Fantasy Baseball Slow Starters – Pitchers

Mar 19, 2009

Now let’s take a look at some Pitchers that typically start off slow.  Some of these guys could be good Buy Low candidates.

Johan Santana
– It’s pretty much common knowledge that Johan takes a little while to heat up.  I can’t post about slow starting Pitcher though and not mention him, even if it’s highly unlikely he’ll come available.  Before the All-Star break Johan was 8-7 with a 2.84 ERA and after the break he was 8-0 with a 2.17 ERA.  He posted ERAs of 3.24 & 3.74 in April and May.  For his career he is 26-19 with a 4.01 ERA before June and 83-32 with a 2.75 ERA after it.

Roy Oswalt - Roy started off really slow going 4-5 with a 5.45 ERA before June.  He was a sizzling 9-2 with a 1.96 in August and September.  For his career he is 62-44 with a 3.32 ERA before the break and 67-20 with a 2.89 ERA after it.  He’s not as high profile as Johan so if he starts slow, maybe you can wrestle him away from the competition.

Derek Lowe - Lowe had a great season last year, but he did register a 0-4, 6.11 ERA May.  He was 7-8 with a 3.85 ERA before the break and 7-3 with a 2.38 ERA after it.  That has been the trend for his career as he is 64-66 with a 3.91 ERA before the break and 62-41 with a 3.54 ERA in the second half.  Lowe is great buy low candidate if he struggles early.

Ted Lilly - Lilly is in the same category is Lowe.  He’s a prime candidate to pluck if he struggles early.  Last year he was 5-4 with a 5.54 ERA in April and May and 12-5 with a 3.42 ERA the rest of the way.  Historically Lilly is 50-46 with a 4.42 ERA before the break and 41-29 with a 4.37 ERA after the break.

Jesse Litsch – Litsch is another one that could be had if he struggles early.  Last year he was 8-6 with a 4.16 ERA before the break and 5-3 with a 2.60 ERA after the break.  He displayed a similar trend in 2007 as he went 1-3 with a 4.74 ERA before the break and 6-6 with a 3.54 ERA after it.

Image courtesy of Icon SMI

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4 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. Frank
    March 19th, 2009 at 6:17 am #

    I haven’t checked the schedule, but Oswalt owns the Reds … thus I wonder if that could jumpstart an early start for him.

    Thanks … nice post.

  2. LestersLegends
    March 19th, 2009 at 7:06 am #

    Maybe. He has a pretty big body of work though so odds are he faced them early in the past.

  3. Scott
    March 22nd, 2009 at 1:11 am #

    Don’t forget slow starter Mark Texiera. He should have been near the top of the list.

  4. LestersLegends
    March 22nd, 2009 at 6:01 am #

    True. I don’t think he’ll start slow for the Yanks though.

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