I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Peyton Manning 20.45 beat Jon Kitna 5.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Edgerrin James 9.7 beat Frank Gore 7.5 as I predicted
Cedric Benson 12.9 beat Michael Pittman 1.5 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Braylon Edwards 11.0 beat Brandon Marshall 7.2 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Steve Smith 10.7 beat Roy Williams 3.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Super Stretch
Gus Frerotte 25.2 beat Matt Hasselbeck 5.8 as I predictedRecap
Regular Picks: 1-4
Super Stretch Picks: 1-0
Overall: 2-4
Breakdown: QB: 1-1, RB: 1-1, WR: 0-2

 

Season Record
Regular Picks: 12-13
Super Stretch Picks: 4-1
Overall: 16-14
Breakdown: QB: 4-2, RB: 9-4, WR: 3-8

This Week’s Picks
Drew Brees
over Matt Schaub
How bad has this year been for Brees? He has 929 yards and only 1 TD, which makes him an Out on a Limb candidate vs. Schaub (1299 & 5 TDs). I have no reason to think he snaps out of his funk, but I’m going on a hunch. Schaub should have his hands full with Jacksonville.

LaDainian Tomlinson over Shaun Alexander and Maurice Jones-Drew
LT always destroys Oakland. I am doing my first two for one special of the year. LT will outscore SA & MJD combined in a battle of the Initial RBs.

Jason Wright over DeShaun Foster
Jason Wright may or may not get the start. Jamal Lewis missed last week with a foot injury. Miami has a bad run defense, so Wright may get some work either way. Foster faces a quietly tough Arizona defense.

Randy Moss over Terrell Owens +2 points
Let’s face it. New England-Dallas is the best matchup this season. Moss-MeO is the most intriguing WR matchup this weekend. I’ll spot MeO 20 yards. Moss will prove he’s Boss.

Dwayne Bowe over Torry Holt
The rookie has looked pretty darn good. I think his size will be a factor against Cincy. Holt has to face Baltimore with a backup QB.  

SUPER STRETCH
Kurt Warner
over Tony Romo
Romo looked horrible on Monday. This week it doesn’t get any easier against New England. Warner should do decent if he doesn’t get hurt. I just hope his wife isn’t doesn’t get her typical coverage.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks

Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4
Week 5

NFL Picks – Week 6

10 October 2007

nfl-logo.jpg
Photo courtesy of Ed Wolfstein/Icon SMI 

I did well last week. Reached double digits in a bye week. I lost with KC, NO, DET, and GB. My lock pick, Dallas, barely won. I really would have thought my kiss of death was real if they lost.

Last Week: 10-4
Overall: 45-31
Lock Picks: 2-3

Lock Pick: Chicago
Previous Lock Picks: PITT, CIN (L), SD (L), BAL (L), DAL (barely)

Week 6 Picks
TENN over TB
CHI over MINN (Lock Pick)
JAX over HOU
MIA over CLE
BAL over STL (Great Survivor Pick)
GB over WASH
CIN over KC
PHI over NYJ
ARI over CAR
SD over OAK (Great Survivor Pick)
NE over DAL
SEA over NO
NYG over ATL

Those are my picks. Any differences?

 | Posted by | Categories: NFL | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks |

Fantasy Football Forum
Did you win your matchup this week? What’s your record? I got beat to fall to 4-1. Tom Brady was solid. Dallas Clark scored my only TD. Larry Johnson made me throw up in my mouth. I was afraid of Travis Henry so I started LenDale White. He put it on on the carpet, which cut down his carries. I was short on WRs with Ocho on bye and Andre Johnson still hurt. Coles was solid, as was my free agent pickup of Andre Davis. Roddy White, another waiver wire guy, was junk. I thought I found a kicker, but Jeff Reed sucked major backside. Not my best week.

I shook up my team. With Travis “9 kids and a pound a weed” Henry facing suspension, I dealt my top commodity. Well, top 2 I guess. I packaged Tom Brady, Larry Johnson, and Cedric Benson for Brett Favre, Ronnie Brown, and Edgerrin James. Hopefully it doesn’t blow up in my face.

That’s how my weekend of fantasy football went. How did you do?

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are mypreseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: 816 yards, 0 TDs, 3 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Hurt. Did not play.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: 1475 yards, 3 TDs, 3 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Hurt. Did not play.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1216 total yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Only 34 total yards, but found the endzone.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 761 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Only 27 total yards. Yuck.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 22 yards
Did not play because of ankle injury.
Right-O-Meter: 1 – An ankle injury will keep the Right-O-Meter low all year long.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 1008 yards, 6 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 8
84 yards and a TD. That’s what I needed.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yard, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 771 yards, 6 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
44 yards and a score. Nice.

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2332 yards passing, 492 rushing yards, 12 TDs, 4 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
157 yards passing (with 3 picks) and 27 rushing. But he did win.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 1072 total yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Had 112 total yards and a score, but he’s still way off.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1123 yards, 10 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
89 yards and a TD. Nice.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1082 yards, 3 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
Had 100 yards. His team sucks
I’m sucking at my predicitions, although my bust picks are pretty good still.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Friday Tidbits 10/5/07

5 October 2007

The Red Sox and Cubbies won their divisions on the same night. How sweet is that? The Mets historic collapse led to a division title for the Phillies. Willie Randolph won’t get the axe though. Arizona wrapped up the AL West. Colorado knocked off San Diego in a one game playoff. Magglio Ordonez and Matt Holliday won the batting titles. A.J. Pierzynski signed a two-year extenstion with the White Sox. C.C. Sabathia joined the 19 win club. Jim Leyland will be the Tigers skipper through 2009. Carlos Pena and Dmitri Young won Comeback Players of the Year. The cynic in mean wonders about Pena’s amazing breakout season. Speaking of which, Scott Schoeneweis is the latest name to be implicated for steroid use. The Braves are moving on without Andruw Jones. Florida’s Hanley Ramirez had shoulder surgery. So did Gary Sh*ffield. Carlos Beltran had knee surgery. Tim Wakefield, Bartolo Colon, and Gary M*tthews, Jr. were left off the playoff roster for the Red Sox-Angels series. Adam Eaton was left of the Phillies roster. Josh Beckett pitched a beautiful complete game shutout to give the Red Sox Game 1. Colorado stayed hot stealing Game 1 from Host Philadelphia. Kazuo Matsui’s 5 RBIs and near cycle gave Colorado a 2-0 lead. Brandon Webb struck out 9 as he allowed just 1 run over 7 innings to beat the Cubs. Chris Young’s 3 run jack helped give Arizona a 2-0 lead. Cleveland bombed the Yankees 12-3. Kenny Lofton, of all people, led the attack with 4 RBIs.

Brett Favre became the all-time TD pass leader. The Browns knocked off Baltimore. New England, Indy, Dallas and Green Bay remained undefeated. Atlanta and Buffalo picked up their first wins. San Diego, Baltimore, Chicago, and Pittsburgh were upset. Daunte Culpepper ran for 3 scores and passed for 2 more against his former team Miami. His former teammate, Randy Moss, grabbed two more touchdown passes. Tony Romo threw 3 TDs and ran for another one. Griese didn’t play any better than Grossman. Justin Fargas and Patrick Crayton were the latest to have breakout games. Denver lost G Ben Hamilton for the season because of concussions. Hines Ward missed a game. McNabb probably wishes he missed the Giants game as he was sacked 12 times. Tampa lost Cadillac Williams and tackle Luke Petitgout “Junction” for the season with knee injuries. Ricky “Puff, puff, give” Williams has applied for reinstatement. SF QB Alex Smith will miss this week’s game. He’ll likely be out longer, but it doesn’t look like he’ll need surgery. Keenan McCardell signed on with Washington. Miami will be without Vonnie Holliday this week after he broke a bone in his ankle. Michael Vick took a PETA class on animal cruelty. Shoot, he could have taught the class. He knows all sorts of ways to be cruel to animals. Oh wait, it was prevention of cruelty. That makes more sense. While he was in class, Atlanta decided to ask for $16 million in signing bonus money back from the dog killer. Indy lost LB Rob Morris for the year after knee surgery. Cincy lost LB Lemar Marshall. St. Louis is benching Marc Bulger and his broken ribs for Gus Frerotte. Rodney Harris*n is back fort eh Patriots following his steroid suspension. The rich get richer. Denver RB Travis Henry, the league’s leading rusher, may have to shut it down because he was smoking weed. What an idiot. I’m waiting for the Chris Crocker YouTube video. “Leave Travis alone. He’s going through some tough times. His knee and ankle are hurting. He was just medicating his football injuries. Leave Travis alone. He lives in Colorado. Marijuana is the state flower there. Leave Travis alone. He had nine kids from nine nagging women. Of course he needs an escape. LEAVE TRAVIS ALONE RIGHT NOW. I mean it. Otherwise you have to deal with ME.”

The LA Kings smoked Anaheim in the season opener in London. Anaheim took Game 2 to earn the split. Detroit welcomed them back to the U.S. with a shootout loss. Philly’s Steve Downie was suspended 20 games for a nasty hit on Dean McAmmond. Dany Heatley signed a six-year, $45-million extension with Ottawa. He celebrated with 2 goals and an assist to start Ottawa off in the Win Column. Saku Koivu scored a pair of goals in Montreal’s season-opening win. Paul Stastny trumped them both though, as he scored a hat trick for Colorado as they beat Dallas. Nashville’s Chris Mason and Minnesota’s Niklas Backstrom recorded shutouts in their team’s openers.

New Jersey’s PG Marcus Williams will be out a while with a broken foot. The Cavs signed G Devin Brown and traded David Wesley for Cedric Simmons. Minnesota traded Trenton Hassell to Dallas for Greg Buckner. The Knicks traded for the rights to Jared Jordan. Speaking of the Knicks Isiah Thomas was found guilty of sexual harassment. Amare Stoudamire got his knee scoped. The Bulls will allow Ben Wallace to wear his headband next year. Oh boy. San Antonio will retire Avery Johnson’s number. Kwame Brown was with disorderly conduct and interfering with an officer after his friend got pullled over for driving drunk the wrong way on a one way street.

What a wild weekend of college football. It started with #18 South Florida beating #5 West Virginia. Then #3 Oklahoma fell to Colorado, #4 Florida lost to Auburn, #7 Texas fell to Kansas State, #10 Rutgers lost to Maryland, #13 Clemson lost to Georgia Tech, #21 Penn State lost to Illinois, and #22 Alabama fell to Florida State (I really do like it when Saban loses). Some things don’t change though as Notre Dame lost again. I must have jinxed Oklahoma and Florida because in last week’s tidbits I said “Is it just me or is it weird that South Florida and Rutgers became good while Auburn, Colorado, and Ole Miss have become bad”. Ole Miss must not have gotten the memo. Memphis DL Taylor Bradford was gunned down. His teammates beat Marshall for him. Florida S Tony Joiner was charged with burglary. This week’s top matchups are #1 LSU vs. #9 Florida, #4 Ohio State vs. #23 Purdue, #10 Oklahoma vs #19 Texas, #15 Virginia Tech vs. #22 Clemson, #17 Missouri vs. #25 Nebraska, and #20 Cincinnati vs. #21 Rutgers.

Duke named G DeMarcus Nelson as their captain. Bud Mackey, a Indiana recruit, was arrested for trafficking cocaine. UCLA gave Ben Howland a seven-year contract extension. Cincinnati will be without F Mike Williams for the season following an Achilles injury.

That concludes the Tidbits. As always, feel free to add any stories you liked this week in sports or discuss any of the stories I mentioned.

 | Posted by | Categories: MLB, NBA, NFL | Tagged: College Basketball, College Football, NCAA, NHL |

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Brian Griese
23.1 beat Jeff Garcia 15.8 as I predicted.
Marion Barber III 7.2 Willie Parker 6.6 as I predicted.
Brian Leonard 5.9 beat Jerious Norwood 4.5 as I predicted.
Braylon Edwards 15.7 beat Kevin Curtis 2.1 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Marvin Harrison 0.8 beat Javon Walker 0.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Walker didn’t play. Harrison got hurt. Pretty much a wash.

Super Stretch
Larry Fitzgerald 12.3 beat Wes Welker 4.9 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Season Record: 11-9 Regular Picks, 3-1 Super Stretch Picks, 14-10 Overall
QB: 3-1, RB: 8-3, WR: 3-6

This Week’s Picks
Jon Kitna over Peyton Manning
Bring on the Big Gun. Kitna should be airing it out aginst Washington. Tampa will slightly slow down Manning. That’s my thought anyway.

Edgerrin James over Frank Gore
St. Louis is falling apart. Look for Edge to roll over them. Gore gets to face Baltimore. Any questions?

Michael Pittman over Cedric Benson
Pittman will have to share carries with Earnest Graham, but he still hould outproduce sucky Cedric Benson.

Brandon Marshall over Braylon Edwards
With Javon Walker and Travis Henry banged up, Marshall will be called upon heavily. Edwards gets to deal with Asante Samuel.

Roy Williams over Steve Smith
Roy will run wild against Washington. Steve Smith is in a major slump.

SUPER STRETCH
Gus Frerotte over Matt Hasselbeck
Gus is getting the nod because of Bulger’s rib injury. Matt travels to Pittsburgh. It’s going to be a long day for Matt.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4

NFL Picks Week 5

3 October 2007

nfl-logo.jpg
Photo courtesy of Ed Wolfstein/Icon SMI 

I was awful last week. Just awful. I went 5-9. My only winners were Green Bay, Dallas, Tampa Bay, Indy, and New England. My lock pick (Baltimore) didn’t come through either. Hopefully I can do better this week.

Last Week: 5-9
Overall: 35-27
Lock Picks: 1-3

Lock Pick: Dallas
Previous Lock Picks: PITT, CIN (L), SD (L), BAL (L)

Week 5 Picks
TENN over ATL
HOU over MIA
KC over JAX
ARI over STL
NE over CLE
NO over CAR
NYG over NYJ
PITT over SEA
DET over WASH
INDY over TB
SD over DEN
BALT over SF
GB over CHI
DAL over BUF

Those are my picks. Any differences?

 | Posted by | Categories: NFL | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks |

Fantasy Football Forum
Did you win your matchup this week? What’s your record? Tom Brady’s solid Monday night helped me remain undefeated. Luck was on my side as I had the 3rd lowest score in my 8 man keeper league. Nonetheless, I’m the only one at 4-0. Aside from Brady, I got a solid performance from Laveranues Coles and recently acquired Travis Henry. I dealt Rudi Johnson and Mark Clayton for Henry and Santana Moss. My opponent had a huge game from Addai, but an injury kept him from finishing. Also, MeO did nothing despite Dallas scoring 2 TDs. I got cute and started Benson over Larry Johnson. LJ had a solid 14.8 points for my bench. I also had Dallas Clark and his 2 TDs on the bench in favor of Heath Miller.

That’s how my weekend of fantasy football went. How did you do?

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are mypreseason predictions are going.

Surprises
J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: 1020 yards, 0 TDs, 4 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
Hurt. Did not play.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: 1844 yards, 4 TDs, 4 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 1
He got hurt on the 3rd play of the game.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1440 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 8
Had a bye.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 844 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 4
45 total yards. Not what I was expecting.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 28 yards
Did not play because of ankle injury.
Right-O-Meter: 1 – An ankle injury will keep the Right-O-Meter low all year long.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 924 yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 4
52 yards.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yard, 8 TDs
On Pace for: 805 yards, 5 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Solidf 82 yard performance

Disappointments
Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2272 yards passing, 512 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 5 rushing TDs, 15 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Had a bye. My predictions are on target, but a further review of my projections, and those numbers wouldn’t be that bad.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 832 total yards, 0 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
Had a bye.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1048 yards, 8 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10
He only had 52 yards.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 952 yards, 4 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
He finally picked up a TD. He’s coming around. I think I’m way off on this.

I’m sucking at my predicitions, although my bust picks are pretty good still.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Friday Tidbits 9/28/07

28 September 2007

Brett Favre tied Dan Marino with his 420 TDs as Green Bay upset San Diego. The Raiders won. Of course, they did play Cleveland. Donovan McNabb let his playing to the talking. McNabb, Westbrook, and Kevin Curtis were amazing. Jon Kitna threw for 446 yards in a losing effort. Kevin Curtis and Roy Williams each went over 200 yards. I’m not sure if that ever happened before. Tom Brady threw 2 more TDs to Randy Moss. Ho hum. Dallas destroyed Chicago. Michael Vick got busted for “listening to the Doobie Brothers”. You following me? Not smart to smoke weed after a guilty plea. The Bears finally pulled the plug on Rex Grossman. Griese gets the call. DeAngeleo Hall was fined $100K for his meltdown. What a puke. Deuce McAllister is out for the year with a knee injury. Steven Jackson is out a week or more with a bad groin. Drew Brees donated $2 million to Purdue for an athletic facility.

Josh Beckett became the first 20 game winner since 2005. Mike Mussina won his 250th game. Cleveland clinched the AL Central. Anaheim clinched the AL West. The Red Sox and Yankees clinched a playoff spot. Prince Fielder clubbed his 50th home run. There was a Manny sighting in Boston. A-Rod went over the 150 RBI mark. Milton Bradley tore his knee arguing with an umpire. That umpire (Mike Winters) was suspended for the rest of the season and postseason for baiting Bradley. Survey says they are both a-holes. Michael Young had his 200th hit for the 5th straight year. Fausto Carmona, Chien-Ming Wang, and Jake Peavey all recorded their 19th victories. Ryan Howard is tied for the all-time single-season strikeout record with 195. The remaining pennant races are great. The Red Sox have a two game lead on the Yankees. Philly and NY are tied for first. The Cubs have a two game lead on Milwaukee. Arizona has a one game lead on San Diego. San Diego has a game edge over the Mets and Colorado, who’ve won 11 straight to get in the chase, in the Wild Card race.

Shawn Marion wants to be traded. LA is a likely destination. Troy Hudson signed with Golden State. That’s awesome. Now that he’s in California, T-Hud can continue his wonderful rap career. LeBron is going to host Saturday Night Live.

The NHL season kicks off on Saturday. Tampa Bay D Dan Boyle accidentally cut his wrist with his skate and will be out a month. The LA Kings waived G Dan Cloutier. Vancouver G Roberto Luongo said he would retire if the league used bigger nets. Chicken. Philly F Scottie Upshall broke his wrist and will be over more than a month. St. Louis will be without D Jay McKee for a month because of a foot injury.

There were some stunners last weekend in college football. My Syracuse Orange knocked off #18 Louisville 38-35 despite 555 yards and 4 TD passes from Brian Brohm. Andrew Robinson had 423 yards and 4 scores for the ‘Cuse. Miami doubled up #20 Texas A & M 34-17. Michigan beat #10 Penn State 14-9. #22 Georgia beat #16 Alabama 26-23. I like it when Saban loses. The other matchup betwen ranked teams saw #2 LSU defeat #12 South Carolina 28-16. Oklahoma DE John Williams is out for the year with an Achilles injury. The weekend kicks off tonight with a sweet matchup between #5 West Virginia and #18 South Florida. #6 Cal vs. #11 Oregon should be a good matchup. #9 Wisconsin vs. 4-0 Michigan State could be good. Is it just me or is it weird that South Florida and Rutgers became good while Auburn, Colorado, and Ole Miss have become bad.

Kentucky G Joe Crawford had knee surgery. Louisville C Clarence Holloway had open-heart surgery. Ohio State gave Coach Thad Matta a $480,000 raise. Tennessee suspended D Duke Crews indefinitely for a rule violation. Syracuse’s Carmelo Anthony was on hand to break ground on the Carmelo K. Anthony Basketball Center, a practice facility for the men and women’s teams. He donated $3 million for it. Corliss Williamson is retiring from the NBA (didn’t know he was still playing) to become an assistant coach for Arkansas Baptist College. Georgetown signed Coach John Thompson III to a 6 year contract extension.

That concludes the Tidbits. As always, feel free to add any stories you liked this week in sports or discuss any of the stories I mentioned.

 | Posted by | Categories: MLB, NBA, NFL | Tagged: College Basketball, College Football, NCAA, NHL |

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Brett Favre 30.55 beat Jason Campbell 14.7 WHICH I GOT WRONG
Frank Gore 5.1 beat Rudi Johnson 4.2 WHICH I GOT WRONG
LaMont Jordan
21.3 beat Maurice Jones-Drew as I predicted.
Larry Fitzgerald 8.5 beat Santana Moss 8.4 WHICH I GOT WRONG
However, Fitz fumbled a ball so if your league deducts for fumbles, Moss was the better play.
Vincent Jackson 16.8 beat Hines Ward 0.9 as I predicted.

Super Stretch
LenDale White 12.0 beat Thomas Jones 11.1 asI predicted.

Season Record: 8-7 Regular Picks, 3-0 Super Stretch Picks, 11-7 Overall
QB: 2-1, RB: 6-3, WR: 3-3

This Week’s Picks
Brian Griese over Jeff Garcia
Chicago is finally pulling the plug on the Rex Grossman Experiment. Griese has a solid day to keep the job for a while. Garcia struggles a little on the road against Carolina.

Marion Barber III over Willie Parker
MB3 has been awesome. He should have no problems against St. Louis at home. Fast Willie won’t be able to keep up on the road against Arizona.

Brian Leonard over Jerious Norwood
Leonard gets the starting nod because of S-Jax’s injury. He takes advantage of by outperforming Norwood against Houston’s surprisingly good D.

Kevin Curtis over Braylon Edwards
Curtis shows he was no fluke against a weak Giants pass D. Edwards has the fun matchup with Baltimore.

Javon Walker over Marvin Harrison
Their teams square off so why not an Out on a Limb square off as well.  Denver will be playing from behind padding Walker’s stats. Indy will be up so Addai will get the work. Not to mention Marvin has to share with Wayne.
SUPER STRETCH
Wes Welker
over Larry Fitzgerald
I’m really picking on Fitz this year. He hasn’t reached rock bottom yet. Facing Pittsburgh will bring him there. I sense Brady will remind everyone that it’s not just Randy Moss this year.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

What Happened to Our Running Backs?

I’ll ask it again. What has happened to our running backs? LaDainian Tomlinson, Steven Jackson, and Larry Johnson. These guys were generally the top 3 picks in most fantasy drafts. LJ may have slid depending on when you drafted based on his preseason contract situation. Rudi Johnson, Willis McGahee, Laurence Maroney, Maurice Jones-Drew, and Reggie Bush were late first, early second round picks. All of these players have been fairly disappointing thus far.

These running backs are being outscored by the likes of Randy Moss, Chad Johnson, Plaxico Burress, Steve Smith, Roy Williams, Terrell Owens, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Kevin Curtis, Anquan Boldin, Braylon Edwards, and Andre Johnson (who even missed a game). I could see Randy Moss, Chad Johnson, Steve Smith, and Terrell Owens, but the rest? That’s crazy.

Not all of the running backs are off to slow starts. Brian Westbrook and Ronnie Brown have rode big Week 3′s to the top of the scoring list. Joseph Addai and Willie Parker have been great. Marion Barber III, LaMont Jordan, Adrian Peterson, Clinton Portis, Edgerrin James, and Derrick Ward have been surprisingly some of the strongest, most consistent plays.

How many of these guys brought jeers from your leaguemates when you selected them in your draft? Who’s laughing now? Fantasy football is unpredictable. You can research until your face turns blue, but sometimes a little luck is all you need. So when you are drafting next year, try not to make fun of people for their picks. Remember, anything can happen.

So what can you do with this info? If you’re me, you seek out the owners of the running backs who have been disappoinments. Obviously, LT is most likely untouchable. As is Reggie Bush, whose value increased with the injury to Deuce McAllister. There may not be a better time to try and get S-Jax. He’s hurt and has been struggling. However, if you can get him for a bargain, it will help you in the long run. Eventually, New England will use the running game more. If you can get Maroney for cheap, you may be smiling when your faith is rewarded. Kansas City worked the outside with Dwayne Bowe, which opened the middle for Tony Gonzalez. That could eventually opens things up for LJ. Have you looked at Cincinnati’s fantasy playoff schedule (Weeks 14-16)? It’s as close to a cake walk as you’re going to get in the NFL. For that reason, he could be a trade target. I don’t recommend MJD. I predicted he’d be a bust in the preseason, and he’s making me look like a genius.

So there you have it. A little bit of news. A little bit of trade help. Hopefully it helps you. Agree with my assessments? Think I’m full of it? Feel free to leave me a comment below.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Partner of USA TODAY Sports Digital Properties