NFL Picks – Week 16

Dec 22, 2009

Week 15 Results:  9-6   (NO, NYJ, KC, DEN, GB, SEA, MN let me down)
Lock Picks:  2-0

Previous Lock to Win Picks:  NO (W), WAS (W), BAL (W), INDY (W), PHI (W), PITT (W), NE (W), SD (W), ATL (W), MINN (W), ARI (W), DAL (W), CIN (W), TENN (W), HOU (W)
Previous Lock to Lose Picks:  OAK (W), CIN (L), STL (W), KC (W), DET (W), TB (W), WAS (W), CAR (L), HOU (W), CLE (W), BUF (W), CHI (W), ARI (L), DAL (W), SF (W)

Regular Season Lock Picks:  27-3 (.900)
Regular Season Total:  156-68 (.696)

Week 16 NFL Picks:

Lock to Win:  Green Bay Packers
Lock to Lose (can’t be same game as Winner Lock):  Jacksonville Jaguars

San Diego Chargers over Tennessee Titans
Atlanta Falcons over Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati Bengals over Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland Raiders over Cleveland Browns
Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (Winner Lock)
Miami Dolphins over Houston Texans
New England Patriots over Jacksonville Jaguars (Loser Lock)
New Orleans Saints over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Giants over Carolina Panthers
Pittsburgh Steelers over Baltimore Ravens
Arizona Cardinals over St. Louis Rams
San Francisco 49ers over Detroit Lions
Indianapolis Colts over New York Jets
Philadelphia Eagles over Denver Broncos
Dallas Cowboys over Washington Redskins
Minnesota Vikings over Chicago Bears

These are heads-up picks. We’re doing picks with the spread on Yahoo. If you want to get in on the action, leave me a message in the comment with your e-mail or send one to me at

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54 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. Mike
    December 22nd, 2009 at 12:30 pm #

    A lock to win the same as a lock to lose, you’re just picking the opposite team. so NE is a lock to win this week… what is a the logic here?

  2. LestersLegends
    December 22nd, 2009 at 1:02 pm #

    It’s like two different Survivor or Suicide leagues. Each week I pick one to win and one to lose without using the same game.

    My lock to win this week is Green Bay. My lock to lose is Jacksonville.

    I’m not following your comment.

  3. ddp
    December 22nd, 2009 at 1:45 pm #

    I need for sure heads – up picks. Can you please HELP!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  4. Wayne Merritt
    December 22nd, 2009 at 6:38 pm #

    Do you suggest benching Jamaal Charles in week 16 in favor of Jacobs or F-Jax. My #1 starter is S-Jax. Big decision this week whether to start Schaub or Warner and 2 WR’s from Boldin,Marshall,and Austin. Any ideas??

  5. LestersLegends
    December 22nd, 2009 at 6:51 pm #

    Both Jacobs and F-Jax are sharing with Bradshaw and Lynch respectively so I’d roll with Charles’ hot hand.

    Don’t think you can go wrong with either QB, but I’d lean Warner.

    I’d go Boldin and Marshall.

  6. bababoo-e
    December 22nd, 2009 at 7:16 pm #

    Hi Lester,here we go:
    I need 2 RB’s from S.Jax,J.Charles,Addai,Forsett and Maroney.
    Can you help me?

  7. LestersLegends
    December 22nd, 2009 at 7:53 pm #

    A lot of solid choices. I’d start by bumping Forsett. I’m a little nervous about how much Addai and the Colts offense is going to get used. Therefore I’d bench him.

    I like Maroney this week, but I’d probably end up going with the guys who got you there: Sjax and Charles.

  8. bababoo-e
    December 22nd, 2009 at 8:25 pm #

    Thanks on the RB’s insight[love it].

    One more please.
    Romo @ Washington or Young vs SD?

  9. Terry
    December 22nd, 2009 at 8:35 pm #

    Ben,Tony or Vince for all the money?

  10. LestersLegends
    December 22nd, 2009 at 9:57 pm #

    Gotta take Tony in both instances. SD is playing great football, and I just can’t bring myself to use VY over such good alternatives. Big Ben was a monster last week, but Ward is banged up and I don’t see that one being such a shootout.

  11. Ivysmith
    December 23rd, 2009 at 3:25 am #

    Do you want more interesting?
    Joe DeCamillis has been around a few kickers that have played a long time in the NFL Draft (Jason Elam, Morten Andersen) and he believes Nick Folk will be one of them, too.
    The Cowboys cut Folk Monday after missing 10 field goal attempts this year and signed Shaun Suisham.
    “He works his craft the way you’re supposed to work it, so it was a difficult decision obviously,” DeCamillis said. “You don’t want to see anybody struggle and he was struggling. I think he even knew it. I’ve got the utmost respect for him, wouldn’t surprise me if he started kicking well again the league. He just kind of went into a little funk and unfortunately we couldn’t get him out of it. It’s disappointing on my part because you hppe to do something to revive it and get him going in the right direction and it just didn’t happen.”
    Merry Christmas!And have a good time!

  12. LestersLegends
    December 23rd, 2009 at 6:05 am #

    I agree, he’ll be kicking again. Merry Christmas to you as well.

  13. David
    December 23rd, 2009 at 10:24 am #

    Morning Lester, I am in the main championship… Have two big decisions.. Need one QB Romo or Favre, both are not at the top of most lists. I am leaning towards Farve since the December mind bug is off his back. Second is my DST, need one. I have the Colts, Cowboys and can get Patriots, Redskins, Falcons or Dolphins. What is the best DST matchup?
    Have Merry Christmas and thank you for your insight.

  14. LestersLegends
    December 23rd, 2009 at 10:29 am #

    I like Romo over Favre. I just can’t trust Brett at this point.

    I like the Falcons D the best. They are still in it and Buffalo is hurting at QB.

    Merry Christmas to you as well and good luck!

  15. reido
    December 23rd, 2009 at 5:38 pm #

    Please send me your picks done by the spread. Would you go with (RB’s) Stewart, Moats, or the kid from Detroit Morris? Morris and Stewart had big games Moats hurt me. If williams plays for Carolina do I still play Stew? I want my backs to get the rock.
    Thanks for all the hard work,

  16. TheCoach
    December 24th, 2009 at 2:51 pm #

    I agree… start Romo after Eli made teh Redskins look like a joke yesterday but I wouldn’t start the Falcons defence as the Jets run game could simply take over.. honestly I’d go Romo, Cowboys DST due to the fact Washington can’t score points.. they have such a brutal offense..

    feel free to check out all my week 16 picks with full analysis @

    Regards Lester and Merry Christmas!

  17. LestersLegends
    December 24th, 2009 at 4:32 pm #

    Atlanta plays Buffalo and they have major QB issues.

  18. bababoo-e
    December 24th, 2009 at 7:07 pm #

    Hi Lester,just stopping by to wish you and your family a Merry Christmas.

  19. LestersLegends
    December 24th, 2009 at 8:11 pm #

    Thank bababoo-e. May Santa be kind and the fantasy gods even kinder. Merry Christmas to you and yours.

  20. Anonymous
    December 25th, 2009 at 11:27 pm #

    Very easy picks everyone can do it .

  21. LestersLegends
    December 25th, 2009 at 11:30 pm #

    Well, feel free to share your picks Anonymous.

  22. bababoo-e
    December 26th, 2009 at 12:00 pm #

    Hi Lester,hope Santa was good to you.
    Please help me with WR’s.
    I’m starting R. Moss and S. Smith[NYG]as for my third one which one you would pick from A.Collie,J.Cotchery.S.Breaston and J,Avant?

    PS. There’s no such thing as easy pick.

    Thanks again.

  23. LestersLegends
    December 26th, 2009 at 12:21 pm #

    I’d probably go with Collie. He’s the most likely to score. Breaston has disappeared. Cotchery is a decent option.

  24. Wayne Merritt
    December 26th, 2009 at 2:31 pm #

    Week #16 semi final game new decisions to make. Schaub or Warner pick 2 S-Jax, F,Jax, Jacobs, or Charles. Pick 2 Boldin, Marshall, or Austin. Hartley or Kris Brown. Thanks for your help.

  25. LestersLegends
    December 26th, 2009 at 2:49 pm #

    I like warner, sjax, charles, boldin, marshall, hartley

  26. Wayne Merritt
    December 26th, 2009 at 4:01 pm #

    Thanks Lester for your help. I like Warner to but he has struggled the last 2 games. Warner didn’t exactly light up the Lions like I thought he would do last week. I was hoping for a 300yd/3TD day.

  27. LesterLegends
    December 26th, 2009 at 4:57 pm #

    Hopefully he saved that for the championship.

  28. bababoo-e
    December 27th, 2009 at 9:42 am #

    Good Morning Lester. One KICKER QUESTION.
    Carpenter or Gostkowski?

    After that my lineup will set for the Big Game.
    Thank you again.Have a great day.

  29. LestersLegends
    December 27th, 2009 at 9:58 am #

    Houston has allowed just 16 FGs on the year compared to 21 for the Jags. Gostkowski has kicked two more FGs and 7 more PATs.He’s also made 16 of his 24 FGs at home. All signs point to Gostkowski, and since weather shouldn’t be much of a factor, I say roll with him.

  30. bababoo-e
    September 5th, 2010 at 9:36 am #

    Hi Lester,hope all is well with you and your family.
    Last year you gave me some real good advices and I’m counting on you again.
    This is just a test to see if you will be active.

    My draft is tomorrow,Sept,06.

    I’ll check this everyday,hopefully you will be here.

  31. LestersLegends
    September 5th, 2010 at 12:27 pm #

    I have and will continue to be active.

    Hope all is well with you. Good luck on your draft tomorrow.

  32. bababoo-e
    September 11th, 2010 at 9:26 am #

    Hi Lester,good morning.
    My starters RB’s for the week is R. Rice and J. Charles.
    On the bench I have J. Harrison and R. Willians with better match ups.
    Would you sit one of my starters in favor of any of my reserves?

  33. LestersLegends
    September 11th, 2010 at 7:21 pm #

    I would probably go with Harrison over Charles this week, but that could go either way.

  34. bababoo-e
    September 23rd, 2010 at 3:48 pm #

    Hi Lester.
    I got C. Benson in a trade this week,would you start him over
    J. Charles?

  35. LestersLegends
    September 23rd, 2010 at 4:41 pm #

    I would go with Benson. He’s the clear starter while Charles is sharing with Thomas Jones.

  36. bababoo-e
    September 23rd, 2010 at 4:57 pm #

    Thanks Lester, Will do.
    One more question please.
    DST I have the Jets @ Dolphins and Giants playing at home
    against TEN.
    Normally I like My DST playing at home,but the Jets seems
    to have a better defense.
    What is your thoughts?

  37. LestersLegends
    September 23rd, 2010 at 5:25 pm #

    I agree with you there as well.

  38. bababoo-e
    September 24th, 2010 at 5:07 pm #

    Hey Lester,the other guy backed up on the trade,so I had to give
    C. Benson back,but I got M. Tolbert who probably will start game 3
    I’m planning to use him over J. Charles.
    What do you think?

    P.S. Thanks for always been there.

  39. LestersLegends
    September 24th, 2010 at 5:15 pm #

    No prob bababoo-e. I’d go with Tolbert this week as well.

  40. bababoo-e
    October 3rd, 2010 at 7:24 am #

    Good morning Lester.
    I’m hoping you respond before 1:00 O’clock.
    Two decisions: R.Rice banged up @ PIT or Tolbert?
    A. Johnson game time decision @ 4:00 or D. Henderson or
    D. Thomas?
    Either way nothing look good,but I have to give myself a chance.
    Thank you.

  41. LestersLegends
    October 3rd, 2010 at 8:38 am #

    I like Rice since Mathews is gonna play. I think AJ will give it a go so I’d want him in my lineup.

  42. bababoo-e
    October 3rd, 2010 at 9:23 am #

    Thanks Lester. One more now.
    Jets or Seahawks?

  43. LestersLegends
    October 3rd, 2010 at 9:27 am #

    Both very good, but I’d lean toward the J-E-T-S.

  44. bababoo-e
    October 3rd, 2010 at 9:38 am #

    J-E-T-S Are you a Jets fan?
    Lester I think you should advertise your site at the home page again.
    That’s how I got here and I’m only here now because I was smart enough to save the link.
    Think about it.
    And thanks again for all your help.

  45. LestersLegends
    October 3rd, 2010 at 9:40 am #

    Actually I hate the Jets.

    Here’s the home page:

  46. bababoo-e
    October 3rd, 2010 at 10:00 am #

    Just checked the home page.looks really good,great stuff.
    Love the sneaky the week ahead,it’s a great tool.
    Keep up the good work.

  47. LestersLegends
    October 3rd, 2010 at 10:02 am #

    Thanks. Good luck this week.

  48. bababoo-e
    October 10th, 2010 at 8:56 am #

    Good Morning Lester.
    Please help,pick two RB’s from Rice,Charles,Tolbert and

    Thank you.

  49. LestersLegends
    October 10th, 2010 at 11:14 am #

    rice and charles. was camping. sorry.

  50. bababoo-e
    October 14th, 2010 at 12:33 pm #

    Hey Lester,how are you?
    One guy in my league dropped M. Schaub,should I
    drop C. Palmer and pick him up?
    They both sucks right now,but I’m not sure schedule wise.
    My other QB. is K. Orton.

  51. LestersLegends
    October 14th, 2010 at 12:38 pm #

    It’s crazy how good Orton has been.

    Schaub’s schedule is a little tough:

    6 Oct 17 KAN
    7 bye
    8 Nov 1 @ IND
    9 Nov 7 SDG
    10 Nov 14 @ JAC
    11 Nov 21 @ NYJ
    12 Nov 28 TEN
    13 Dec 2 @ PHI
    14 Dec 13 BAL
    15 Dec 19 @ TEN
    16 Dec 26 @ DEN

    6 bye
    7 Oct 24 @ ATL
    8 Oct 31 MIA
    9 Nov 8 PIT
    10 Nov 14 @ IND
    11 Nov 21 BUF
    12 Nov 25 @ NYJ
    13 Dec 5 NOR
    14 Dec 12 @ PIT
    15 Dec 19 CLE
    16 Dec 26 SDG

    I may be quicker to get Schaub because Andre Johnson should get healthier and Owen Daniels could eventually round into form.

  52. bababoo-e
    November 1st, 2010 at 2:35 pm #

    Hey Lester,how are you?
    What’s your insight on S. Breaston?,Should I pick him
    up off wavers?
    If so I’ll have to drop one between M. Willians[SEA]
    D. Driver or D.Bess I also have R. Rice[not sure if he's coming
    back]might be a good sign now that Moss is out.
    Who should I drop?

  53. bababoo-e
    November 1st, 2010 at 2:36 pm #

    Sorry I meant S. Rice.

  54. LestersLegends
    November 1st, 2010 at 2:54 pm #

    Doing OK. Hope you’re well.

    I would definitely keep M. Williams. I don’t see it as a major upgrade over driver or bess. rice is a tough one. he still seems to be a long way away and if they don’t start turning things around there won’t be a reason to bring him back.

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