Friday Tidbits 12/14/07

14 December 2007

New England pounded Pittsburgh to improve to 13-0. Tom Brady threw for 399 yards and 4 TDs. Randy Moss caught his 18th & 19 TD passes. So much for guarantees. Miami remained winless. Peyton Manning tossed 4 TDs of his own, including his the 300th of his career, as Indianapolis destroyed Baltimore. Bart Scott got fined $25K for throwing the flag into the stands. Rodney Harris*n was fined $5K for taunting Brian Billick. Mike Shanahan was docked $25K for comments on the Travis Henry appeal. Reggie Bush may miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. Denver signed Brandon Stokley to a three-year extension. Marshawn Lynch returned to action for the Bills. Leonard Pope dislocated his ankle and will miss the rest of the year. Jerramy Stevens was suspended a game for violating the substance abuse policy for a DUI arrest last April. Mario Williams had 3-1/2 sacks to give him 13 for the season and a Texans record 17-1/2. Anyone willing to apologize to the Texans yet? Oh yeah, Houston pounded Denver. 

Pat Riley won his 1200th game. Chris Paul dropped 43 points on Memphis. Manu Ginobili scored 37 in back-to-back games. Micheal Redd’s 41 weren’t enough to beat Kevin Durant (35 points) and the SuperSonics. Stephon Marbury returned to the Knicks. Shareef Abdur-Rahim will miss the rest of the season after knee surgery. Josh Howard poured in 47 as Dallas bested Utah. Deron Williams did his part with 41 points. Big Al Jefferson scored 32 and grabbed 20 boards as Minnesota beat Phoenix. Chris Bosh returned to action. So did LeBron. T.J. Ford was carried away on a stretcher following a flagrant foul. Jamaal Tinsley was involved in a shooting outside a hotel. The Celtics improved to 18-2. Michael Redd was one assist away from a triple-double. Penny Hardaway got kicked to the curb. The Clippers waived Ruben Patterson. Atlanta’s Al Horford was suspended a game for his hit on Ford. 

Colorado’s Milan Hejduk had a hat trick of goals and assists. Detroit’s Henrik Zetterberg netted a hat trick against Minnesota. Philly had two guys net hat trick in the same game. Joffrey Lupul(plus 3 assists) and R.J. Umberger against Pittsburgh. Calgary’s Jarome Iginla and Kristian Huselius netted hat tricks against Tampa Bay. Dion Phaneuf had five assists in that game. This week’s shutouts: Detroit’s Dominik Hasek vs. Minnesota, Florida’s Tomas Vokoun vs. the Islanders, San Jose’s Evgeni Nabokov vs. Phoenix. New York Rangers’ Henrik Lundqvist vs. New Jersey. Ottawa’s Martin Gerber vs. Carolina. Florida’s Tomas Vokoun vs. St. Louis. Nashville signed David Legwand to a six-year, $27 million deal. Atlanta claimed Mark Recchi off waivers. Montreal will be without C Bryan Smoinski for six weeks because of a sprained knee and W Steve Begin for a couple weeks because of a separated shoulder. San Jose will be without Jonathan Cheechoo (groin) and Jeremy Roenick (knee) for a week or more. The Bruins will be without Manny Fernandez for the rest of the year following knee surgery. Pittsburgh G Marc-Andre Fleury could miss a couple months with a sprained knee. Carolina’s Scott Walker got suspeneded one game for head-butting Ottawa’s Mike Fisher. 

Miguel Tejada was traded to Houston. Eric Gagne signed a one-year deal with Milwaukee. Pittsburgh traded reliever Salomon Torres for minor leaguers. LaTroy Hawkins signed a one-year deal with the Yankees. Paul Lo Duca signed with Washington. Colorado signed Aaron Cook to a three-year, $30 million deal. David Segui admitted to using steroids and HGH during his career. San Diego signed Tadahito Iguchi. The Cubs signed OF Kosuke Fukudome to a four-year deal worth $48 million. The Twins signed SS Adam Everett. The Cubs declined an offer to Mark Pryor making him a free agent. Cliff Floyd signed with Tampa Bay. The Mitchell Report was released. A bunch of names were mentioned. I’m sure many more were omitted. Aaron Rowand signed a five-year, $60 million deal with San Francisco. David Eckstein signed a one-year deal with Toronto. The cheap Minnesota Twins signed their yearly garbage free agent in Adam Everett. 

Florida’s Tim Tebow became the first sophomore to win the Heisman Trophy. Darren McFadden won the Sporting News player of the year. Tennessee extended coach Phillip Fulmer’s contract through 2012. Paul Johnson left Navy to coach Georgia Tech. Ken Niumatalolo will take over for Johnson. Rutgers coach Greg Schiano spurned Michigan. Texas A&M will buy out football Dennis Franchione. Can you imagine being paid $4.4 million not to work? Move over Nick Saban. We have a new gutless wonder. Bobby Petrino quit on the Atlanta Falcons to take over the Arkansas gig. Paul Wulff is the new coach at Washington State, his alma mater. Southern Mississippi hired Oklahoma State offensive coordinator Larry Fedora as its new coach. Louisville RB Anthony Allen will transfer next year. 

Kansas G Brandon Rush was arrested for failing to appear in court on traffic charges. #10 Michigan State beat #22 BYU. Dayton upset #11 Louisville. Wright State beat #13 Butler. #15 Marquette beat #23 Wisconsin. Southern Illinois upset #24 Saint Mary’s. David N. Arseneault of Grinnell had 34 assists…in one game. Louisville suspended Derrick Caracter for a curfew violation. Tubby Smith finalized a seven-year deal with Minnesota. USC will be without F Kasey Cunningham for the year after he tore his knee.

That concludes the Tidbits. As always, feel free to add any stories you liked this week in sports or discuss any of the stories I mentioned.

 | Posted by | Categories: MLB, NBA, NFL | Tagged: College Basketball, College Football, NCAA, NHL |

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Tom Brady 36.35 beat Tony Romo 24.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
He didn’t need the two I spotted him.
Ryan Grant 22.2 beat Willis McGahee 5.2 as I predicted.
Travis Henry 8.4 beat Kolby Smith 1.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Marques Colston 21.2 beat Greg Jennings 16.0 as I predicted.
Wes Welker 13.8 beat Calvin Johnson 5.1 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Super Stretch
Fred Jackson 12.1 beat Frank Gore 11.7 as I predicted.
The fact that Marshawn Lynch played, really made this a Super Stretch.

Regular Picks: 2-3
Super Stretch Picks: 1-0
Overall: 3-3
Breakdown: QB: 0-1, RB: 2-1, WR: 1-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 32-38-1
Super Stretch Picks: 12-2
Overall: 44-40-1
Breakdown: QB: 7-9, RB: 22-13-1, WR: 14-18

This Week’s Picks
Matt Hasselbeck over Ben Roethlisberger +2
Big Ben has more fantasy points than Matt, but Matt’s been hotter. Plus, he gets an easy matchup against Carolina while Big Ben gets to face Jacksonville. I’ll spot Ben two points for his troubles.

edge.jpg
Photo courtesy of Nick Doan/Icon SMI

Edgerrin James over Marion Barber
I like the Edge’s matchup against New Orleans better than MB3′s against Philadelphia. This is risky because if Arizona can’t hang with New Orleans’ offense they will have to all but abandon the run.

Earnest Graham over Maurice Jones-Drew +2
Here’s the thing. Graham will have more total yards than MJD. If MJD finds the endzone it will be close. I’m not sure Pittsburgh will let him. Graham should have little problem finding the endzone against Atlanta. I’ll spot MJD two points.

Lee Evans over Torry Holt
Lee Evans should continue his trend of huge December games against Cleveland. Holt gets to face Green Bay with a QB that’s one hit from the sidelines. I know who I’d rather start given the choice.

Chris Chambers over Roddy White
White has been on fire, but I think this week it’s Chris Chambers’ turn to torch the Lions. Hopefully, Rivers plays otherwise Billy Volek get to become a fantasy football playoffs hero again.

SUPER STRETCH
Ryan Grant over Adrian Peterson
The last time All Day Peterson faced Chicago he ran wild for over 200 yards. I think they will remember that, and keep him somewhat in check. Favre is still hurting a bit so I think the Pack will rely on Grant more against St. Louis.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4
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Week 6
Week 7
Week 8
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Week 14

NFL Picks – Week 15

12 December 2007

nfl-logo.jpg
Photo courtesy of Ed Wolfstein/Icon SMI 

I got back on track last week going 12-4. Chicago, Tampa Bay, Tennessee, and Philly let me down. My lock pick of New Orleans was never in doubt.

Last Week: 12-4 (.750 )
Overall: 126-78 (.618 )
Lock Picks: 10-4 (.714)

Lock Pick: Seattle 

Previous Lock Picks: PITT (W), CIN (L), SD (L), BAL (L), DAL (W barely), CHI (L), NE (W), INDY (W), TB (W), GB (W), PHI (W), JAX (W), MINN (W), NO (W)

Week 15 Picks
Houston over Denver
Cincinnati over San Francisco
Tampa Bay over Atlanta
Tennessee over Kansas City
Seattle over Carolina (Lock Pick)
Green Bay over St. Louis
Baltimore over Miami
New England over New York Jets (Virtual Lock)
New Orleans over Arizona
Pittsburgh over Jacksonville (Toss up)
Cleveland over Buffalo
Indianapolis over Oakland (Virtual Lock)
San Diego over Detroit (Virtual Lock)
Dallas over Philadelphia
New York Giants over Washington
Minnesota over Chicago

There you have it. Those are my picks. Any differences?

 | Posted by | Categories: NFL | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks |

Fantasy Football Forum
How did you do? My team got put out of its misery. I was asked about my team’s execution. I said “I was all for it”. Putting the NFL’s best quotes (John McKay) aside, my team sucked. Andre Johnson showed up. He didn’t have much company. Brett Favre was the only other person to record a TD for me. Randy Moss went off against me yet again. So did your playoffs start or do they start next week? How are your odds looking?

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are my preseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
Buffalo had 4 TD passes sthis week. Too bad Losman didn’t throw any.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
Alex Smith had 3.9 fantasy points this week. Oh wait, wrong Alex Smith. Yeah, my guy didn’t play.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 647 total yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 5
He only had 27 total yards, but at least he scored.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 865 yards, 1 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 3
78 total yards this week. Not bad.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting
Right-O-Meter: 1
Did not play.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 657 yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 4
47 yards. Wow. For him that’s pretty good.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for : 634 yards, 7 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Started off good, but only finished with 28 yards.

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2501 passing, 422 rushing, 9 passing TDs, 4 rushing, 20 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
121 passing yards. 2 rushing yards. 2 picks. 0 TDs. See.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 1152 total yards, 11 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 6
45 total yards. When he doesn’t score a TD, he’s been dreadful.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1273 yards, 7 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 8
Solid 90 yards. Didn’t find the endzone.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1174 yards, 6 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 3
76 yards and a TD. That’s what you were hoping for when you drafted him.

I looked a little better this week. Not much.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Each week there are some surprising fantasy performers.  I’m going to take a look at them and see if you should go get ‘em or not.

QB
Trent Edwards 
- I have mixed opinions on this one.  He threw for four TDs against Miami, which is impressive.  I know the Dolphins stink, but they don’t allow much through the air.  That is evidenced by the fact that Edwards only had 165 passing yards.  He plays Cleveland and the Giants in the next two weeks.  I’m not quite ready to label him the next Billy Volek, but if he got you through round 1 of your playoffs, he could easily get you into the title game with that Cleveland matchup.
Ruling – Get ‘em. 
Todd Collins  - If you were counting on Jason Campbell for your playoff run, Collins may not be a horrible replacement.  Matchup against the Giants and Minnesota give you a glimmer of hope.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

RB

Selvin Young -  When the Henry returned from injury and his appeal was won, I figured he’d be the best Broncos back going forward.  After his 156 yard outburst against Kansas City, I don’t think that’s the case.  If Young got dropped in your league because of Henry’s return, do your best add him to your roster.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
Samkon Gato - He had 93 total yards and 2 TDs.  However, they did play the winless Dolphins.  This much I know.  Miami can run.  However, they face Baltimore and New England the next couple of weeks.  Not exactly matchups I’d be rushing to insert Samkon into my lineups for.  Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

WR
anthony-gonzalez.jpg 
Photo courtesy of Todd Kirkland/Icon SMI

Anthony Gonzalez - He had a monster game against Baltimore.  Marvin Harrison will most likely continue to miss time.  Peyton Manning is his QB.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
Jerheme Urban - He exploded against Seattle this week.  However, I think it has fluke written all over it.  Fitz came back, and Boldin is improving.  Even though they have great matchups against New Orleans and Atlanta, I don’t think it will be Urban lighting it up. 
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

TE
Robert Royal 
- He hauled in 2 TD passes.   He’s not great, but he has caught 7 passes the past two weeks and faces Cleveland next week.  If you’re hurting at TE, he could be a decent play.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

There you have it.  I hope I provided you some good info while you make your fantasy team waiver wire adjustments.

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Photo courtesy of Robert E. Klein/Icon SMI

He’s listed at 5’10″, and 203 lbs, but I’d say he’s closer to 5’8″.  He’s the scariest running back in fantasy football.  Scary to own because of his injury risk, and even scarier to face, especially in the fantasy playoffs.  If you had the good fortune of owning him, chances are you’ve had some uneasy feelings along the way.  Nobody likes to see their star player listed as questionable as often as Westbrook is. 

 Yeah, he misses games occasionally, but it’s not for huge chunks at a time.  He misses one game in each of his first two years.  He missed three and four games in his next two seasons.  He missed one game last year and one game so far this year.  So we’re not talking about a chronic injury concern.

His numbers are incredible though.  It all started in 2003.  He had close to a thousand yards of total offense and 11 rushing & receiving TDs.  He followed that up with 812 rushing (3 TDs) and 703 receiving yards (6TDs) in 2004.  2005 was a down year for Westbrook as he had 617 rushing and 616 receiving.  He did score 7 TDs in his 12 games that year.  In 2006 he really blew on the scene.  He had 1217 rushing yards (7 TDs) and 699 receiving yards (4 TDs).  Despite his history of success, he generally wasn’t considered one of the top 5 or 6 picks in fantasy drafts last year. 

What has he done to reward those who had the faith to draft or trade for him?  994 rushing yards (7 TDs) and 604 receiving yards (4 TDs) in eleven games.  Not too shabby.   

He’s had at least 4 receiving TDs in each of the past five seasons.  He’s had at least 600 receiving yards in each of the past four.  That kind of production catching the ball is what sets Westbrook apart from most backs.  He’s having a career year this year, but where’s he going to go next year.  Let’s see.  Adrian Peterson, LT, Addai, maybe Steven Jackson.  Probably not Larry Johnson at this point.  This much I know.  The person who takes him will be less sure about their first round selection that all of the other owners.  However, by the end of the season, that won’t likely be the case.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

NFL Week 14 Fill-ins

7 December 2007

Has the injury bug hit you?  Are you faced with bad matchups?  Well, maybe I can help.  Here are some guys you can plug and play this weekend.

QB
Marc Bulger 
- If he stays healthy, he should be solid against Cincinnati.  He’s an injury risk, but if you’re in need this weekend, Bulger’s your guy.
Jon Kitna - Just when you’re thinking about benching him, he has a home game against a Dallas secondary that isn’t as good as they looked against Brett Favre.  He lost Roy Williams, but he still should be solid.

RB
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Photo courtesy of Chris Livingston/Icon SMI

Shaun Alexander - Seattle has to know that a key to a long run in the playoffs is a strong Shaun Alexander.  I would look to them to keep getting SA back on track.
Jerious Norwood -  He was solid last week, and facing New Orleans is a good way to follow that up. 

WR
Calvin Johnson
-  With Roy Williams injured, the Lions will turn to their prized rookie for more production.  His fantasy owners will reap the rewards.
Chris Henry -  He hasn’t been arrested in a while so Henry makes a strong play against a weak St. Louis secondary.

TE
Benjamin Watson - 
He hasn’t been too involved in the offense lately, but against Pittsburgh I see him as a hot read on a blitz package.  I think Watson will be a big factor.

K
Mike Nugent
-  He’s kicked 11 FGs over the past four weeks.  He should get opportunities against Cleveland.  He’s a solid play this week.

DEF
Buffalo
 - They aren’t a great defense, but Miami stinks.  They should be able to get some QB pressure and force some turnovers.

Friday Tidbits 12/7/07

7 December 2007

Three youths were charge in Sean Taylor’s murder. He was buried on Monday. Unfortunately the Redskins couldn’t honor him with a win. Roy Williams will miss the rest of the year. The Giants will be without Derrick Ward for the year witha broken leg. The Ravens shut McNair down for the year. Zach Thomas is done with Miami this year. LaDainian Tomlinson ran for 177 yards and 2 scores against Kansas City. Peyton Manning fired four TD passes. The Jets kept Miami winless. Adrian Peterson returned for the Vikes with 116 yards and 2 TDs. Travis Henry won his appeal and won’t be suspended for failing a drug test. Denver cut Sam Adams. The Vikings will be without Ray Edw*rds for four games after a steroid violation. Pittsburgh’s Anthony Smith is guaranteeing a win against New England this weekend. They should have Santonio Holmes, Troy Polamalu and Marvel Smith back to increase their odds. Washington beat Chicago in a game where both starting QBs were knocked out with knee injuries. Washington gets a much-needed rest both mentally and physically.

Andrei Kirilenko had a triple-double. It only took until games 13 & 14, but the Bulls finally won consecutive games. Dallas had beaten the Hornets 21 straight times dating back to 1999. Chris Paul and company saw to that streak snapping. Dwight Howard grabbed 23 rebounds to go along with his 30 points against Phoenix. Kevin Durant scored 35. Tracy McGrady fired in 40 against Sacramento. He added a triple-double against Memphis. Stephon Marbury’s dad died during one of his games. He was initially at Madison Square Garden. Jerry Sloan signed an extension with Utah. Tim Duncan’s knee gave San Antonio a scare. Minnesota Timberwovles coach had back surgery and will be out for a while. Former coach Duane Casey needed back surgery last year, but that was because Kevin McHale stabbed him there. “That’s Amare” Stoudamire had 42 points and 13 rebounds against Indiana. Steve Nash handed out 17 assists. He followed that up with18 helpers. Cleveland matched Charlotte’s offer on Anderson Varejao. Allen Iverson dropped 51 in a loss to the Lakers. Sacramento will be without Kevin Martin for a month after he pulled his groin. Tyson Chandler grabbed 22 boards against Detroit. Marcus Camby had 20 against the Lakers.

Zach Parise had his first career hat trick against Montreal. Dustin Byfuglien did the same against Phoenix. Nik Antropov made it three with his against the Rangers. The Wild’s Wes Walz decided to retire. This week’s shutouts: Martin Brodeur vs. Montreal, Atlanta’s Ilya Kovalchuk vs. the Islanders. Edmonton’s Mathieu Garon vs. Anaheim. Carolina’s Cam Ward vs. the Rangers. Dallas will be without RW Jere Lehtinen for two months following abdomin surgery and D Philippe Boucher for a month following his shoulder surgery. Nashville F Scott Nichol was suspended five games for hitting Patrice Brisebois in the head. Philly’s Riley Cote was suspended for three games for throwing an elbow. They are trying to revive the Broad Street Bullies moniker. Court documents revealed that Todd Bertuzzi’s hit on Steve Moore may have been ordered by Coach Marc Crawford. Scott Niedermayer will rejoin Anaheim. Boston traded a minor leaguer and a draft pick for G Alex Auld.

The Tigers made a big splash by acquiring Miguel Cabrera and Dontrelle Willis from Florida for prospects. The Mets traded OF Lasting Milledge to Washington for C Brian Schneider and OF Ryan Church. The Padres sign P Randy Wolf to a one-year deal that could be worth up to $9 million. Washington traded with Tampa Bay for Elijah Dukes. Boston re-signed Mike Timlin. Andy Pettitte will pitch for the Yankees this year. Atlanta traded Jose Ascanio to the Cubs for Will Ohman and Omar Infante. Kansas City signed Jose Guill*n to a three-year $36 million deal. He was be suspended 15 games for HGH involvement. Jay Gibb*ns was also suspended. David Riske signed a three-year deal with Milwaukee. Andruw Jones signed a two-year deal with the Dodgers worth $36 million. Not quite Willie, Mickey, and the Duke, but LA does have some nice Centerfielders now. Washington signed Aaron F’n Boone.

The craziness continued as #1 Missouri and #2 West Virginia fell to Oklahoma and Pitt respectively. The BCS is really a mess now. #6 Virginia Tech avenged an earlier loss to #11 Boston College. #7 LSU took care of #14 Tennessee. Colt Brennan threw for 442 more yards and 5 more TDs against Washington to overcome a 21 point deficit to remain undefeated. Nobody else wants it. Let them play for the National Championship. Oregon State upset #17 Oregon. UCLA fired Karl Dorrell. LSU DT Glenn Dorsey won the Bronko Nagurski Trophy as the nation’s top defensive player. He added the Lombardi Award, honoring him as the nation’s top college lineman or linebacker. Nebraska hired Bo Pelini, who was the Defensive Coordinator for LSU. Les Miles will remain at LSU. UConn Coach Randy Edsall will stay with the school despite his success. Virginia DE Chris Long (Howie’s son) won the Ted Hendricks Award for being the best defensive end. Yemi Babalola and Brandon Joiner of Texas A&M football players have been charged with armed robbery. Les Miles will be with LSU through 2012. At least that’s what his contract says. Darren McFadden won the Walter Camp and Doak Walker Awards. Tim Tebow won the Maxwell and Davey O’Brien Awards. Safe to say one of them will win the Heisman.

Lute Olson is going to take a leave for the rest of the season. #8 Texas upset #1 UCLA 63-61. #4 Kansas beat #24 USC. #15 Indiana beat #22 Southern Illinois. Eric Gordon led the way with 22 points. He got hurt, but Indiana kept rolling. Arizona upset #9 Texas A&M behind Jerryd Bayless’ 26 points. Freshman Alex Legion wants to transfer from Kentucky. Washington Guard Adrian Oliver is also transferring. #6 Washington State bested #19 Gonzaga 51-47.

That concludes the Tidbits. As always, feel free to add any stories you liked this week in sports or discuss any of the stories I mentioned.

 | Posted by | Categories: MLB, NBA, NFL | Tagged: College Basketball, College Football, NCAA, NHL |

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Tony Romo 31.25 destoyed Brett Favre 2.8 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Brian Westbrook 19.9 beat Clinton Portis 12.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Edgerrin James 11.4 beat Joseph Addai 6.7 as I predicted.
Terrell Owens 21.6 beat Greg Jennings 14.7 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Braylon Edwards 20.9 smoked Larry Fitzgerald 0.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Super Stretch
Travis Henry 16.9 over Rudi Johnson 9.4 as I predicted.

Regular Picks: 1-4
Super Stretch Picks: 1-0
Overall: 2-4
Breakdown: QB: 0-1, RB: 1-2, WR: 1-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 30-35-1
Super Stretch Picks: 11-2
Overall: 41-37-1
Breakdown: QB: 7-8, RB: 20-12-1, WR: 13-17

This Week’s Picks 
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Photo courtesy of James D. Smith/Icon SMI

Tony Romo over Tom Brady +2
All right. I’ll take on the big guy. I’ll even spot him two points.  I’ll take Romo against the Lions over Brady facing the Steelers. 

Ryan Grant over Willis McGahee
Both of these backs are on fire. However, one gets to face the soft Oakland defense (Grant) while the other has a tougher task against the Colts (McGahee). 

Kolby Smith over Travis Henry
I’ll take the rookie over Travis “All My Children” Henry.   Thanks JP, for the borrowed term. Denver’s run defense is pretty soft. 

Marques Colston over Greg Jennings
Jennings has been a TD machine, but Atlanta’s pass defense is much worse than the Raiders. 

Calvin Johnson over Wes Welker
With Roy Williams out the Lions will have to lean heavily on the rookie. I think he responds. Welker will have a hard time finding space against that tough Pittsburgh defense.

SUPER STRETCH 
Fred Jackson over Frank Gore
Fred gets to go off against Miami. Most likely Marshawn Lynch won’t play. Gore faces a tough MN run defense. This one could easily blow up in my face.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments. 

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8
Week 9
Week 10
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13

NFL Picks – Week 14

5 December 2007

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Photo courtesy of Ed Wolfstein/Icon SMI 

I sucked last week. Miami, Philadelphia, Washington, Kansas City, San Francisco, Cleveland, Denver, New Orleans, and Chicago let me down. At least my lock pick of Minnesota came through.

Last Week: 7-9 (.438 )
Overall: 114-74 (.606)
Lock Picks: 9-4 (.692)

Lock Pick: New Orleans

Previous Lock Picks: PITT (W), CIN (L), SD (L), BAL (L), DAL (W barely), CHI (L), NE (W), INDY (W), TB (W), GB (W), PHI (W), JAX (W), MINN (W)

Week 14 Picks
Chicago over Washington
Buffalo over Miami
Cincinnati over St. Louis
Jacksonville over Carolina (Virtual Lock)
Dallas over Detroit (Virtual Lock)
Tampa Bay over Houston
Green Bay over Oakland (Virtual Lock)
Tennessee over San Diego (Toss-up Game)
Philadelphia over New York Giants
Minnesota over San Francisco
Seattle over Arizona
Denver over Kansas City
New England over Pittsburgh
Cleveland over New York Jets
Indianapolis over Baltimore
New Orleans over Atlanta (Lock Pick)

There you have it. Those are my picks. Any differences?

 | Posted by | Categories: NFL | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks |

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