Fantasy Baseball – Back to Earth Middle Infielders

Mar 3, 2009

Here’s some Middle Infielders that may have a hard time matching their 2008 production.

dustin-pedroia
Dustin Pedroia – It’s hard to bet against the diminutive Pedroia, but I don’t see him matching last season’s MVP production.  He went from 86 Runs, 165 Hits, 39 Doubles, 8 HRs, 50 RBI, and 7 SBs as Rookie of the Year to 118 R, 213 H, 54 2Bs, 17 HRs, 83 RBI, and 20 SBs.  I think he’ll settle in somewhere in between those two.  I have him on a .320, 105 R, 200 H, 48 Double, 15 HR, 70 RBI, and 15 SB season.
 
mark-de-rosa
Mark De Rosa
– A move to Cleveland lowers my expectations for De Rosa.  He won’t be in nearly as good a lineup.  I expect most of his numbers to hold since they have for the past three years, but I see his Runs (103), HRs (21), and RBI (87) to take a hit.  Somewhere around 75 Runs, 15 HRs, and 70 RBI seems more feasible.
 
cristian-guzman
Cristian Guzmán
– Guzzie was one of the best stories in baseball last year hitting .316 with 77 Runs, 183 Hits, 35 Doubles, 9 HRs, and 55 RBI. He’s actually hit well the past two years (184 games) with the Nationals going 240 for 753 (.319).  Aside from that stretch he’s only topped .280 once.  I suspect that’s about what he’ll hit next year with 160 Hits and 40 RBI.
 
Mike Aviles
Mike Aviles – Aviles hit .325 as a Rookie with 68 Runs, 136 Hits, 27 2Bs, 10 HRs, and 51 RBI in 102 games.  That forecasts out to 108 Runs, 216 Hits, 43 2Bs, 16 HRs, and 81 RBI.  I’d be surprised if he met those forecasts.  I’m expecting a .310, 90 R, 38 2Bs, 14 HRs, and 70 RBI.

Images courtesy of Icon SMI

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6 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. Frank
    March 3rd, 2009 at 8:06 am #

    Of those listed, and despite the potential downside of a sophomore slump, I like Aviles. DeRosa could be interesting in a hitters park as Cleveland.

  2. LestersLegends
    March 3rd, 2009 at 8:09 am #

    I like Aviles too. He’ll have a fine year, but I don’t expect him to match the type of production per game this year.

  3. David Funk
    March 3rd, 2009 at 8:54 am #

    I liked DeRosa obviously being a Cubs fan. As you pointed out, he’s consistent and you know what you’re getting with him. I think his numbers will take a little bit of a dip though.

    Over a course of playing more games, I expect Aviles to have numbers about like you have them.

    Pedoria will put up solid numbers again, but it would be shock to me if he bettered his 2008 numbers after the kind of year he had.

    Nice post!

  4. LestersLegends
    March 3rd, 2009 at 9:05 am #

    Thanks David.

  5. Jake
    March 4th, 2009 at 2:02 am #

    Not sure if you’d call it a sophmore slump or pitchers “figuring” them out but these guys arent going to be worth the spot in the draft order they will be taken in. That works out well for those of us who have figured that out.

  6. LestersLegends
    March 4th, 2009 at 6:24 am #

    Excellent way to put it Jake.

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