Fantasy Football Out on a Limb Volume 17

Dec 25, 2008

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Brett Favre
(9.35) beat Kurt Warner (1.5) WHICH I WON.
Pierre Thomas (16.3) beat Michael Turner (13.0) WHICH I WON. 
LaDainian Tomlinson (11.0) beat Marshawn Lynch (9.4) WHICH I LOST.
Wes Welker (12.8) beat Andre Johnson (1.9) WHICH I WON. 
Terrell Owens (12.3) beat Anthony Gonzalez (3.8) WHICH I LOST
Super Stetch:  Shaun Hill (23.3) beat Tony Romo  (20.8) WHICH I WON.   

Regular Picks:  3-2 
Super Stretch Picks: 1-0   
Overall:  4-2

Season Record
Regular Picks:  49-31 (.613)
Super Stretch Picks:  8-7 (.533)
Overall:  57-38 (.600)

tyler-thigpen  tony-romo1 
Tyler Thigpen
over Tony Romo
Thigpen gets a pressure-free finish against Cincinnati.  Even if the weather is rough in Cincy, his running ability should make up for it.  This is basically a playoff game for Romo as he needs to win.  We all know how Romo performs in the playoffs.

Running Backs
LaDainian Tomlinson over Thomas Jones
LT has been a disappointment by his standards.  Thomas Jones has been one of the biggest surprises this year.  In Week 17 though, LT will deliver the goods vs. Denver while Jones will have his work cut out for him vs. Miami.

cedric-benson-profile  ronnie-brown
Cedric Benson
over Ronnie Brown
Benson exploded for 171 yards last week against Cleveland.  He won’t match that production, but he should put up solid numbers against Kansas City.  Ronnie Brown faces a desperate Jet team.  I’m taking Benson is this battle of Class of 2005 first round backs.

Wide Receiver
eddie-royal   antonio-bryant
Eddie Royal over Antonio Bryant
Royal faces San Diego in a battle for the AFC West.  I expect a lot of fireworks in this one with very little Defense.  Bryant faces the Raiders and shutdown corner Nnamdi Asomugha.   

vincent-jackson  steve-smith
Vincent Jackson
over  Steve Smith
Vincent Jackson should factor in the San Diego-Denver shootout as well.  His size makes him a tough cover.  Smith has a nice matchup against the Saints, but I think Carolina will rely more on their ground game as usual.  

Vince Young & David Carr
over Jason Campbell
I figure both VY and Carr play about a half of football each.  I think in their scrub time they can muster up more points than Campbell vs. the 49ers.

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2 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. CK0712
    December 26th, 2008 at 6:24 am #

    Eddie Royal over Antonio Bryant
    Royal faces San Diego in a battle for the AFC West. I expect a lot of fireworks in this one with very little Defense. Bryant faces the Raiders and shutdown corner Nnamdi Asomugha.

    SWEET & a hellyeah goes with that!

    i hope you had an awesome christmas day lester’s!!

  2. LestersLegends
    December 26th, 2008 at 8:21 am #

    Although Asomugha got a little banged up last week. I did have a nice Christmas, thanks. I hope you did as well.

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