Fantasy Football Quarterbacks – Big Dogs
With training camp approaching, I figured what better time to take a look at the QBs around the league.
These are the best of the best. The beauty of having a Big Dog is you can plug and play them every week without debating which is the best matchup. Owning a BDQB means you’ll likely win that matchup most weeks. The drawback is you could weaken your RB and/or WR depth because you’ll have to take them fairly early in the draft. Another risk is there is always one or two Big Dogs at each position that doesn’t deliver. They can sink your franchise faster than you can say “Toilet Bowl”. Last year’s Big Dogs that missed were Marc Bulger and Donovan McNabb.
Tom Brady - Obviously any QB discussion needs to start with Brady. While I don’t expect him to replicate his record-breaking 2007 season, I do think he’ll be the Alpha Dog among QBs again this year. He’s got a ton of weapons and is in a great system. I could see him approach 40 TDs again.
Tony Romo – He’s not the second best QB in the league, but he is in fantasy circles. Of course, that depends on whether T.O. will continue to stay healthy (mentally and physically) and he doesn’t allow outside “distractions” affect his play.
Peyton Manning – When you ask who the best QB in the league is, Peyton is your 1B answer in my book, meaning he’s on the same plane as Tom Brady. If Marvin Harrison can make a healthy return life will be a little easier for Manning. Of course, with Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark, Anthony Gonzalez, etc. he’ll be just fine if Marvin doesn’t return to form.
Drew Brees – I think Brees will be a great value this year as Big Ben and Derek Anderson will likely go ahead of him in most drafts. I like Drew’s track record better than those AFC North gunslingers. He has produced back-to-back 4400 yard seasons, and his TD production has increased the past couple of seasons.
Carson Palmer – He may also be overlooked a little because of the turmoil in Cincy. He lost a weapon (Chris Henry) and could lose another one (the disgruntled Chad Johnson). Nonetheless, he’s still one of the games best. T.J. Houshmandzadeh will deliver huge numbers, and, if Ocho doesn’t go, Carson will make a star out of one of his other wideouts. Either that or he’ll turn a couple of guys into “matchup” plays.
Ben Roethlisberger – For some reason I don’t see Big Ben repeating his 32 TD performance. What scares me off a little is 3100 yards he threw for last year, which is far fewer than the rest of the Big Dogs. With Willie Parker and the addition of Rashard Mendenhall, I would be surprised if Pittsburgh didn’t focus a little more on their ground attack.
Derek Anderson – Here’s another guy who’s fluke factor is high. Derek Anderson came out of nowhere to become one of the biggest surprises in football last year. His 3787 yards and 29 TDs helped many a lucky owner advance to the playoffs. What makes me nervous is his splits.
Games 1-8: 91.7 QB rating, 57.6% completion percentage, 2108 yards, 17 TDs (2.1/gm), 9 INTs (1.1/gm)
Games 9-16: 73.7 QB rating, 55.6% completion percentage, 1679 yards, 12 TDs (1.5/gm), 10 INTs (1.3/gm)
What’s even worse were his December numbers.
66.6 QB rating, 53.1 completion %, 205.8 yards/gm (well off his average), 7 TDs (1.4/gm), 8 INTs (1.6/gm)
You don’t have to look very hard to see who I think will be the Big Dog letdowns at the QB position. You can still draft them, but be sure to have a decent backup plan.