Fantasy Football Out on a Limb 2009, Super Bowl Edition

Feb 4, 2010

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on match-ups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one match-ups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

For the Super Bowl I will pick one matchup for Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver.

6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Vince Young over Donovan McNabb:  Loser VY2.55, McNabb 10.5
Frank Gore over Adrian Peterson:  Loser Gore 1.5, AP 2.2
Steve Smith over Vincent Jackson:  Loser Smith 10.8, V-Jax 18.2
Pro Bowl Picks:  0-3

Season Record
Regular Picks: 41-40-1
Super Stretch Picks:  8-12
Playoffs Picks:  6-5
Pro Bowl Picks:  0-3
Overall: 55-60-1

Super Bowl XLIV Picks

Drew Brees profile
Peyton Manning over Drew Brees +2
There isn’t much separating these two franchise QBs. I’m choosing the Colts to win the game, and I think Manning will be the Super Bowl MVP. Brees should have a solid game as well, but even with two spotted points, I think Manning comes out victorious.

Donald Brown over Reggie Bush
Both are secondary options in the running game, but I believe Brown will be more productive. I expect him to get plenty of touches towards the end of the game as Indianapolis wraps up another Super Bowl victory.

Reggie Wayne, Austin Collie, Pierre Garcon over Marques Colston, Devery Henderson, Robert Meachem, Jeremy Shockey, and David Thomas
I’m mixing it up by taking the Colts’ WR triplets over the Saints triplets and their top two tight ends. The Saints WRs combined for 2705 yards and 21 TDs during the regular season while the Saints quintet combined for 3525 yards and 24 TDs. Even without putting Dallas Clark into the equation, I’m banking on the Colts’ wides.

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