Fantasy Football Out on a Limb 2009, Volume 6
Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb. I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week. I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch. To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other. Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.
Trent Edwards over Brett Favre: Loser Edwards 11.6, Favre 15.6
Rashard Mendenhall over Ronnie Brown: Loser Mendenhall 15.3, Brown 21.85
Brandon Jacobs over Chris Johnson: Winner, Jacobs 7.5, Johnson 4.3
DeSean Jackson over Calvin Johnson: Loser, Jackson 0.1, Johnson 0.2 (Yuck)
Steve Smith over Randy Moss: Winner, Smith, 8.5, Moss 3.6
Graham Pick: Steve Smith Carolina over Steve Smith NYG, Winner 8.5, 7.0
Beanie Wells over Cedric Benson: Big Loser, Beanie 2.4, Benson 19.6
Regular Picks: 2-3
Super Stretch Picks: 0-1
Regular Picks: 11-13
Super Stretch Picks: 1-4
Week 6 Picks
Brett Favre over Kyle Orton +1.5
In a matchup of undefeated QBs, I’ll go with the 40-year old Viking. He faces Baltimore , who has been vulnerable to the pass this year at home while Orton faces the 6th ranked Chargers pass D on the road.
DeAngelo Williams over Adrian Peterson
D-Will ripped Tampa Bay for 186 yards and 2 TDs the last time they squared off. They are 28th in the league in run D. Meanwhile Peterson faces Baltimore’s top five run D. Peterson tends to struggle a bit against aggressive teams.
LeSean McCoy over Julius Jones
Even though McCoy is a backup and Jones is a starter, I like McCoy this week. The Eagles should pound the 31st ranked Raiders run D and McCoy should clean up when Westy gets an early reprieve. Meanwhile Jones faces the Cardinals’ top 5 run D and will likely have to turn to the air to stay in the game.
Wes Welker over Randy Moss
Tom Brady doesn’t have his trademark confidence right now, and seems a little timid stepping into his deep throws to Moss. He seems to prefer the short, underneath routes that are Welker’s bread & butter. I look for him to outperform Randy this week against the Titans.
Santonio Holmes over Anquan Boldin
I’ll match these Super Bowl WRs up against each other. Holmes has disappeared since his Week 1 explosion, but should be able to dominate Cleveland. Boldin has a solid matchup against Seattle, but I have a feeling it’s going to be the Larry Fitzgerald Show again.
Jake Delhomme over Matt Cassel
Delhomme is off to a horrible start, but facing Tampa Bay’s 21st ranked pass defense should help matters. Cassel is facing Washington’s 3rd ranked pass D. Delhomme should win this battle.
Your turn. What Out on a Limb picks do you have for Week 6?