Fantasy Football Out on a Limb 2009, Divisional Round Edition

Jan 14, 2010
Before we get started, check out my Divisional Round Rankings and Divisional Round Picks.


Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

For the playoffs I will pick one matchup for Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver

6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Joe Flacco over Carson Palmer +2:  Loser Flacco 2.4, Palmer 13.5 (11.5 actual +2)
Cedric Benson over Thomas Jones +0.5:  Winner Benson 23.1, Jones 3.9 (3 actual +0.5)
Julian Edelman over Roy Williams and Chad Johnson (Individually)
Double Winner Edelman 16.4
Roy Williams 5.9
Chad Johnson 2.8
Wild Card Round Picks:  3-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 41-40-1
Super Stretch Picks:  8-12
Playoffs Picks:  3-1
Overall: 52-53-1

Divisional Round Picks

Kurt Warner over Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers (individually)
It’s hard to imagine Peyton being happy about drawing the Ravens, but very well could be given the alternative. The Jets are playing at a very high level defensively, and with their rushing attack, I’m not expecting a huge output by Rivers. While Manning dodges that Jets bullet, he does get to face an aggressive Baltimore team that forced more INTS (2) than TDs (1) when they squared off earlier in the year. I know the Saints are supposed to have a better defense this year, but they aren’t enough to slow Warner.

Felix Jones over LaDainian Tomlinson
Jones will be sharing the load with Marion Barber III, but Barber is banged up. LT will also be sharing the load with Darren Sproles. I’m going with Jones’ big play ability rather than LTs’ 3.3 yards per carry.

Marques Colston over Vincent Jackson +2
They both will square off against Pro Bowl Cornerbacks. Colston will see a lot of Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, which should slow him, but V-Jax faces the league’s best CB in Darrelle Revis.

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