Out on a Fantasy Football Limb Volume 11

Nov 15, 2007

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Peyton Manning 24.4 beat Drew Brees 21.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
If you subtract points for INTs, I’m right.
Willie Parker 11.3 beat Adrian Peterson 5.9 as I predicted. I won’t even count the 3 points I was spotting myself.
Cedric Benson 15.7 beat Priest Holmes 7.9WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Terrell Owens 24.5 beat Larry Fitzgerald 19.4 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Braylon Edwards 7.6 beat Santonio Holmes 5.1 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Super Stretch
Greg Jennings 6.3 beat Steve Smith 6.1 as I predicted.

Regular Picks: 1-4
Super Stretch Picks: 1-0
Overall: 2-4
Breakdown: QB: 0-1, RB: 1-1, WR: 1-2

Season Record
Regular Picks: 22-27-1
Super Stretch Picks: 8-2
Overall: 30-29-1
Breakdown: QB: 5-7, RB: 16-7-1, WR: 9-15

This Week’s Picks

big-ben.jpg
Photo courtesy of Aaron Josefcz/Icon SMI

Ben Roethlisberger over Peyton Manning
Peyton beat me last week since I didn’t deduct for INTs. I think next year I’ll start doing that. Anyway, I think Big Ben is going to light the Jets up. Manning should do fine against Kansas City, but there will probably be a couple QBs that put up numbers. Ben will be one of them.

Brian Westbrook over LaDainian Tomlinson
Why not take on another big gun? Westbrook should be in line for a monster against Miami. LT may be slowed a bit by Jacksonville.

Brandon Jacobs over Willie Parker
Jacobs should have a field day against Detroit. Parker is a little banged up so I think Pittsburgh will be relying on the pass against the Jets.

Larry Fitzgerald over Terrell Owens
I’m calling for a repeat. Fitzy had a great game last week. MeO just did a little better. This week, I think Larry tops him in his matchup with Cincinnati. MeO faces Washington, which has been bad lately, but I think their safeties will keep him somewhat in check.

Andre Johnson over Steve Smith
He’s back. Why not trot him out on a limb right away?  New Orleans is about the perfect team to return against. If Delhomme could return for Smith, maybe he could pull it out, but I just don’t have faith in Carolina QBs.

SUPER STRETCH
Chester Taylor over Clinton Portis
With Adrian Peterson out this week, Chester gets a chance to put up solid numbers against a bad Oakland team. Washington will be playing catch up with Dallas so Portis will be limited.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8

Week 9
Week 10

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