Fantasy Football Profile: Tom Brady

Jul 20, 2009

Tom Brady throwing
Image courtesy of Icon SMI

There is a high risk/reward for drafting Tom Brady.  He is coming off a major knee injury that cost him virtually the entire 2008 season.  He set the fantasy world on fire though in 2007 and you can argue he has an even better supporting cast with the addition of Joey Galloway.  Randy Moss put together a solid season with Matt Cassel at the helm, and should return to elite status with Brady back.  Wes Welker just goes out there and catches pass after pass.  He should have no problem catching 100 balls for the third straight year.  He fits so nicely in their system.

The Patriots are usually pretty hush hush regarding injuries, but Brady may play a little more extensively in the preseason since he missed a full season.  So far Brady’s knee is not a cause for concern.

The Pats have a fairly strong schedule facing the Jets and Dolphins twice apiece, plus Baltimore, Tennessee, Carolina, and Jacksonville.  When their Offense is clicking, it doesn’t really matter who they face.  The key will be how Brady handles the pass rush.  He’s a pretty cool customer, but it’s hard to predict how he’ll react when he gets
knocked down a couple times.  My guess is he’ll be fine, but the human psyche is quite unpredictable.  For the fantasy playoffs (Weeks 14-16) Brady faces Carolina, Buffalo, and Jacksonville.  Carolina and Jacksonville are home games so all three have the potential for inclement weather.  It’s not a deal breaker by any means, but something to keep in mind when you are weighing Brady against Drew Brees, Peyton Manning or holding off on a QB for a few rounds as Brady will likely go in the late first/early second round.

It’s hard to project numbers for Brady, but I’ll put him on a 4400, 30 TD season.  Those numbers are better than what I projected for Drew Brees, but I would still take Brees ahead of Brady because of the uncertainty of his knee.

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4 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. Joe Kusen
    July 21st, 2009 at 8:36 am #

    Would you be surprised if Brady threw 40 td’s? I sure wouldn’t at all.

  2. LestersLegends
    July 21st, 2009 at 8:41 am #

    Surprised? Maybe a little if he hit 40. That’s a pretty lofty number, especially for a guy coming off a major knee injury.

  3. 2009 NFL Preseason Lester Awards | Fantasy Sports Blog
    August 28th, 2009 at 1:00 pm #

    [...] Tom Brady Tom Brady once again takes the league by storm to lead the Patriots to the best record. Runner [...]

  4. 2009 NFL Preseason Lester Awards
    August 30th, 2009 at 7:56 am #

    [...] MVP: Tom Brady Tom Brady once again takes the league by storm to lead the Patriots to the best record. Runner Up:  Peyton Manning [...]

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