Is Donovan McNabb a trap start this week?

Nov 17, 2007

Happy Birthday Denny!

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Photo Courtesy of Douglas Jones/Icon Sports Media 

Donovan McNabb faces Miami this weekend.  I know what you’re thinking (because I thought the same thing).  McNabb should light Miami up.  Afterall, they are 0-9.  However, I’m here to tell to beward.

Earlier in the week I broke down McNabb’s stats.  I’ll dig a little deeper.  We’re all aware of the two monster games McNabb has produced this year.  He destroyed the Lions to the tune of 381 yards and 4 TD passes.  Last week he smoke Washington (who has completely fell apart since the Patriots destroyed them) for 251 yards and 4 more TD passes.  That makes his season total of 13 look decent through 9 games.  However, if you take those two games away he has 5 TD passes in 7 games.  That’s OK, he probably added a couple of TDs on the ground.  Guess again.  He hasn’t scored on the ground, and his 37 yards last week were a season high.  Prior to that he was averaging less than 9 rushing yards a game.  Well, he’s making it up with passing yards.  Guess again.  He’s averaging a solid 255 yards a game.  However, if you take away that explosion vs. Detroit and a 333 yard game against a bad Viking pass defense and he’s averaging 224 yards a game.

OK, so McNabb’s numbers aren’t great, but it’s the Dolphins.  The Dolphins.  I understand they are bad, but through the air isn’t where they are getting worked (save for Tom Brady’s 6 TD day).  The Dolphins have allowed 15 TD passes in 9 games.   However, take away Brady’s destruction and you’re looking at 9 TD passes in 8 games.  Throw in the fact that they are 5th in the league with just 184.6 passing yards allowed per game, and it doesn’t seem like such a no-brainer.  Take away Tom Terrific’s 354 passing yards and they are allowing just 163 passing yards a game. 

 Unless you have a real solid option, you’re kind of forced to use McNabb, but do temper your expectations.  If you’re expecting a repeat of last week, you could be very disappointed.

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