Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Peyton Manning
(25.35) destroyed Jason Campbell (12.3) WHICH I LOST.
Thomas Jones (25.8) beat Michael Turner (5.4) WHICH I WON.
Frank Gore (17.7) beat Julius Jones + 3 (7.4, 4.4 actual) WHICH I LOST.
DeSean Jackson (9.9) beat Lance Moore (9.7) WHICH I LOST.  (Couldn’t get much closer)
Dallas Clark (1.7) beat Visanthe Shiancoe (1.0) WHICH I LOST.  (Both garbage games)
Super Stetch:  I Take Back the Super Stretch because Frerotte over Bulgers isn’t a stretch.

Regular Picks:  1-4
Super Stretch Picks:  0-0   
Overall:  1-4  
Breakdown: QB: 0-1, RB: 1-1, WR:  0-1, TE:  0-1

Season Record
Regular Picks:  19-13
Super Stretch Picks:  1-4
Overall:  20-16
Breakdown: QB: 5-3, RB: 10-5, WR: 5-7, TE:  0-1

Jake Delhomme over Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers has been one of the highest scoing QBs this year with nearly 1500 yards and 14 TDS (11 Passing, 3 Rushing).  This week he goes up against Indy, who is 6th in the league against the pass allowing 173.4 ypg and just 1 TD.  I like Delhomme’s matchup vs. New Orleans (227.3 ypg, 7 TDs) much better.  Steve Smith and Muhsin Muhammad should have their way with the Saints’ secondary.

Running Backs
Earnest Graham
over Ronnie Brown
Baltimore was embarrased last week by the Colts.  Manning & Co. had their way with them even without Addai for the bulk of the game.  I expect them to rally and stop Ronnie’s TD surge.  Graham spent some time at FB last week, allowing Warrick Dunn to run wild.  He only has 15 carries over the past two weeks, but a date with Seattle should get him back on track.

Chris Johnson over Marshawn Lynch
Chris Johnson faces Kansas City, who is awful, allowing 182.2 ypg and 8 rushing TDs.  They are in disarray as Tony Gonzalez didn’t get the trade he was looking for.  Plus, Larry Johnson made the news for the wrong reasons this week.  It’s ugly in KC so why not pile on?  Lynch is facing San Diego, who is giving up 112.2 ypg with only 3 TDs.  The big difference is Lynch will get the ball in the red zone while LenDale will likely spell Johnson down deep.  Still I think Johnson wins this battle.

Wide Receiver
Andre Johnson 
over Brandon Marshall +1
After the way New England got beat up by big WR Vincent Jackson last week, I’m probably nuts to take on Marshall, who’s been relatively quiet the past couple of weeks.  Not only am I taking him on, I’m spotting him 10 yards.  That’s how confident I am that Andre Johnson will rip the Lions apart.  I’d give him more, but NE has allowed as many passing TDs (9) as Detroit, and if Houston gets up big, it could be Slaton and Ahman finishing them off.

Devin Hester
over Chad Ocho Cinco
The speedster has taken on a bigger role in Chicago’s Offense the past three weeks.  I see a fourth solid game in a row as he takes on Minnesota.  I’m not even taking punt return points as that goes to CHI DST.  I’m still not confident that Ocho Cinco and the Bengals are out of their funk, especially agaisnt Pittsburgh, who’s giving up just 164.8 ypg.

Jeff Garcia over Eli Manning
Tony Romo may play so I am backing off my Brad Johnson pick.  I’ll plug in Jeff Garcia instead vs. Seattle.  They have allowed 9 passing TDs already, which is the most by a team that’s already had their bye.  Manning is hurting and will likely do a Brad Johnson impression and simply manage the game and rely on the ground game to do the dirty work.