Which Matt Should Anchor Your Outfield This Season?

Mar 20, 2011


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By Matt Carpenter
twitter.com/carmatts
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According to Mock Draft Central Matt Kemp is the number 23 player off the board and Matt Holliday is the 24th. So as the draft winds around and you are on the clock, which player should you take?
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Matt Holliday is money in the bank. Draft him and count on a plus .300 average, 25 HRs, and 100 RBI. He’s put up those numbers ever since he entered the major’s in 2004, and there is no reason to believe he won’t do it again. With the exception of 2008, Holliday has never run much and no one expects him to get more than a few steals this year.
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They key word with Kemp is upside, upside, upside. A first round pick last year, the rising Dodger star disappointed owners last year with a .249 average, although he clubbed a career high 28 HRs. Only 26, Kemp is entering his prime and is a possible holy grail for fantasy owners, a combination of tremendous power and speed. New manager Don Mattingly has said Kemp will bat cleanup so RBI opportunities will be plentiful. With stolen base guru Davey Lopes now a Dodger coach, many are predicting a 30/30 campaign for Kemp.
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Comparing the two players, Holliday is expected to have a better average while Kemp will steal more bases. The other categories will depend purely on whether Kemp has a breakthrough season. Deciding which player to take depends on what kind of owner you are. Some like to take reliable studs and save the high risk/reward plays for later in the draft. Others like myself see Kemp as a player entering his prime and a possible value as Kemp has first round upside at a third round price. You can’t go wrong with either pick, but Kemp could disappoint this year and still have similar numbers as Holliday.
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