Fantasy Football Profiles: Berrian, Hester, Breaston

Aug 19, 2009

With the Brett Favre saga finally over, Bernard Berrian gets a bump in value.  Berrian had a solid year with 48 catches for 964 yards and 7 TDs despite playing with the likes of Gus Frerotte and Tavaris Jackson.  With Favre he should surpass the 1000 yard mark he’s been hovering around the past two seasons.  Berrian has averaged 6 TDs a year over the past three seasons, a number that could also increase with #4 on board.  Even if Favre did go down, Sage Rosenfels would be an adequate replacement.  Berrian is going in the 7th round in fantasy drafts, though he’ll likely begin to creep up the draft board with his new QB.  I would roll with Berrian as a WR3.  I expect him to catch 65 passes for 1100 yards and 7 TDs.
Devin Hester is another speedy WR that got a shiny, new Quarterback this year.  Even though he annoyed Jay Cutler recently, I think Hester could have a real nice year.  With another year at WR under his belt, he should be more comfortable.  Having a QB with a big arm to take advantage of his speed should also help.  He was spotty at best last year with just three games with over 70 receiving yards.  He had six games with less than 30 yards.  You would think he would have rushing numbers to increase his value, but he ran just six times for 61 yards.  He had 11 return TDs in his first two years, but failed to reach paydirt last year.  He isn’t slated to do any returns this year, so don’t expect any bonus scores.  Having him concentrate full-time on his WR duties should help him stay focused and healthy, but it also takes away what comes naturally for Hester.  I expect him to be more consistent with Cutler, but I still don’t think I would want to rely on him as a WR3.  He’s going in the 7th round in fantasy drafts.  I’m expecting 55 catches for 850 yards and 6 TDs.

Steve Breaston is another speedy WR that is being counted on in 2009.  Only he’s the third WR on his team, which means, barring injury, that I would want him as a WR4 at best.  He had a great year catching 77 passes for 1006 yards and 3 TDs.  He was very inconsistent with eight games with 77+ yards and eight games with fewer 55 yards (five with fewer than 40 yards).  He only added 3 TDs.  The Cardinals are going to balance their offense more this year with the addition of first round pick Beanie Wells.  Unless Boldin or Fitz get hurt or Boldin is miraculously traded, Breaston’s fantasy value takes a hit in 2009.  He is going around the ninth round of fantasy drafts, which is a bit early for my tastes.  I’m expecting around 55 catches for 825 yards and 4 TDs.

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2 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. Revised 2009 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings | Fantasy Sports Blog
    August 20th, 2009 at 7:38 pm #

    [...] Walter 30. Donald Driver 31. Ted Ginn, Jr. 32. Donnie Avery 33. Jerricho Cotchery 34. Bernard Berrian 35. Torry Holt 36. Lance Moore 37. Derrick Mason 38. Devin Hester 39. Steve Breaston [...]

  2. 2009 Third Year Receivers
    August 25th, 2009 at 4:52 am #

    [...] Steve Breaston, Arizona Cardinals – Breaston broke out last year with a 1000 yard season.  If he can somehow increase his TD total, he’ll have more value, but he’s already being drafted as a WR4 so it wouldn’t be a big time breakout.  It would be more like Chad Ochocinco’s 3rd year breakout.  That said, I don’t see a big jump in Breaston’s numbers. [...]

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