Why Gambling on the NFL is just like playing pokies

Jan 8, 2016

When betting on the NFL, it can feel a little bit like playing the slot machines (often referred to as Pokies). When you pull that lever, sometimes you’ll get those small little payouts when you put in little risk but with such an unpredictability, sometimes a huge risk comes with an enormous jackpot.
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One of the most exciting things about following American Football is that on any given Sunday, any team could beat any other team. The best teams can change year on year and while there are a few consistencies, you can never count out any opponent you take on.
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As an example, look at Week 16′s results and you can see where a number of accumulators were ruined very quickly. A number of underdogs, such as the New York Jets, the Baltimore Ravens and Atlanta Falcons notched wins over the New England Patriots, the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Carolina Panthers respectively.
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Even when you win an accumulator, unless you’re putting a good amount of money down, the reward can seem minimal. When a team is favoured, it’s usually strong odds and especially later on in the season, the odds for anyone expected to win can go into as long a 1/40. When playing pokies, the odds of winning from a single spin are never as low as 1/40, yet the odds on a jackpot far exceed those offered by even the wildest NFL parlay.
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That makes it more difficult to predict than it is already but again, taking that in consideration, if you can spot some trends you could be in for a huge payout. The teams that go on really long odds tend to be teams already in the playoffs, some may rest players or some might just play at a lower level for a game.
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The thing to keep in mind is that only one team has had a completely unbeaten season, the 1972 Miami Dolphins and New England were the last team to go 16-0 in 2007, so teams will almost always have at least one off week.
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When you take that in mind and they come up against a team fighting for a playoff spot or, even more scary, a team with nothing to lose. Especially if it’s a divisional rival who would desperately love to spoil a rival’s party, much like the Falcons did against the Panthers, getting that right can give you a huge payoff.
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Now look at the results of the final week of the regular season. The Buffalo Bills beat the New York Jets, preventing them from reaching the playoffs despite the team having nothing but pride to play for. However, their coach Rex Ryan was with New York last season and against a divisional rival, you could smell a potential upset.
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Even in the same division, the unfancied Dolphins took a win against the Patriots that saw them miss out on the top seed in the playoffs. It’s wins like these, that happen almost every week, that both kill those bets placed on form and boost those that spot the potential for a big reward.
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In the end, betting on the NFL is like playing online pokies at Pokies Palace, because you can never quite know exactly what will happen. You can weigh up all the statistics, you can know every little detail and a silly injury or an off moment ruins it completely.
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But that little hint of a huge reward keeps you coming back for more.
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