Fantasy Baseball Profile: Will the Move to the Mets Sink Jason Bay?

Feb 15, 2010


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I was very high on Jason Bay last year. I figured he would drive in a ton of runs with Jacoby Ellsbury and Dustin Pedroia at the top of Boston’s lineup. He did not disappoint with 36 HRs and 119 RBIs despite missing eleven games.

He’s moved on to the Mets this year, and he still figures to have plenty of opportunities hitting behind the likes of Jose Reyes and David Wright. He has reached 100+ RBIs in four of his last five years, with nearly four of those years coming in Pittsburgh, so I don’t see him having a problem reaching that figure.

He has also reached 100+ runs, 30+ HRs, and 10+ SBs in four of those five years. If you take away his down year (2007), he’s quietly been one of the best all-around outfielders in baseball.

I’m afraid he’ll have a hard time reaching two of those marks this year though. The move to CitiField will likely cost him some HRs. I’m expecting more doubles and fewer long balls this year. I’m also not confident enough in the Mets’ offense that he’ll reach 100 runs.

Despite those two question marks, I still think he makes for a #1 fantasy outfielder (click to see rankings). He should be solid in all five categories.

Prediction:  .280, 90 runs, 27 HRs, 105 RBIs, 10 SBs

Coincidentally the Rotoprofessor is covering Jason Bay today as well. Click here to see his take.

Past profiles:
Arizona Diamondbacks:  Brandon Webb
Atlanta Braves: Yunel Escobar
Baltimore Orioles:  Adam Jones
Boston Red Sox:  Clay Buchholz
Chicago Cubs:  Geovany Soto
Chicago White Sox:  Jake Peavy
Cincinnati Reds:  Joey Votto
Cleveland Indians:  Grady Sizemore
Colorado Rockies: Ubaldo Jimenez
Detroit Tigers: Miguel Cabrera
Florida Marlins: Cameron Maybin
Houston Astros: Lance Berkman
Kansas City Royals: Billy Butler
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim: Howie Kendrick
Los Angeles Dodgers: James Loney
Milwaukee Brewers: Corey Hart
Minnesota Twins: Joe Nathan

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