Fantasy Football Out on a Limb 2009, Volume 9

Nov 5, 2009

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb. I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week. I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch. To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other. Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Kyle Orton over Eli Manning: Loser Orton 8.7, Eli 18.5
Steven Jackson over Michael Turner: Winner S-Jax, 22.6 Turner 21.1
Kevin Smith over Ray Rice: Loser Smith 9.4, Rice 16.8
Mike Sims-Walker over Greg Jennings: Loser MSW 0.9, Jennings 14.8
Brandon Marshall over Larry Fitzgerald: Loser Marshall 2.4, Fitz 6.6
SS: Matt Forte, Chris Johnson, Steve Slaton over DeAngelo Williams:
Forte Winner 24.1
Chris Johnson Winner 35.9
Steve Slaton Loser 1.1
DeAngelo Williams 15.8

Regular Picks:  1-4
Super Stretch Picks: 2-1
Overall:  3-5

Season Record
Regular Picks: 17-22
Super Stretch Picks:  3-7
Overall: 20-29

Week 9 Picks

Matt Hasselbeck profile Tony Romo
Matt Hasselbeck over Tony Romo
Hasselbeck should have field day against Detroit at home. Meanwhile, Romo takes on the Eagles in Philadelphia, which will be a hostile environment to say the least. They’ll bring the heat and force Romo into mistakes.

Running Backs
MJD Denver Broncos 2009 Football Headshots
Rashard Mendenhall profile
Maurice Jones-Drew over Knowshon Moreno and Rashard Mendenhall (combined)
I’ll take MJD in a one-on-two battle against Moreno and Mendenhall.  Mojo should destroy Kansas City at home, while Moreno and Mendenhall should struggle as their team’s collide.

Ryan Grant profile Cincinnati Bengals 2009 Football Headshots
Ryan Grant over Cedric Benson
Grant should shred Tampa Bay’s porous run D, while Benson will struggle against Baltimore’s rejuvenated defense. It’s like they heard all of the talk about how their D has taken a step back during their bye week, and responded in a big way. Benson broke their streak of not allowing a 100-yard rusher, so revenge is on their minds.

Wide Receivers
Kevin Walter profile Denver Broncos 2009 Football Headshots
Kevin Walter +2 over Brandon Marshall
With Owen Daniels out for the year with a torn ACL, Walter will likely get more targets in the middle of the field. The Colts are going to bring the heat, so look for Schaub to check down to Walter. Marshall faces Pittsburgh, and will have the attention of what should be a healthier Troy Polamalu.

Nate Burleson profile Derrick Mason
Nate Burleson over Derrick Mason

I’m hitching my wagon to Seattle’s passing game against Detroit. Mason takes on Cincinnati, in what should be an old-fashioned smash mouth football game where yards and points are hard to come by.

Kansas City Chiefs 2009 Football Headshots New England Patriots 2009 Football Headshots
Jamaal Charles over Laurence Maroney

Jamaal gets to run as the lead dog now that Larry Johnson’s mouth has him on vacation. He takes on Jacksonville’s 25th ranked run D. Maroney faces Miami’s 6th ranked run D. Plus, depending on a Patriot RB is always a risk.

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4 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. Rotoprofessor
    November 5th, 2009 at 12:31 pm #

    I like the Super Stretch, because I agree with it (does that make it such a big stretch?) Charles will be the main back against a poor rushing defense while Maroney will likely share carries, faces a tough D and plays for the pass happy Patriots.

    It’s Charles easily.

  2. LestersLegends
    November 5th, 2009 at 12:32 pm #

    Charles will share carries too. Watch, Maroney will beat him.

  3. Rotoprofessor
    November 5th, 2009 at 2:11 pm #

    I am thinking Charles 13.5 points (75 yards and a TD) to Maroney 5.7. Mark it down…lol

  4. LestersLegends
    November 5th, 2009 at 2:15 pm #

    I hope so, cause then I’m right. Not sure Charles gets that many points, but we’ll see.

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