NFL Picks – Week 12

21 November 2007

nfl-logo.jpg
Photo courtesy of Ed Wolfstein/Icon SMI

I was decent last week in my picks. I went 10-6 in the first full week since Week 3. My losers were SD, DET, NO, OAK, CIN, PITT, and TENN. My lock pick of Philadelphia won.

Last Week: 10-6 (.625)
Overall: 96-60 (.615)
Lock Picks: 7-4 (.637)

Lock Pick: Jacksonville 
Previous Lock Picks: PITT (W), CIN (L), SD (L), BAL (L), DAL (W barely), CHI (L), NE (W), INDY (W), TB (W), GB (W), PHI (W)

Week 12 Picks
Green Bay over Detroit on Turkey Day
Dallas over New York Jets on Turkey Day (Virtual Lock)
Indianapolis over Atlanta on Turkey Day (Virtual Lock)
Jacksonville over Buffalo (Lock Pick)
Cleveland over Houston
Kansas City over Oakland
Seattle over St. Louis
New York Giants over Minnesota (Virtual Lock)
Tampa Bay over Washington
New Orleans over Carolina
Tennessee over Cincinnati
Arizona over San Francisco (Virtual Lock)
San Diego over Baltimore (Virtual Lock)
Denver over Chicago
New England over Philadelphia
Pittsburgh over Miami (Virtual Lock)

There you have it. Those are my picks. Any differences?

 | Posted by | Categories: NFL | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks |

How did you do? I got smoked. This week Terrell Owens did me in. Brett Favre was great. Larry Fitzgerald was as well. I did trade Marion Barber III for Marshawn Lynch though, so my keepers are Ronnie Brown, Lynch, and Fitz. I’ve lost my 7th straight game, but have put myself in decent position for next year. Looks like I’m the frontrunner for McFadden too. How did you do?

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are my preseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
173 yards and a TD. Not exactly a winner.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
Didn’t even play.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 648 yards, 2 TDs
Right-O-Meter: The good news, he returned from injury with 75 total yards. THe bad news, he only had three carries.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 749 yards, 2 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 1
14 total yards. Puke.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 483 yards, 5 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 4
136 yards and a TD. See.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 614 yards, 3 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 1
20 yards. Oh boy.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for : 731 yards, 10 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
36 yards. Not so hot.

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2267, 466, 8 TDs, 5 rushing TDs, 19 picks
Right-O-Meter: 10
VY threw for 305 yards and a TD. He also ran for 74 yards and a score. That’s a real solid game. Careful though, it could lead to a sucker play next week.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 1293 total yards, 10 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
Only 37 yards, but he did score.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1208 yards, 8 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 8
55 and a TD. Solid.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1104 yards, 6 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 4
46 yards. Not the greatest.

Not doing so hot, but I’m glad Hackett is coming on.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Each week there are some surprising fantasy performers.  I’m going to take a look at them and see if you should go get ‘em or not.

QB
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Courtesty of Todd Kirkland/Icon SMI

Matt Schaub
– I told you to get him as a fill-in last Friday.  Hopefully you did so.  If not, there may be still time to pick him up.  With Andre Johnson back, Schaub becomes viable again.
Ruling – Get ‘em.
Brodie Croyle – He almost led the Chiefs to a victory over the Colts.  He connected with Dwayne Bowe, which is promising, but I think he’ll have too many growing pains.
Ruling – Don’t Sweat ‘em.

RB
First off, I really hope you picked up Chester Taylor last week, who was one of my Get ‘em picks.
Maurice Morris – It may be too late to grab Mo Mo, but he’s still available, snatch him up.  Who knows when Shaun of the Dead Alexander is going to return?  Until then Morris is a solid play with Seattle’s passing attack firing so well, that it makes life easier for Morris.
Ruling – Get ‘em.
Ron Dayne – Dayne has a nice game.  Having the passing attack clicking again, the rushing game should also take off.  Ahman Green always seems to be hurt.  Dayne may be a decent guy to stash on your bench.
Ruling – Get ‘em.
Kyle Eckel – He ran for 40 yards and a score.  Big deal.  New England passes like 80% of the time.  Eckel won’t have may 10 fantasy football point days again in his future.
Ruling – Don’t Sweat ‘em.

WR
First off, I hope you didn’t take my advice and start Mark Clayton this week.  He sucked out loud. 
D.J. Hackett - He was one of my sleeper picks this year.  For the most part he’s been asleep with the ankle injury.  However, he’s now scored in three straight games since returning from that injury.  He is the top target in Seattle, which is a good thing.  He should be on your team.  Hopefully, you listened the first time I told you following the Week 9 game.
Ruling – Get ‘em.
Santana Moss – If somebody dropped him because of his erratic play this year, now’s your chance to swoop in and stash him on your team.  He’s a tough one to pick each week, but he could do well given a good matchup.  His QB Jason Campbell is really coming into his own.
Ruling – Get ‘em.
Drew Carter – Had it not been for Moss and Owens, Carter would have been the big hit this week at wideout with 132 yards and a TD.  Steve Smith will likely return next week so Carter’s breakout game will look more like a blip in his mediocre season.
Ruling – Don’t Sweat ‘em.
Devard Darling – He had 107 yards and a TD vs. Cleveland.  Somebody had to light them up.  I thought it was going to be Clayton.  How wrong I was.  I don’t expect a repeat though.
Ruling – Don’t Sweat ‘em.

TE
Chris Baker
– He had 34 yards and a TD.  Not bad.  He’s only caught 21 passes in 9 games this year, but 8 of them have come the past two weeks.  Looks like Clemens likes him as a safety net, which makes him roster worthy. 
Ruling – Get ‘em.
John Madsen – He scored a TD for Oakland.  He only got 10 yards though.  Although he had three grabs for 61 yards yards before, which gives him back-to-back solid games, Zach Miller is still the better play in Oakland.
Ruling – Don’t Sweat ‘em.

There you have it.  I hope I provided you some good info while you make your fantasy team waiver wire adjustments.

Happy Birthday Denny!

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Photo Courtesy of Douglas Jones/Icon Sports Media 

Donovan McNabb faces Miami this weekend.  I know what you’re thinking (because I thought the same thing).  McNabb should light Miami up.  Afterall, they are 0-9.  However, I’m here to tell to beward.

Earlier in the week I broke down McNabb’s stats.  I’ll dig a little deeper.  We’re all aware of the two monster games McNabb has produced this year.  He destroyed the Lions to the tune of 381 yards and 4 TD passes.  Last week he smoke Washington (who has completely fell apart since the Patriots destroyed them) for 251 yards and 4 more TD passes.  That makes his season total of 13 look decent through 9 games.  However, if you take those two games away he has 5 TD passes in 7 games.  That’s OK, he probably added a couple of TDs on the ground.  Guess again.  He hasn’t scored on the ground, and his 37 yards last week were a season high.  Prior to that he was averaging less than 9 rushing yards a game.  Well, he’s making it up with passing yards.  Guess again.  He’s averaging a solid 255 yards a game.  However, if you take away that explosion vs. Detroit and a 333 yard game against a bad Viking pass defense and he’s averaging 224 yards a game.

OK, so McNabb’s numbers aren’t great, but it’s the Dolphins.  The Dolphins.  I understand they are bad, but through the air isn’t where they are getting worked (save for Tom Brady’s 6 TD day).  The Dolphins have allowed 15 TD passes in 9 games.   However, take away Brady’s destruction and you’re looking at 9 TD passes in 8 games.  Throw in the fact that they are 5th in the league with just 184.6 passing yards allowed per game, and it doesn’t seem like such a no-brainer.  Take away Tom Terrific’s 354 passing yards and they are allowing just 163 passing yards a game. 

 Unless you have a real solid option, you’re kind of forced to use McNabb, but do temper your expectations.  If you’re expecting a repeat of last week, you could be very disappointed.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

NFL Week 11 Fill-ins

16 November 2007

Has the injury bug hit you?  Are you faced with bad matchups?  Well, maybe I can help.  Here are some guys you can plug-in this weekend.

QB
Matt Schaub – Yes, Schaub should return after missing the Oakland game prior to Houston’s bye, but more importantly his favorite weapon, Andre Johnson, is back.
Kurt Warner – I hope you listened when I told you to use him last week (259 yards and 3 TDs).  If not, get him out there this week.  He faces a Cincinnati team that gets arrested just slightly more than it allows quarterbacks to have monster games.
Kyle Boller – If you’re really hurting, Boller may be a decent play against Cleveland. 

RB
Laurence Maroney
– Has he been wasting away on your bench?  Well, fret not.  He should be useful against Buffalo.  He had 103 yards against the Bills in Week 3.
Chester Taylor – Now that AD Peterson is out with a knee injury, Chester gets his starting gig back.  Facing a weak Oakland run defense helps matters.

WR
Andre Johnson
– You held on to him for a reason.  Put him back out there.  He faces a soft New Orleans team.
Chris Henry – He’s back.  I wanted to give the smooth criminal a week before I trusted him.  He went for 99 yards against Baltimore, and could be in line for a decent game against Arizona.  He’s too good to be covered by nickle cornerbacks.  The only drawback is he could get arrested over the weekend.
Mark Clayton – He caught 8 balls last week against Cincinnati.  He should be busy again vs. Cleveland.

TE
Alge Crumpler
-  He returned last week and scored a TD.  If you’re starting someone like Jeff King, Alge should be a nice upgrade.

K
Shayne Graham
– Nothing makes you a hotter commodity than kicking seven FGs in a one game.  That is besides kicking eight like Rob Bironas did earlier this year.

DEF
Oakland
– They are facing Minnesota…without Adrian Peterson…with Tarvaris Jackson.  
Philadelphia – Their defense hasn’t been as solid as it has been in past years, but facing Miami and rookie John Beck may bring back memories of Gang Green.

Friday Tidbits 11/16/07

16 November 2007

Brett Favre joined Dan Marino in the 60,000 yard club. Fred Taylor reached 10,000 yards. Shayne Graham kicked Field Goals like his teamates get arrested…in bunches. Seven to be exact. Rexy is back because of a Griese injury. He led Da Bears to victory. Green Bay blanked Minnesota. Adrian Peterson left the game with a torn knee ligament. St. Louis finally won. Miami wasn’t as fortunate. Tony Romo fired 4 TD passes. Darren Spoles had both kickoff and punt return TDs. Peyton Manning tossed 6 INTs while losing to San Diego. He should have won though. A certain kicker missed a chip shot. Marvin missed the game. They had a bunch of injuries, including Syracuse’s Dwight Freeney. Seattle blanked San Fran. Unfortunately, Nolan’s dad died over the weekend. Adding insult to injury Larry Johnson was fined for planting a flag in the end zone following a TD. LJ will miss this week’s game too. The Vikings originally docked Troy Williamson a paycheck for missing the San Diego game to be with his family following the death of his grandmother. I guess the bad PR was too much, and they gave the money back. Brodie Croyle is going to start next week. The Colts grabbed up Simeon Rice off waivers. PacMoron Jones is accepting a plea deal to get promotion in his “make it rain” incident. Ricky Williams has been reinstated by the league. He will rejoin the Fins on Monday. Brandon Lloyd was put on IR by Washington. Oh no, what are they going to do without him? 

An estimated 200 million people watch Yi vs. Yao. Gilbert Arenas had his knee drained. Vince Carter sprained his ankle. Stephon Marbury went AWOL on the Knicks. He’s a flake. He got fine $180K and rejoined the team the next night. Milwaukee will be without Michael Ruffin for over a month with a broken wrist. T-Mac dropped 41. He also sprained his elbow this week. Tim Duncan was held to 5 points. Pat Riley said he should suit up because his team stinks so bad. Ron Artest came back from suspension. Phil Jackson made a Brokeback joke following his team’s loss. He’s in a little hot water over it. LeBron messed around and got another triple double. Dwayne Wade made his season debut. The Celtics are off to their best start in 35 years at 7-0. Golden State is the lone winless team. 

Tampa Bay’s Vincent Lecavalier netted a hat trick. He is the points leader with 29. Dan Ellis has a league-leading 1.35 GAA. Shutouts this week: Toronto’s Andrew Raycroft vs. Buffalo. San Jose’s Evgeni Nabokov vs. Phoenix twice. Edmonton’s Mathieu Garon vs. Vancouver. The Kings scored 5 goals in the 3rd period before evenutally beating Dallas in OT on Saturday. Boston G Manny Fernandez and F Shawn Thornton landed on the IR. Toronto will be without D Pavel Kubina for a while with a knee injury. Ranger F Sean Avery is rubbing people the wrong way. He could be a marked man. Wayne Gretzky got fined $10K and his D Nick Boynton got suspended for Boynton’s fight with Steve Bernier late in Tuesday’s shutout loss to San Jose. Marion Gaborik finally returned to Minnesota’s lineup. He scored and they won. Ottawa is the first team to 30 points. 

Brry B*nds got indicted. I wonder what the ostriches are going to say now. C.C. Sabathia took finally beat the Red Sox. Not when it mattered, but he beat out Josh Beckett for Cy Young honors. Jake Peavy took the NL Cy Young. Dustin Pedroia and Ryan Braun took home Rookie of the Year honors in their respective leagues. Cleveland’s Eric Wedge and Arizona’s Bob Melvin won Manager of the Year for their respective leagues. The Phillies re-signed J.C. Romero to a three-ear deal. A-Rod won his ninth Silver Slugger. It appears he is set to sign a ten-year $275 million deal. Vlad won his seventh. Chicago dealt Jacque Jones to Detroit for Omar Infante. Todd Jones re-signed with Detroit. Jorge Posada signed a four-year extension with the Yankees. Kevin Youkilis shaved his goatee for charity. The Twins made their major offseason move. No they didn’t deal Santana yet, they traded with Chicago for Craig Monroe. The Mets scooped up free agent catcher Yorvit Torrealba. Joe Nuxall, the youngest player in MLB history at 15 years, 10 months, and 11 days, lost his bout with cancer. He was 79. 

#1 Ohio State got beat by Illinois. Whoops. Maryland upset #8 Boston College. Wisconsin pasted #12 Michigan. Cincinnati smoked #13 UConn. Mississippi State took down #22 Alabama. #10 Georgia beat #18 Auburn. #19 Virginia blanked Miami 48-0. Ouch. Colt Brennan tied the NCAA mark with his 121st TD pass. How left with a concussion though. Florida’s Tim Tebow ran for 5 TDs and threw 2 more. Nebraska’s Joe Ganz had 510 yards passing with 7 TDs. Texas Tech coach Mike Leach got fined $10K for ripping officials. #2 Oregon kicked the college week off with an upset loss Thursday night to Arizona. Heisman hopeful Dennis Dixon was injured in the process. Other big games this week are #4 Oklahoma vs. 7-4 Texas Tech, #6 West Virginia vs. #22 Cincinnati, #7 Ohio State vs. #21 Michigan (did they both look past their opponents last week?), #9 Georgia vs. #23 Kentucky, and #15 Clemson vs. #17 Boston College. 

O.J. Mayo made his highly anticipated debut with 32 points, but #18 USC lost to Mercer. Jonny Flynn scored 28 for Syracuse in his debut, break Carmelo Anthony’s record. Eric Gordon trumped them all with 33 in his debut with Indiana. N.C. State’s freshamn J.J. Hickson went 12 for 12 from the field to score 31 in his debut. Kansas G Sherron Collins is out 4-6 weeks with a stress fracture to his foot. Georgia G Billy Humphrey for possession of a long knife. Kentucky will be without G Jodie Meeks for a month because of a stress fracture. #5 Georgetown pounded Michigan. #3 Memphis faces UConn today. #17 Arizona plays Virginia on Saturday.

That concludes the Tidbits. As always, feel free to add any stories you liked this week in sports or discuss any of the stories I mentioned.

 | Posted by | Categories: MLB, NBA, NFL | Tagged: College Basketball, College Football, NCAA, NHL |

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Peyton Manning 24.4 beat Drew Brees 21.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
If you subtract points for INTs, I’m right.
Willie Parker 11.3 beat Adrian Peterson 5.9 as I predicted. I won’t even count the 3 points I was spotting myself.
Cedric Benson 15.7 beat Priest Holmes 7.9WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Terrell Owens 24.5 beat Larry Fitzgerald 19.4 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Braylon Edwards 7.6 beat Santonio Holmes 5.1 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Super Stretch
Greg Jennings 6.3 beat Steve Smith 6.1 as I predicted.

Regular Picks: 1-4
Super Stretch Picks: 1-0
Overall: 2-4
Breakdown: QB: 0-1, RB: 1-1, WR: 1-2

Season Record
Regular Picks: 22-27-1
Super Stretch Picks: 8-2
Overall: 30-29-1
Breakdown: QB: 5-7, RB: 16-7-1, WR: 9-15

This Week’s Picks

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Photo courtesy of Aaron Josefcz/Icon SMI

Ben Roethlisberger over Peyton Manning
Peyton beat me last week since I didn’t deduct for INTs. I think next year I’ll start doing that. Anyway, I think Big Ben is going to light the Jets up. Manning should do fine against Kansas City, but there will probably be a couple QBs that put up numbers. Ben will be one of them.

Brian Westbrook over LaDainian Tomlinson
Why not take on another big gun? Westbrook should be in line for a monster against Miami. LT may be slowed a bit by Jacksonville.

Brandon Jacobs over Willie Parker
Jacobs should have a field day against Detroit. Parker is a little banged up so I think Pittsburgh will be relying on the pass against the Jets.

Larry Fitzgerald over Terrell Owens
I’m calling for a repeat. Fitzy had a great game last week. MeO just did a little better. This week, I think Larry tops him in his matchup with Cincinnati. MeO faces Washington, which has been bad lately, but I think their safeties will keep him somewhat in check.

Andre Johnson over Steve Smith
He’s back. Why not trot him out on a limb right away?  New Orleans is about the perfect team to return against. If Delhomme could return for Smith, maybe he could pull it out, but I just don’t have faith in Carolina QBs.

SUPER STRETCH
Chester Taylor over Clinton Portis
With Adrian Peterson out this week, Chester gets a chance to put up solid numbers against a bad Oakland team. Washington will be playing catch up with Dallas so Portis will be limited.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8

Week 9
Week 10

Many times a trade that will help your fantasy team out looks lopsided, and not in your favor.  Typically the key to a solid trade is to get the best player involved.  If you can do a two-for-one or three-for-one trade where you get the best player, and you can fill your roster with waiver wire guys that aren’t much worse than what you had, you did well.  There is the occasion when you traded one great guy for two good guys that still works in your favor.  If the difference in needs you filled equals or is actually better than what you gave up, you did fine.

I recently had to defend a trade I made in my league.  It’s an eight man keeper league so quality players are fairly abundant.  Anyway, after Donovan McNabb’s four touchdown performance, I snatched him up off the waiver wire.  I figured I could have a solid backup to Brett Favre or I could move him to upgrade my team.  Sure enough I did just that.  I traded McNabb for Green Bay Defense.  The guy I traded him to has Pittsburgh Defense so I knew Green Bay’s would be possible.  His starting QB is Drew Brees so I knew the average performance he had on Sunday would make him interested in McNabb. 

 As soon as the deal went down there was one guy questioning the trade.  I told him that I picked up McNabb from the waiver wire and moved him for a starting defense.  That answer wasn’t good enough as he continued the complaints.

 I hated to show my thought process to the league, but I couldn’t stand for my integrity to be question.  This is what I posted for the guy on our message board:

McNabb scores 15.83 points per game. Take away those two huge games, and that number plummets, but that’s a different story. That ranks him as the 8th highest scoring QB in the league. Let’s compare him to other QBs. 

McNabb 15.83 (8th)
Brees 14.54 (10th)
1.29 point differential

McNabb 15.83 (8th)
Garcia 13.75 (12th)
2.08 point differential

McNabb 15.83 (8th)
Cutler 11.94 (16th)
3.89 point differential

Now, Green Bay scores 10.77 points per game, which is the 2nd best total. I understand that it’s over 5 points per game less than McNabb, but you need to compare the point differential from the defenses.

GB D 10.77 (2nd)
MN D 9.44 (10th)
1.33 point differential

GB D 10.77 (2nd)
Jax D 8.77 (12th)
2.00 point differential

GB D 10.77 (2nd)
CHI D 7.22 (16th)
3.55 point differential

So the point differentials are basically the same. If you could start a QB in place of a D, then yes, this would have been an awful trade for me. However, you don’t start 2 QBs.

Also, if you throw out the two monster games he had, which appear to be anomalies, McNabb averages 11.83 points per game.

So at first glance it appears that I was giving up way to much in the trade.  However, when you look at the differentials you see I didn’t.  The key is to have the best starting lineup possible.  Trading a backup to improve your starting lineup is a great move.  You will score more points each week.  Your depth won’t be as great, but the key is to have your starting team score more than your opponent.  Your overall score including your bench doesn’t come into play.

If you have any comments or questions, please feel free to drop me a line.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

NFL Picks – Week 11

14 November 2007

nfl-logo.jpg
Photo courtesy of Ed Wolfstein/Icon SMI 

I bombed last week going 7-7. I incorrectly picked Wash, Tenn, KC, NO, Balt, Det, and Indy. At least my lock pick of Green Bay worked out.

Last Week: 5-5 (.500)
Overall: 86-54 (.614)
Lock Picks: 6-4 (.600)

Lock Pick: Philadelphia Eagles 

Previous Lock Picks: PITT (W), CIN (L), SD (L), BAL (L), DAL (W barely), CHI (L), NE (W), INDY (W), TB (W), GB (W)

Week 11 Picks
San Diego over Jacksonville
Cleveland over Baltimore
Detroit over NY Giants
New Orleans over Houston
Green Bay over Carolina (Virtual Lock)
Indianapolis over Kansas City (Virtual Lock)
Minnesota over Oakland
Philadelphia over Miami (Lock Pick)
Tampa Bay over Atlanta
Cincinnati over Arizona
Pittsburgh over NY Jets (Virtual Lock)
Dallas over Washington
St. Louis over San Francisco
Seattle over Chicago
New England over Buffalo (Virtual Lock)
Tennessee over Denver

There you have it. Those are my picks. Any differences?

 | Posted by | Categories: NFL | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks |

Fantasy Football Forum 

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Photo Courtesy of Icon SMI
How did you do? I got smoked. Brian Westbrook did me in again. I’m so glad he was the main principle in a trade that involved Frank Gore so I could face him again so soon. Seattle Defense just made it ugly. Brett Favre was great for me. As was Larry Fitzgerald. Jesse Chatman and Heath Miller did their part. Oh well. That’s how my weekend of fantasy football went. How did you do?

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are my preseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
157 yards, 0 TDs, and an INT. Yuck

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
114 yards and no TDs. Yuck

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 587 total yards, 2 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Injured, did not play.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 807 yards, 2 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Injured, did not play.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 2
101 yards and a TD. See.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 647 yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 1
2 catches for 28 yards. Oh boy.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for : 784 yards, 11 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
71 yards and a TD. You knew he’d do well against Cleveland.

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16
TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 1977 yards passing, 386 rushing yards, 7 TDs, 4 rushing
TDs, 16 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
257 yards and a TD. 52 rushing yards. Oh yeah, he threw 2 INTs and lost.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 1371 total yards, 11 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
129 yards and a TD made didn’t help my prediction.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1244 yards, 7 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 8
124 yards was great, but held out of the endzone.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1145 yards, 7 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
Only 29 yards to help my prediction out. Still, he’s been steady.

Not doing so hot, but I’m glad Hackett is coming on.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

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