Will Cooper Kupp Remain Full?

Dec 1, 2017

Cooper Kupp
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Los Angeles rookie wide receiver Cooper Kupp is coming off season-high in receptions (8), targets (11) and yards (116) in the Rams’ 26-20 win over the New Orleans Saints. The Los Angeles Rams betting odds for the next game, along with Kupp’s outlook gets a little more difficult this week as the Rams travel to face the Arizona Cardinals. With Robert Woods out again, that could mean that Kupp could see his share of shutdown cornerback Patrick Peterson.
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A saving grace for Kupp has been Sammy Watkins picking up his game. Last week Watkins caught four passes for 82 yards and a touchdown, giving him three scores in the last four games. Given Watkins’ speed and size, he’ll likely be the one drawing the majority of Peterson’s attention.
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Kupp has been particularly active in the last three games, racking up 20 receptions on 25 targets for an average 75.7 yards per game. In the last five games he’s averaging 66.4 yards, including four receptions for 51 yards and a score in the first meeting with the Cardinals.
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One slight against Kupp is the fact that three of the five remaining games, including the weekend’s game along with three of the next four, come on the road.  He wraps up his season at home, but many fantasy leagues end in Week 16. In six home games Kupp is averaging 4.7 receptions for 61.2 yards and 0.3 touchdowns per game. In five road games he’s averaging 3.6 receptions for 45 yards and 0.2 touchdowns. Despite the disparity, three of Kupp’s top five yardage totals have come on the road so perhaps it’s not as ominous as the numbers reflect.
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A bigger issue could be the caliber of his opponents. Arizona ranks 19th both with pass yards allowed (232.5 yards per game) and passing touchdowns allowed (18). Philadelphia ranks 17th (226.5 ypg) and 11th (14 TDs). Seattle ranks 10th (213.4 ypg) and 8th (13 TDs). Tennessee, in week 16 gives him the most hope. They rank 20th (234.3 ypg) and 26th (21 TDs). The Niners rank 26th (244.6) and 23rd (20 TDs), but Week 17 is always tricky. Plus, as I mentioned many leagues are already wrapped up by then.
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If you are in a point-per-reception league, Kupp should still be a viable option down the stretch. In non-PPR leagues, however, given the fact that all of the bye weeks are behind us and three of his next four games come on the road, my outlook on Kupp is half empty.

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