Fantasy Football Out on a Limb Volume 9

Oct 30, 2008

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Matt Cassel
(19.55) over Eli Manning (13.95) WHICH I WON.    
Thomas Jones
(12.0) beat Michael Turner (5.8) WHICH I WON.
Willis McGahee (11.7) over Brandon Jacobs (5.3) WHICH I WON.
Santana Moss (20.0) over Reggie Wayne (2.9) WHICH I WON.
Isaac Bruce (4.9) over Torry Holt (2.8) WHICH I WON.
Super Stetch:  Terrell Owens (3.3) beat Malcom Floyd (2.1) WHICH I LOST. 

Regular Picks:  5-0
Super Stretch Picks:  0-1  
Overall:  5-1  
Breakdown: QB: 1-0, RB: 2-0, WR:  2-1

Season Record
Regular Picks:  28-14
Super Stretch Picks:  2-5
Overall:  30-18
Breakdown: QB: 8-3, RB: 14-5, WR: 8-7, TE:  0-1

Quarterback
 
Kyle Orton
over Aaron Rodgers
I’ll pit these two NFC North QBs against one another this week.  I’m taking Orton in a cupcake matchup vs. Detroit.  He should be able to outscore Rodgers vs. Tennessee.  Rodgers is the highest scoring QB that hasn’t had a bye yet, but Tennessee has allowed the fewest points per game this year.

Running Backs
 
Michael Turner over Clinton Portis
Last week Michael Turner continued the trend of not performing vs. good teams.  The flip side of that trend is his dominance against bad teams.  Oakland is bad.  Burner Turner should light them up.  I’m so convinced I’m taking on the top RB in the league.  His matchup against Pittsburgh helps the cause, but he’s had at least 121 yards on the ground the past five games. 

 
Earnest Graham over Brandon Jacobs
It’s Graham’s turn to abuse the Chiefs.  He may not crack the century mark, but I would expect him to reach paydirt at least once.  Meanwhile Jacobs goes up against Dallas who is 11th in Run D with 95.5 yards allowed per game.  Plus, they’re tied for 13th with 6 rushing TDs allowed.

Wide Receiver
 
Donnie Avery over Calvin Johnson
I’ll take Lisa Danhof’s Ahead of the Curve pick Donnie Avery against Arizona in what should be a shootout over Megatron.  Avery has become the go-to-guy the past few weeks for the Rams.  Johnson faces Chicago, which should present a challenge for young Mr. Orlovsky.

  
Devin Hester over Terrell Owens
T.O. barely beat my Stretch pick of Malcom Floyd last week.  I’ve got him in my sights still.  This time I’m turning Devin Hester on him (I don’t take any points he scores in the return game).  Hester could be utilized in the Wildcat Formation, which will add to his value.  Plus he faces Detroit, which is always fun.  T.O. plays the Giants with Brad Johnson and Brooks Bollinger at the helm.  You know the G-Men are going to bring the pass rush making it hard on the ex-Viking QBs.         

SUPER STRETCH
 
Tim Hightower over Jamal Lewis
I’ll go with the guy from Police Academy over the guy who’s been incarcerated.  Hightower squares off against St. Louis.  He’s all-or-nothing with a high of 37 rushing yards.  He’s scored in five of the Cardinals’ seven games.  He may start playing a bigger role on offense as Edge appears done.  Jamal is going up against his ex-mates.  Not inmates, but former teammates in Baltimore.  The present a difficult matchup for Jamal.

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6 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. crazy canton cuts
    October 30th, 2008 at 9:47 am #

    I’m banking on Hightower and Torain this weekend due to bye and injuries

  2. LestersLegends
    October 30th, 2008 at 9:48 am #

    good lucky. i hope torain blows up.

  3. CK0712
    October 30th, 2008 at 10:47 am #

    hester over TO, nice call. anyone over TO nice call HA!

  4. LestersLegends
    October 30th, 2008 at 10:48 am #

    funny CK

  5. CK0712
    October 30th, 2008 at 11:59 am #

    MY dearest Lester’s,
    I know, that is all LMAO!

  6. LestersLegends
    October 30th, 2008 at 12:00 pm #

    nice

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