Fantasy Football Out on a Limb 2009, Volume 3
Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb. I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week. I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch. To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other. Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.
Big Ben vs. Romo – Winner, Ben 21.65, Romo 16.65
AP vs. Forte/K.Smith – Winner – AP 17.6, Duo 15.5 (Forte – 9.3, Smith 6.2)
Ryan Grant vs. Michael Turner – Loser, Turner 17, Grant 12.8
B. Marshall vs. Andre Johnson – Loser, AJ 26.9, B. Marshall 4.8
P. Harvin vs. Ocho – Loser, Ocho 15.1, Percy 11.5
SS: L. McCoy +2 vs. S-Jax – Loser S.Jax 11.9, McCoy 7.5 (5.5 actual +2)
Regular Picks: 2-3
Super Stretch Picks: 0-1
Regular Picks: 3-7
Super Stretch Picks: 0-2
Week 3 Picks
Trent Edwards over Matt Ryan
The Bills take on the high-powered Saints this week so Trent Edwards is going to have to take to the air to stay in the game. He has the weapons on the outside in Lee Evans and T.O. to pile up the yardage. Besides, Kevin Kolb threw for nearly 400 yards last week against the Saints. Matt Ryan faces a New England team on the road coming off a divisional loss. Bill Belichick will make sure they are extra-focused this week.
Fred Jackson over Frank Gore
Fred has one more week to show his stuff before Marshawn Lynch comes back. He should be heavily involved in both the runnning and passing game for the Bills. Gore is dealing with a sore ankle and facing the Vikings stout defense. Not a good combo.
Willis McGahee over Cedric Benson
McGahee is behind Ray Rice on the depth chart, but he’s had his number called plenty in the first two weeks. In fact, he has 4 TDs already. Baltimore takes on Cleveland this week so he should get plenty of looks in mopup duty. Meanwhile Benson faces and angry Steelers D coming off a loss to his former team, the Bears.
Roy Williams over Dwayne Bowe
Romo will be playing on a smaller stage this week so look for him to deliver. Roy Williams should be one of his top recipients. Carolina is in danger of falling to 0-3, which should make them hungry, but I think Dallas will be too tough this week. If they drop the first two games in their palace, things will get ugly in Big D. Bowe gets to face an Eagles team that was embarrassed by the Saints. They too aren’t going to drop consecutive home games.
Eddie Royal over Jerricho Cotchery
Royal has been dreadful so far this year, but I think he breaks out this week against Oakland. Even though he’s shown nothing to suggest he capable of that this year, I think he has too much talent to continue to be held down. Cotchery faces a Tennessee team that was torched by Andre Johnson last week. Cortland Finnegan and Co. will do their best to keep Cotchery under wraps.
Anthony Fasano +2 over Owen Daniels
San Diego has allowed Zach Miller and Todd Heap to have big games at Tight End in the first two weeks. Fasano has struggled, but this looks like his chance to break out. Jacksonville held Dallas Clark in check in Week 1 with just 39 yards. They didn’t face a pass-catching Tight End last week against Arizona, but if they can shut down Clark, Daniels could be in trouble.