Fantasy Football Out on a Limb 2009, Wildcard Edition

Jan 7, 2010

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

For the playoffs I will pick one matchup for Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver

6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Jay Cutler over Tony Romo:  Winner Cutler 30.3, Romo 23.25
Knowshon Moreno vs. Thomas Jones:  Winner Moreno21.8, TJ 19.8
Matt Forte over Ricky Williams:  Winner Forte 12.4, Ricky 3.5
Nate Washington over Chad Ochocinco:  Winner Nate 8.3, Ocho 0.0
Steve Breaston over Miles Austin:  Loser Breaston 1.6, Austin 9.0
Jason Snelling over Beanie Wells and Tim Hightower (individually)
Snelling:  Double Winner 16.8
Beanie:  1.9
Hightower:  2.8

Regular Picks:  4-1
Super Stretch Picks:  2-0
Overall:  6-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 41-40-1
Super Stretch Picks:  8-12
Playoffs Picks:
Overall: 49-52-1

Wildcard Round Picks
Baltimore Ravens 2009 Football Headshots Carson Palmer
Joe Flacco over Carson Palmer +2
Though I expect Flacco to lose and Palmer to win this weekend, I still think Flacco has the better fantasy performance. The Jets are so tough against the pass and Ocho errr Chad Johnson is banged up. I’ll spot Palmer two points to make it a fairer fight.

Cincinnati Bengals 2009 Football Headshots Thomas Jones
Cedric Benson over Thomas Jones +0.5
The running game is where I believe the Bengals will win this battle. I’ll spot Jones a half a point despite him having the better year.

Dallas Cowboys 2009 Football Headshots Cincinnati Bengals 2009 Football Headshots
Julian Edelman over Roy Williams and Chad Johnson (Individually)
Edelman filled in admirably for Wes Welker last week and should be productive again this week against Baltimore. Roy Williams and Chad Johnson were both shutdown last week and I expect similar results this week against the Eagles and Jets respectively.

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