LestersLegends.com » Out on a Limb

Super Bowl XLIV Results:  0-1
My Son’s Results:  0-1


Regular Season Lock Picks:  31-3 (.912)
Regular Season Total:  177-79 (.691)
Playoff Picks:  4-7
Pro Bowl Pick:  1-0
Overall Total:  182-86 (.679)

My son’s Playoff Picks:  5-2
My son’s Pro Bowl Pick:  1-0
My son’s Overall Total:  6-2

These are heads-up picks. The Yahoo ATS challenge wrapped up. I finished tied for third at 134-119-3 (.529). If you want to take part in the challenge next year, leave me a message in the comment with your e-mail or send one to me at contact@lesterslegends.com.

Time for the final results of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.

Scoring

6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Peyton Manning over Drew Brees +2:  Loser Manning 20.65, Brees 24.3 (22.3 actual +2)
Donald Brown over Reggie Bush:  Loser Brown 2.9, Bush 6.3
Reggie Wayne, Austin Collie, Pierre Garcon over Marques Colston, Devery Henderson, Robert Meachem, Jeremy Shockey, and David Thomas
Winner
Indy Triplets:  23.8
Colston, Henerson, Meachem, Shockey, Thomas: 23.4
Super Bowl Picks:  1-2

Season Record
Regular Picks: 41-40-1
Super Stretch Picks:  8-12
Playoffs Picks:  7-7
Pro Bowl Picks:  0-3
Overall: 56-62-1

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on match-ups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one match-ups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

For the Pro Bowl I will pick one matchup for Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver.

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Brett Favre over Peyton Manning +2:  Loser Favre 19.5, Manning 32.85 (30.85 actual +2)
Shonn Greene over Joseph Addai +1:  Loser Greene 4.1, Addai 10.3 (9.3 actual +1)
Austin Collie over Reggie Wayne:  Winner Collie 18.3, Wayne 5.5
Conference Finals Picks:  1-2

Season Record
Regular Picks: 41-40-1
Super Stretch Picks:  8-12
Playoffs Picks:  6-5
Overall: 55-57-1

Pro Bowl Picks


Vince Young over Donovan McNabb

The Pro Bowl seems like an ideal place for an athlete like VY to showcase his skills. There will be minimal defense played and look for VY’s revival to continue. McNabb is the elder statesmen of the NFC quarterbacks so I expect him to take a back seat.


Frank Gore over Adrian Peterson

Adrian Peterson is coming off a brutal loss to the Saints that saw him put the ball on the carpet multiple times. I think he’s there for the festivities, and as an ambassador to the game, but not to get a bunch of carries. Meanwhile, I think Frank Gore puts on a show for his home crowd.


Steve Smith over Vincent Jackson

This has more to do with the Quarterbacks that these WRs will be playing with than their abilities or match-ups. Once the starters (Matt Schaub and Aaron Rodgers) are out, Smith has a distinct advantage with McNabb and Romo over V-Jax with VY and David Garrard.

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on match-ups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one match-ups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

For the playoffs I will pick one matchup for Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Kurt Warner over Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers (individually)
Warner:  10.25
Manning:  Loser  20.1
Rivers:  Loser 25.3
Felix Jones over LaDainian Tomlinson:  Winner Felix 9.1, LT 2.4
Marques Colston over Vincent Jackson +2 :  Winner Colston 14.3, V-Jax 13.1 (11.1 actual +2)
Divisional Round Picks:  2-2

Season Record
Regular Picks: 41-40-1
Super Stretch Picks:  8-12
Playoffs Picks:  5-3
Overall: 54-55-1

Conference Championship Picks

Brett Favre profile photo
Brett Favre over Peyton Manning +2
You have three elite QBs and Sanchez so it makes it difficult to do an out on a limb pick here. I’ll take Favre against the Saints and spot Peyton two points.

Indianapolis Colts 2009 Football Headshots
Shonn Greene over Joseph Addai +1
Greene has been running wild in the postseason, but he’s still not a sure thing. Joseph Addai gets it done on the ground and through the air, but the Jets have the best defense left in the field. I’ll spot Addai a point to make it more interesting.

Indianapolis Colts 2009 Football Headshots
Austin Collie over Reggie Wayne 
I respect Darrelle Revis enough that I’ll take Robin to outperform Batman this week. While Manning won’t completely shy away from Revis, he will be cautious when throwing at him.

Before we get started, check out my Divisional Round Rankings and Divisional Round Picks.

 

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

For the playoffs I will pick one matchup for Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Joe Flacco over Carson Palmer +2:  Loser Flacco 2.4, Palmer 13.5 (11.5 actual +2)
Cedric Benson over Thomas Jones +0.5:  Winner Benson 23.1, Jones 3.9 (3 actual +0.5)
Julian Edelman over Roy Williams and Chad Johnson (Individually)
Double Winner Edelman 16.4
Roy Williams 5.9
Chad Johnson 2.8
Wild Card Round Picks:  3-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 41-40-1
Super Stretch Picks:  8-12
Playoffs Picks:  3-1
Overall: 52-53-1

Divisional Round Picks


Kurt Warner over Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers (individually)
It’s hard to imagine Peyton being happy about drawing the Ravens, but very well could be given the alternative. The Jets are playing at a very high level defensively, and with their rushing attack, I’m not expecting a huge output by Rivers. While Manning dodges that Jets bullet, he does get to face an aggressive Baltimore team that forced more INTS (2) than TDs (1) when they squared off earlier in the year. I know the Saints are supposed to have a better defense this year, but they aren’t enough to slow Warner.


Felix Jones over LaDainian Tomlinson
Jones will be sharing the load with Marion Barber III, but Barber is banged up. LT will also be sharing the load with Darren Sproles. I’m going with Jones’ big play ability rather than LTs’ 3.3 yards per carry.


Marques Colston over Vincent Jackson +2
They both will square off against Pro Bowl Cornerbacks. Colston will see a lot of Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, which should slow him, but V-Jax faces the league’s best CB in Darrelle Revis.

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

For the playoffs I will pick one matchup for Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Jay Cutler over Tony Romo:  Winner Cutler 30.3, Romo 23.25
Knowshon Moreno vs. Thomas Jones:  Winner Moreno21.8, TJ 19.8
Matt Forte over Ricky Williams:  Winner Forte 12.4, Ricky 3.5
Nate Washington over Chad Ochocinco:  Winner Nate 8.3, Ocho 0.0
Steve Breaston over Miles Austin:  Loser Breaston 1.6, Austin 9.0
SS:
Jason Snelling over Beanie Wells and Tim Hightower (individually)
Snelling:  Double Winner 16.8
Beanie:  1.9
Hightower:  2.8

Regular Picks:  4-1
Super Stretch Picks:  2-0
Overall:  6-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 41-40-1
Super Stretch Picks:  8-12
Playoffs Picks:
Overall: 49-52-1

Wildcard Round Picks
Baltimore Ravens 2009 Football Headshots Carson Palmer
Joe Flacco over Carson Palmer +2
Though I expect Flacco to lose and Palmer to win this weekend, I still think Flacco has the better fantasy performance. The Jets are so tough against the pass and Ocho errr Chad Johnson is banged up. I’ll spot Palmer two points to make it a fairer fight.

Cincinnati Bengals 2009 Football Headshots Thomas Jones
Cedric Benson over Thomas Jones +0.5
The running game is where I believe the Bengals will win this battle. I’ll spot Jones a half a point despite him having the better year.

Dallas Cowboys 2009 Football Headshots Cincinnati Bengals 2009 Football Headshots
Julian Edelman over Roy Williams and Chad Johnson (Individually)
Edelman filled in admirably for Wes Welker last week and should be productive again this week against Baltimore. Roy Williams and Chad Johnson were both shutdown last week and I expect similar results this week against the Eagles and Jets respectively.


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