Will Matt Ryan Bounce Back?
Most QBs struggle as a rookie and come back better the following year. When you add a future Hall of Fame tight end, the likelihood should be even greater. Unfortunately Atlanta QB Matt Ryan took a step back in virtually every offensive category.
For starters, he missed two games after playing in all 16 as a rookie. They came in weeks 13 & 14, which could have left a lot of fantasy players in a bind during a crucial part of the season. Injuries are part of the game, and Ryan is not at the point where he’s an injury risk.
Games played wasn’t the only area he slipped though. His completion percentage dropped from 61.1 percent to 58.3. His yardage went from 3440 to 2916. His TD production increased from 16 to 22, but his INTs increased from 11 to 14. Finally, his passer rating decreased from 87.7 to 80.9. His rushing numbers took a hit as well going from 104 yards to 49.
Though he may not have lived up to everybody’s expectations, his per game averages were about the same as he did last year. When you consider that Ryan and RB Michael Turner dealt with injuries last year, it’s not all that surprising that he didn’t have the year we were expecting of him.
The Falcons didn’t make any noise by adding another playmaker on offense, but a healthy Michael Turner should be enough to keep defenses honest. He has formed a great rapport with Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez remains one of the best tight ends in the game. Michael Jenkins is an decent #2 WR and Ryan has the ability to make things work.
Atlanta has a pretty nice schedule, figuring they will be in two shootouts with the Saints (Week 3 & 16), as well as the Cardinals (2), Eagles (6), and Packers (12). They also have favorable match-ups against the Browns (5), Bucs (9), Rams (11), and Seahawks (15).
The best part is Ryan is a QB that you can wait on a bit as you fill your skill positions. By the time you add him as a QB, you should have 2-3 RBs, 2-3 WRs, and possibly a TE. You may want to consider adding a high end QB2 so you can basically alternate between QBs depending on the match-ups.
Prediction: 3600 yards, 24 TDs, 12 INTs
What do you expect from Matt Ryan?
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