Fantasy Baseball Profile: Adam Jones

Jan 29, 2010

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Adam Jones had it going on last year. He was hitting .303 with 55 runs, 12 HRs, 47 RBIs, and 6 SBs before the All-Star Break. He started off red hot hitting .344 with 40 runs, 11 HRs, and 36 RBIs in the season’s first two months. Jones struggled in June hitting a dismal .229 with 10 runs, 1 HR, and 8 RBIs, but rebounded with a .270, 15 run, 5 HR, 15 RBI July. He sunk to .211 in August, but managed 18 runs and 11 RBIs. Then Jones shut it down in September with an ankle injury.

Talk about a tale of two seasons. When you look at the aggregate you see a player who improved dramatically in 2009.

2008:  477 ABs, .270, 61 runs, 9 HRs, 57 RBIs, 10 SBs, .711 OPS
2009:  473 ABs, .277, 83 runs, 19 HRs, 70 RBIs, 10 SBs, .792 OPS

He’s still a very young hitter, he’ll turn 25 in August, with plenty of room for growth. He showed a knack for scoring runs even when he struggle with his average. With Matt Wieters, Nick Markakis, Nolan Reimold, Garrett Atkins, Luke Scott, and Miguel Tejada hitting behind him, he should be in line for 100 runs. He showed some pop in that bat, and if he’s able to give the Orioles 500+ ABs, he should continue to improve on the power numbers.

He doesn’t excel in any particular category so I would prefer him as a him as a number three fantasy outfielders, but I would be OK with him as my number two. He should be a top 25 fantasy OF in 2010.

Prediction:  .285, 100 runs, 24 HRs, 82 RBIs, 12 SBs

Past profiles:
Arizona Diamondbacks:  Brandon Webb
Atlanta Braves: Yunel Escobar

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6 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. Rotoprofessor
    January 29th, 2010 at 1:16 pm #

    I think you are overestimating his runs scored slightly and I also think he falls just short of the Top 25 OFers. He’s the perfect #3 outfielder, but I definitely wouldn’t want to select him as a #2.

  2. LestersLegends
    January 29th, 2010 at 1:20 pm #

    Agree he’s better suited for a third OF. I’d take him as #2 if I were loaded elsewhere.

  3. Bill Miller
    February 6th, 2010 at 9:46 pm #

    I actually think your projections are a bit conservative. Draft him as a #3, but I’ll bet he produces like a #2. Will definitely be higher than a top 25 OF by season’s end.

  4. LestersLegends
    February 6th, 2010 at 10:09 pm #

    Quite possible. The thing I like is he’s decent across the board, but what I don’t like is he isn’t dominant in any category.

  5. Mike lefever
    February 7th, 2010 at 3:14 pm #

    I draft him as a number 3, it scares me that he seems to be hurt alot for a 25 year old. I think he has some tools, but will end up with a career similar to mike Cameron.

  6. LestersLegends
    February 7th, 2010 at 3:42 pm #

    Possibly. Not sure he has his speed though.

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