Fantasy Football Out on a Limb Volume 20

Jan 16, 2009

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

For the playoffs I will pick one matchup for Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Jake Delhomme (14.25) beat Eli Manning (8.45) WHICH I WON. 
Willie Parker (26.6) beat Chris Johnson (16.0) WHICH I WON. 
Justin Gage +1.5 [15.0 (13.5 actual + 1.5)] beat Muhsin Muhammad (5.5) WHICH I LOST. 

Record:  2-1

 Season Record
Regular Picks:  52-33 (.612)
Super Stretch Picks:  8-8 (.500)
Playoff Picks:  4-2 (.667)
Overall:  64-43 (.598)

Championship Round Picks

Quarterback
donovan-mcnabb   kurt-warner
Donovan McNabb
over Kurt Warner +1
Warner had the better regular season, but McNabb is playing like a new man in the playoffs.  I think their numbers will be similar, but McNabb’s running could give him the edge.  To make it an out on the limb pick, I’ll spot Warner a point.

Running Back
edgerrin-james1
  willie-parker-profile
Edgerrin James
over Willie Parker
Both of these backs have had playoff success after disappointing regular seasons.  I think Edge is more likely to continue his resurgence since he doesn’t have to face Baltimore.  Not that Philly is a pushover, but the Ravens are playing some sick ball right now.

Wide Receiver
kevin-curtis
   derrick-mason
Kevin Curtis over Derrick Mason
I am categorizing this one in the “hunch department”.  I see McNabb relying heavily on Curtis to get to the Super Bowl.  Westy is banged up and he’ll go to the vet rather than rookie DeSean Jackson.  Mason has to face a tough Pittsburgh D that won’t take it easy like they did last week at the end of the Chargers victory.
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4 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. CK0712
    January 16th, 2009 at 9:32 am #

    “hunch department”.

    HA, ya think….scary!

  2. LestersLegends
    January 16th, 2009 at 9:34 am #

    Yeah, scary indeed.

  3. Frank
    January 16th, 2009 at 9:45 am #

    Here I sit needing 2 RBs in salary cap, thus thinking about Fast Willie … first CK points out his lack of success against the Ravens, and now this. Thus leaning to Westy/McLain combo.

  4. LestersLegends
    January 16th, 2009 at 9:48 am #

    You never know in the playoffs though. None of the RBs are great plays. Westy is banged up, Parker and McClain face tough D’s. You never know when the well will run dry with Edge.

    That said, I think Westy McClain is a pretty good combo.

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