kolby Smith led the way as I won the Toilet Bowl. At least I went out a winner. To be honest, I probably wouldn’t have started Bruce this week, but didn’t make any moves after I was eliminated from the actual playoffs.
Learning time: If you are eliminated from the playoffs, but are still allowed to play in the consolation playoffs, do not make any roster moves. You should leave the players to the people who are actually competiting for the championship.

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are my preseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
Did not play.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
Did not play.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 608 total yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 5
Only ran for 15 yards, but the TD helped.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 859 yards, 1 TD
Right-O-Meter: 2
29 total yards. Lovely.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting
Right-O-Meter: 1
Did not play.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 651 yards, 3 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Missed the boat on this guy. He did have four catches for 46 yards, which is good for him.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for : 582 yards, 7 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 9
Heath did not come to play in Week 16. He had just 7 more yards than me.

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16
TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2548 passing, 401 rushing, 10 passing TDs, 3 rushing, 18 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
166 passing yards. 1 Rushing yard. Brutal.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 1253 total yards, 10 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 5
140 yards and a score. Way to deliver in the Super Bowl.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1169 yards, 7 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
41 yards put him right on line with my prediction.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1182 yards, 5 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 5
At least I have the TDs right. 137 yard in the Super Bowl. Nice.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Let’s face it.  Your season should be over.  If you’re still going in Week 17, maybe I’ll help you uncover a gem.  I suppose if you’re in a salary cap  league you’re still active so I’ll look at the surprising performers and let you know if they are worth a roster move.

QB
Todd Collins -
Dallas doesn’t have much to play for.  Washington is hungry.  Their WRs are coming on.  I’d roll with Collins in a salary cap league.  He’d be worth so little that you could upgrade elsewhere.  On an actual team, maybe.  If you have Eli as your starter, Todd may be a better play.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
Tarvaris Jackson - It was nice to see him use his feet for a change.  I don’t see him going to Denver and having a good day though. 
Ruling – Don’t Sweat ’em.

RB
najeh-davenport.jpg
Photo courtesy of JL Dykstra/Icon SMI

Najeh Davenport
-  He mashed last week after Willie Parker broke his leg.  He needs to get more work in for the playoff run.  I’d get him without a doubt.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
Ahmad Bradshaw - Was his big game a fluke?  Probably.  Will the Giants rest Brandon Jacobs vs. the Pats?  Maybe.  Will I pick up Bradshaw?  Doubtful.  
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

WR
Nate Washington
- His last three catches have been TDs.  He doesn’t catch enough balls though.  He’s had only seven receptions in his last four games.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.
Laurent Robinson - Maybe they are trying to see what the rookie has.  He was solid with 114 yards and a TD.  I’m not seeing a repeat though.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

TE
Jerramy Stevens -
He had a nice 73 yard, 2 TD game against San Francisco.  If you’re hurting, why not try the hot hand?
Ruling:  Get ‘em.There you have it.  I hope I provided you some good info while you make your fantasy team waiver wire adjustments.

NFL Week 16 Fill-ins

21 December 2007

It’s most likely your Super Bowl.  If you aren’t that lucky, maybe you’re playing for 3rd and your money back.  Maybe you’re just playing for pride.  No matter what, you want to win this week.  If your lineup is hurting, I’m here to offer some other options.

QB
Donovan McNabb
- Chances are you haven’t counted on him for some time.  Well, this week is as good as any as he play New Orleans.  Sure, the Eagles are dead, but they are still playing for pride.  

vince-young.jpg
Photo courtesy of Margaret Bowles/Icon SMI
 
Vince Young - It’s time for VY to shrug off that Madden Curse and put up a solid game agaisnt the J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS.  I get the feeling he runs one in this week.

RB
Najeh Davenport - I see him getting 167 total yards and 2 TDs after Willie Parker breaks his leg.  OK, time to get serious.  Here are my real picks. 
Rudi Johnson -  If I had Rudi, I’d hitch my cart to him this weekend against Cleveland.  He’s been mostly junk this year, but I see him coming through huge for those lucky (or unlucky given his earlier play) enough to have him.
Kolby Smith - Since his first start , Kolby hasn’t been all that impressive.  This week he faces Detroit.  I see Kolby getting a TD as a stocking stuffer.
Lamont Jordan - I’m not loving his matchup against Jacksonville, but if you need a warm body, Jordan is your guy.  If you’re really, really hurting Dominic Rhodes may get you a couple points.

WR
Roydell Williams 
-  He’s played well recently averaging 66 yards and a TD the past three weeks.  I think he has a solid game against Detroit.
Kevin Curtis -  The highlight of my fantasy football season this year was starting Curtis in his 11 catch, 221 yard, 3 TD game against Detroilet.  Curtis has only scored twice since that outburst.  I think this is the weekend he returns to the endzone.  Hopefully, he called up Chad Johnson for celebration ideas since with only 6 TDs, Ocho is sure to have some that he won’t get to this year.

TE
Chris Baker - With wet noodle arm Chad Pennington back in the starting lineup, look for Baker to be busy on Sunday. 

K
Shaun Suisham
-  Shaun has 9 FGs over the past 4 weeks, including three in the horrible conditions at Giants Stadium last week.  He’ll find it a little cozier in the Metrodump.

DEF
Arizona
- One word.  Atlanta.
Tennessee - Three words.  New York Jets.
Kansas City - One word.  Detroit.

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Ben Roethlisberger 20.8 beat Matt Hasselbeck 18.8 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
     Big Ben didn’t need the two points I spotted him.
Edgerrin James 9.5 beat Marion Barber 3.2 as I predicted.
Earnest Graham 17.9 beat Maurice Jones-Drew 11.9 (9.9 a ctual +2 spotted) as I predicted.
Torry Holt 8.1 beat Lee Evans 3.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Chris Chambers 7.8 beat Roddy White 0.4 as I predicted.

Super Stretch
Adrian Peterson 21.5 crushed Ryan Grant 12.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Regular Picks: 3-2
Super Stretch Picks: 0-1
Overall: 3-3
Breakdown: QB: 0-1, RB: 2-1, WR: 1-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 35-40-1
Super Stretch Picks: 12-3
Overall: 47-43-1
Breakdown: QB: 7-10, RB: 24-14-1, WR: 15-19

This Week’s Picks 
Vince Young over Jay Cutler
They came in the league at the same time. Vince Yound has a better record as a starter, but Cutler has been the better fantasy play this year. This week, though, I think it’s Vince Young who makes the better fantasy play. I think the Madden Curse gets a rest this week as he faces the Jets. Cutler has a much tougher matchup against San Diego. 

lt.jpg
Photo courtesy of Scott Wachter/Icon SMI

LaDainian Tomlinson over Frank Gore and Ryan Grant Combined
It almost seems as if LT is stepping up his game just for the fantasy football playoffs. He’s been a beast the past three weeks. Facing Denver’s weak sauce run defense should carry many an LT owner to their Super Bowl victory. Frank Gore was great last week, but it won’t be as easy against Tampa Bay. Ryan Grant faces Chicago, who looked decent against the run against Minnesota. 

Brian Westbrook over Adrian Peterson +2
I’ll take All Day on once again. I’ll even spot him two points. I’m taking Brian “Please don’t take another knee” Westbrook on the road over All Day at home. 

Hines Ward over Torry Holt
It’s fun doing head-to-head games. This one is no exception. These are two WRs who play hard and let their actions speak louder than their celebrations. Pittsburgh’s D will be the difference in this one. 

Greg Jennings over Donald Driver +3
They got the wrong guy. Greg Jennings should have made the Pro Bowl over his teammate Donald Driver. He’s scored in ten of the twelve games he’s played this year. I’ll spot Driver 3 and still like my chances.

SUPER STRETCH 
Kenny Watson over Clinton Portis
Rudi was a dud last weekend. He should be a winner this weekend though facing Cleveland. Clinton Portis will have to get involved in the passing game if he wants to have a solid game against Minnesota.
Rudi isn’t playing so I’m subbing in Kenny Watson so I have a chance.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8
Week 9
Week 10
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15

Fantasy Football Forum
How are your playoffs going? In my main league, I won in the losers’ bracket. Brett Favre was solid. Andre Johnson was money. Tampa Defense was lights out. I finished 1st in three of my other five leagues so the playoffs kicked off for me. I got dumped in two of them. My best season is an NFL.com league with guys from SportingNews.com. I finished 13-1 and moved on to the title game. So, that’s my story. What’s yours?

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are my preseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
Did not play.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
Did not play.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 634 total yards, 3 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 3
His 29 total yards didn’t help my projection.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 885 yards, 1 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 4
Solid 71 yards of total offense.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting
Right-O-Meter: 1
Did not play.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 645 yards, 3 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
Thirty yards. His team scored 51 points and that’s all you got. Awful.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for : 616 yards, 8 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10++++
Are you kidding me? My picks have sucked this year, but Miller has been just about spot on. 24 yards and a score weren’t bad.

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2541 passing, 429 rushing, 10 passing TDs, 3 rushing, 18 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
VY had a solid game this week. 191 through the air. 32 on the ground. 2 TDs without an INT.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 1183 total yards, 9 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 9
99 total yards. He didn’t score this week though so it helped my projection.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1206 yards, 8 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 7
Only 21 yards, but he did get in the endzone.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1110 yards, 6 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 3
Only 17 yards.

This week helped a little.

Don’t forget to swing by my website lesterslegends.com for additional fantasy footbal info, such as my weekly Get ‘em or Don’t Sweat ‘em picks from Week 15.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Did your Stud go Dud?

17 December 2007

Wow!  What a horrible time for the winter chill to hit the NFL.  The wind and the snow turned fantasy dreams into fantasy nightmares.  Chances are if you thought you were going to ride Tom Brady to the promised land, you got dropped off one stop too short on Third Place Game Boulevard.  Terrific Tom wasn’t the only one to disappoint.  He had plenty of company.

Obviously Tom Brady was the biggest named QB to flounder this weekend, but Tony Romo and Derek Anderson also had monumental flops.  Romo’s girlfriend sure looked good though.

At running back Romo’s teammate Marion Barber III was the biggest fantasy final four flop.  Rudi Johnson was right there with him, but you probably knew you were taking a chance with Rudi.

It didn’t stop there.  At Wide Receiver Terrell Owens owned Top Flop honors.  Also nominated were Joey Galloway, Plaxico Burress, Lee Evans, Roddy White, and Wes Welker.  Randy Moss and Braylon Edwards produced much less than usual.

Antonio Gates has all but disappeared down the stretch.  His team scored 51 and all he could muster up was 8 yards.  Kellen Winslow, Dallas Clark, and Jeremy Shockey also stunk.

How about a big, fat zero for Rian Lindell.  Did you see that coming against Cleveland?  How about two points for Jeff Reed?  If you lost because of a kicker, I especially feel your pain.

How about Indy’s defense.  No sacks or turnovers against Oakland.  Really?  Same with Seattle.

Chances are if you had any of these players you were sent packing.  If not, consider yourself lucky.  I don’t see them failing two weeks in a row.

I couldn’t get a picture of Jessica Simpson in her pink Tony Romo jersey from Icon Sports Media just yet, but feast your eyes on her singing at a Texans game.  It won’t keep you from being eliminated this week, but it is a sight for sore eyes.

jessica-simpson.jpg
Photo courtesy of Thomas B. Shea/Icon SMI

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Each week there are some surprising fantasy performers.  I’m going to take a look at them and see if you should go get ‘em or not.

QB
Sage Rosenfels -
He had two striaght solid outings.  I don’t love his matchup with Indy, but he’s the best of the wavier wire garbage if you need to replace a Tony Romo.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
Shaun Hill – Had a decent game against Cincinnati.  It is Cincinnati though.  Next week won’t be fun against Tampa Bay.
Ruling – Don’t Sweat ’em.

RB
stecker.jpg
Photo courtesy of John Pyle/Icon SMI

Aaron Stecker
-  100 yards against Atlanta.  Not bad.  141 total yards and 2 scores agaisnt Arizona.  Nice.  If he slipped, you can get him.  It looks like you can start him if you need to.  Ruling:  Get ‘em.
Darren Sproles- He had 135 total yards and two scores.  He mopped up after LT got done with Detroit.  Don’t expect a repeat.  Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

WR
Roydell Williams  - He seems to be ranked high each week despite only 3 good games to show for.  However, two of those games have come the last two weeks.  He should make it three in a row against the Jets.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
Dennis Northcutt - He’s being targeted, which is nice, but hasn’t had much success this year.  It was his first game over 70 yards since Week 5.  His only game over 80 yards.  Before yesterday’s games his pattern was three games without a score and then a TD, three games without a score and then a TD.  That’s not what you want for the title game. 
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

TE
Chris Baker – Pennington dumped it off to Baker 8 times.  If Chad starts next week, Baker could be worth using.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

There you have it.  I hope I provided you some good info while you make your fantasy team waiver wire adjustments.

NFL Week 15 Fill-ins

14 December 2007

Has the injury bug hit you?  Are you faced with bad matchups?  Well, maybe I can help.  Here are some guys you can plug and play this weekend.

QB
Trent Edwards 
- He threw four TDs last week.  He gets to play Cleveland this week.  Throw in the fact that he’s throwing to Lee Evans in December, one would think he’d be a decent play this week.
Jeff Garcia - If you league penalizes for INTs, then Jeff is your guy.  He just doesn’t throw that many picks.  He should have a solid game against an Atlanta team that is imploding in front of our eyes.

RB
frank-gore.jpg
Photo Courtesy of John Pyle/Icon SMI

Frank Gore - Can you believe it’s come to this with Frank.  However, with guys like Ryan Grant, Earnest Graham, Jamal Lewis, Clinton Portis, Willis McGahee, Edge, etc. having better years than Frank, he isn’t a weekly start anymore.  He should be counted on against Cincinnati though.
Aaron Stecker -  If you’re hurting, at least he’s a warm body.  One coming off a 100 yard performance against Atlanta.  OK, it’s Atlanta, but New Orleans has it’s passing attack working so well that the run should be open.

WR
Deion Branch 
-  Seattle has all but abandoned the run.  Their passing attack is really clicking.  Branch has scored two of the past three weeks and should do well against Carolina.
Anthony Gonzalez -  Yeah, I’m a week late on this one, but that doesn’t mean you can’t plug him in against Oakland.  Oakland defends the pass fairly well, but it doesn’t matter when Peyton is your QB.

TE
Robert Royal - 
He scored twice last week so if you’re hurting, why not ride the hot hand?  Plus he faces Cleveland.

K
Josh Scobee
-  He’s kicked 9 FGs over the past three games.  Facing Pittsburgh, he could be looking at multiple field goal attempts should the Jags sputter in the red zone.

DEF
Cincinnati - 
I’m not real confident in this pick.  The top D’s this weekend should be NE, SD, GB, SEA, TENN, INDY, TB, MN, and BAL.  Chances are you have one of those D’s.  If I was really hurting and gambling, I would take Cincy and hope they force some turnovers.

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Tom Brady 36.35 beat Tony Romo 24.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
He didn’t need the two I spotted him.
Ryan Grant 22.2 beat Willis McGahee 5.2 as I predicted.
Travis Henry 8.4 beat Kolby Smith 1.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Marques Colston 21.2 beat Greg Jennings 16.0 as I predicted.
Wes Welker 13.8 beat Calvin Johnson 5.1 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Super Stretch
Fred Jackson 12.1 beat Frank Gore 11.7 as I predicted.
The fact that Marshawn Lynch played, really made this a Super Stretch.

Regular Picks: 2-3
Super Stretch Picks: 1-0
Overall: 3-3
Breakdown: QB: 0-1, RB: 2-1, WR: 1-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 32-38-1
Super Stretch Picks: 12-2
Overall: 44-40-1
Breakdown: QB: 7-9, RB: 22-13-1, WR: 14-18

This Week’s Picks
Matt Hasselbeck over Ben Roethlisberger +2
Big Ben has more fantasy points than Matt, but Matt’s been hotter. Plus, he gets an easy matchup against Carolina while Big Ben gets to face Jacksonville. I’ll spot Ben two points for his troubles.

edge.jpg
Photo courtesy of Nick Doan/Icon SMI

Edgerrin James over Marion Barber
I like the Edge’s matchup against New Orleans better than MB3′s against Philadelphia. This is risky because if Arizona can’t hang with New Orleans’ offense they will have to all but abandon the run.

Earnest Graham over Maurice Jones-Drew +2
Here’s the thing. Graham will have more total yards than MJD. If MJD finds the endzone it will be close. I’m not sure Pittsburgh will let him. Graham should have little problem finding the endzone against Atlanta. I’ll spot MJD two points.

Lee Evans over Torry Holt
Lee Evans should continue his trend of huge December games against Cleveland. Holt gets to face Green Bay with a QB that’s one hit from the sidelines. I know who I’d rather start given the choice.

Chris Chambers over Roddy White
White has been on fire, but I think this week it’s Chris Chambers’ turn to torch the Lions. Hopefully, Rivers plays otherwise Billy Volek get to become a fantasy football playoffs hero again.

SUPER STRETCH
Ryan Grant over Adrian Peterson
The last time All Day Peterson faced Chicago he ran wild for over 200 yards. I think they will remember that, and keep him somewhat in check. Favre is still hurting a bit so I think the Pack will rely on Grant more against St. Louis.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8
Week 9
Week 10
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14


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