I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Ben Roethlisberger 20.8 beat Matt Hasselbeck 18.8 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
     Big Ben didn’t need the two points I spotted him.
Edgerrin James 9.5 beat Marion Barber 3.2 as I predicted.
Earnest Graham 17.9 beat Maurice Jones-Drew 11.9 (9.9 a ctual +2 spotted) as I predicted.
Torry Holt 8.1 beat Lee Evans 3.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Chris Chambers 7.8 beat Roddy White 0.4 as I predicted.

Super Stretch
Adrian Peterson 21.5 crushed Ryan Grant 12.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Regular Picks: 3-2
Super Stretch Picks: 0-1
Overall: 3-3
Breakdown: QB: 0-1, RB: 2-1, WR: 1-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 35-40-1
Super Stretch Picks: 12-3
Overall: 47-43-1
Breakdown: QB: 7-10, RB: 24-14-1, WR: 15-19

This Week’s Picks 
Vince Young over Jay Cutler
They came in the league at the same time. Vince Yound has a better record as a starter, but Cutler has been the better fantasy play this year. This week, though, I think it’s Vince Young who makes the better fantasy play. I think the Madden Curse gets a rest this week as he faces the Jets. Cutler has a much tougher matchup against San Diego. 

Photo courtesy of Scott Wachter/Icon SMI

LaDainian Tomlinson over Frank Gore and Ryan Grant Combined
It almost seems as if LT is stepping up his game just for the fantasy football playoffs. He’s been a beast the past three weeks. Facing Denver’s weak sauce run defense should carry many an LT owner to their Super Bowl victory. Frank Gore was great last week, but it won’t be as easy against Tampa Bay. Ryan Grant faces Chicago, who looked decent against the run against Minnesota. 

Brian Westbrook over Adrian Peterson +2
I’ll take All Day on once again. I’ll even spot him two points. I’m taking Brian “Please don’t take another knee” Westbrook on the road over All Day at home. 

Hines Ward over Torry Holt
It’s fun doing head-to-head games. This one is no exception. These are two WRs who play hard and let their actions speak louder than their celebrations. Pittsburgh’s D will be the difference in this one. 

Greg Jennings over Donald Driver +3
They got the wrong guy. Greg Jennings should have made the Pro Bowl over his teammate Donald Driver. He’s scored in ten of the twelve games he’s played this year. I’ll spot Driver 3 and still like my chances.

Kenny Watson over Clinton Portis
Rudi was a dud last weekend. He should be a winner this weekend though facing Cleveland. Clinton Portis will have to get involved in the passing game if he wants to have a solid game against Minnesota.
Rudi isn’t playing so I’m subbing in Kenny Watson so I have a chance.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
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NFL Picks – Week 16

19 December 2007

Photo courtesy of Ed Wolfstein/Icon SMI  

I was so-so last week going 10-6. Cincinnati, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Dallas and the Giants lost for me. My Lock pick of Seattle also lost.

Last Week: 10-6 (.625)
Overall: 136-84 (.618 )
Lock Picks: 10-5 (.666)

Lock Pick: Arizona
Previous Lock Picks: PITT (W), CIN (L), SD (L), BAL (L), DAL (W barely), CHI (L), NE (W), INDY (W), TB (W), GB (W), PHI (W), JAX (W), MINN (W), NO (W), SEA (L)

Week 16 Picks
Pittsburgh over St. Louis
Dallas over Carolina (Virtual Lock)
Jacksonville over Oakland (Virtual Lock)
Kansas City over Detroit
Indianapolis over Houston
New Orleans over Philadelphia
New York Giants over Buffalo
Green Bay over Chicago (Virtual Lock)
Cleveland over Cincinnati
Arizona over Atlanta (Lock Pick)
Tampa Bay over San Francisco (Virtual Lock)
Tennessee over New York Jets
New England over Miami (Virtual Lock)
Seattle over Baltimore
Minnesota over Washington (Toss-up Game)
San Diego over Denver

There you have it. Those are my picks. Any differences?

 | Posted by | Categories: NFL | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks |

I scoured the fantasy baskeball waiver wires to find gems so you don’t have to.

DeShawn Stevenson - Stevenson found his scoring touch last week averaging 19.7 per game.  He chipped in 3.0 rebound and 5.0 assists as well. 

Photo courtesy of Darrell Walker/UTHM/Icon SMI

Jerry Stackhouse - He’s getting a little long in the tooth, but he can still help your fantasy squad.  Last week he averaged 14.5 points, 2.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1.3 steals, and 0.5 blocks per game..  He qualifies as both SG & SF.

Kenyon Martin - The former #1 pick was pretty solid last week.  He averaged 12.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1.0 steals, 2.5 blocks, and only 1.5 turnovers.  You can overlook his shooting 60% from the line when you consider he shot 68.8% from the floor.

Craig Smith - Smith was on fire last week shooting 57.4% from the floor and 75% from the line.  He averaged 17.6 points and 5.2 rebounds per game.  He’s scored 30 in two of his last five games.  He has been rather inconsistent though.  He qualifies as a SF, PF, and C, which makes him valuable.

Joel Przybilla 
- The big man shot 69.2% from the field allowing you to forgive his 62.5% from the line.  He averaged 8.2 ppg, but you want him for his 9.6 rpg and 2.6 bpg he put up last week.

Well, that’s it from the Waiver Wire Bin.  Free free to leave your comments.

 | Posted by | Categories: NBA | Tagged: Fantasy Basketball Waiver Wire Bin |

Fantasy Football Forum
How are your playoffs going? In my main league, I won in the losers’ bracket. Brett Favre was solid. Andre Johnson was money. Tampa Defense was lights out. I finished 1st in three of my other five leagues so the playoffs kicked off for me. I got dumped in two of them. My best season is an NFL.com league with guys from SportingNews.com. I finished 13-1 and moved on to the title game. So, that’s my story. What’s yours?

Tracking My NFL Preseason Predictions
I made a bunch of predictions in the preseason. I profiled guys I thought would do well. I also profiled guys I thought wouldn’t meet expectations. Here are my preseason predictions are going.

J.P. Losman – Prediction: 3400 yards, 24 TDs, 16 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
Did not play.

Alex Smith – Prediction: 3000 yards, 20 TDs, 14 INTs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting.
Right-O-Meter: 1
Did not play.

Chris Brown – Prediction: 1000 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 634 total yards, 3 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 3
His 29 total yards didn’t help my projection.

Jerious Norwood – Prediction: 1200 total yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 885 yards, 1 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 4
Solid 71 yards of total offense.

D.J. Hackett – Prediction: 80 receptions, 1100 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for: Not worth reporting
Right-O-Meter: 1
Did not play.

Vincent Jackson – Prediction: 64 receptions, 1100 yards, 9 TDs
On Pace for: 645 yards, 3 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 2
Thirty yards. His team scored 51 points and that’s all you got. Awful.

Heath Miller – Prediction: 600 yards, 8 TDs
On Pace for : 616 yards, 8 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 10++++
Are you kidding me? My picks have sucked this year, but Miller has been just about spot on. 24 yards and a score weren’t bad.

Vince Young – Prediction: 2800 passing yards, 650 rushing yards, 16 TDs, 6 rushing TDs, 20 INTs
On Pace for: 2541 passing, 429 rushing, 10 passing TDs, 3 rushing, 18 INTs
Right-O-Meter: 10
VY had a solid game this week. 191 through the air. 32 on the ground. 2 TDs without an INT.

Maurice Jones-Drew- Prediction: 1100 total yards, 8 rushing & receiving TDs
On Pace for: 1183 total yards, 9 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 9
99 total yards. He didn’t score this week though so it helped my projection.

Torry Holt – Prediction: 1100 yards, 7 TDs
On Pace for: 1206 yards, 8 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 7
Only 21 yards, but he did get in the endzone.

Tony Gonzalez – Prediction: 700 yards, 5 TDs
On Pace for: 1110 yards, 6 TDs
Right-O-Meter: 3
Only 17 yards.

This week helped a little.

Don’t forget to swing by my website lesterslegends.com for additional fantasy footbal info, such as my weekly Get ‘em or Don’t Sweat ‘em picks from Week 15.

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Did your Stud go Dud?

17 December 2007

Wow!  What a horrible time for the winter chill to hit the NFL.  The wind and the snow turned fantasy dreams into fantasy nightmares.  Chances are if you thought you were going to ride Tom Brady to the promised land, you got dropped off one stop too short on Third Place Game Boulevard.  Terrific Tom wasn’t the only one to disappoint.  He had plenty of company.

Obviously Tom Brady was the biggest named QB to flounder this weekend, but Tony Romo and Derek Anderson also had monumental flops.  Romo’s girlfriend sure looked good though.

At running back Romo’s teammate Marion Barber III was the biggest fantasy final four flop.  Rudi Johnson was right there with him, but you probably knew you were taking a chance with Rudi.

It didn’t stop there.  At Wide Receiver Terrell Owens owned Top Flop honors.  Also nominated were Joey Galloway, Plaxico Burress, Lee Evans, Roddy White, and Wes Welker.  Randy Moss and Braylon Edwards produced much less than usual.

Antonio Gates has all but disappeared down the stretch.  His team scored 51 and all he could muster up was 8 yards.  Kellen Winslow, Dallas Clark, and Jeremy Shockey also stunk.

How about a big, fat zero for Rian Lindell.  Did you see that coming against Cleveland?  How about two points for Jeff Reed?  If you lost because of a kicker, I especially feel your pain.

How about Indy’s defense.  No sacks or turnovers against Oakland.  Really?  Same with Seattle.

Chances are if you had any of these players you were sent packing.  If not, consider yourself lucky.  I don’t see them failing two weeks in a row.

I couldn’t get a picture of Jessica Simpson in her pink Tony Romo jersey from Icon Sports Media just yet, but feast your eyes on her singing at a Texans game.  It won’t keep you from being eliminated this week, but it is a sight for sore eyes.

Photo courtesy of Thomas B. Shea/Icon SMI

 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL |

Each week there are some surprising fantasy performers.  I’m going to take a look at them and see if you should go get ‘em or not.

Sage Rosenfels -
He had two striaght solid outings.  I don’t love his matchup with Indy, but he’s the best of the wavier wire garbage if you need to replace a Tony Romo.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
Shaun Hill – Had a decent game against Cincinnati.  It is Cincinnati though.  Next week won’t be fun against Tampa Bay.
Ruling – Don’t Sweat ’em.

Photo courtesy of John Pyle/Icon SMI

Aaron Stecker
-  100 yards against Atlanta.  Not bad.  141 total yards and 2 scores agaisnt Arizona.  Nice.  If he slipped, you can get him.  It looks like you can start him if you need to.  Ruling:  Get ‘em.
Darren Sproles- He had 135 total yards and two scores.  He mopped up after LT got done with Detroit.  Don’t expect a repeat.  Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

Roydell Williams  - He seems to be ranked high each week despite only 3 good games to show for.  However, two of those games have come the last two weeks.  He should make it three in a row against the Jets.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
Dennis Northcutt - He’s being targeted, which is nice, but hasn’t had much success this year.  It was his first game over 70 yards since Week 5.  His only game over 80 yards.  Before yesterday’s games his pattern was three games without a score and then a TD, three games without a score and then a TD.  That’s not what you want for the title game. 
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

Chris Baker – Pennington dumped it off to Baker 8 times.  If Chad starts next week, Baker could be worth using.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

There you have it.  I hope I provided you some good info while you make your fantasy team waiver wire adjustments.

Happy Birthday Nicole!

16 December 2007

I love you!

 | Posted by | Categories: Uncategorized |

NFL Week 15 Fill-ins

14 December 2007

Has the injury bug hit you?  Are you faced with bad matchups?  Well, maybe I can help.  Here are some guys you can plug and play this weekend.

Trent Edwards 
- He threw four TDs last week.  He gets to play Cleveland this week.  Throw in the fact that he’s throwing to Lee Evans in December, one would think he’d be a decent play this week.
Jeff Garcia - If you league penalizes for INTs, then Jeff is your guy.  He just doesn’t throw that many picks.  He should have a solid game against an Atlanta team that is imploding in front of our eyes.

Photo Courtesy of John Pyle/Icon SMI

Frank Gore - Can you believe it’s come to this with Frank.  However, with guys like Ryan Grant, Earnest Graham, Jamal Lewis, Clinton Portis, Willis McGahee, Edge, etc. having better years than Frank, he isn’t a weekly start anymore.  He should be counted on against Cincinnati though.
Aaron Stecker -  If you’re hurting, at least he’s a warm body.  One coming off a 100 yard performance against Atlanta.  OK, it’s Atlanta, but New Orleans has it’s passing attack working so well that the run should be open.

Deion Branch 
-  Seattle has all but abandoned the run.  Their passing attack is really clicking.  Branch has scored two of the past three weeks and should do well against Carolina.
Anthony Gonzalez -  Yeah, I’m a week late on this one, but that doesn’t mean you can’t plug him in against Oakland.  Oakland defends the pass fairly well, but it doesn’t matter when Peyton is your QB.

Robert Royal - 
He scored twice last week so if you’re hurting, why not ride the hot hand?  Plus he faces Cleveland.

Josh Scobee
-  He’s kicked 9 FGs over the past three games.  Facing Pittsburgh, he could be looking at multiple field goal attempts should the Jags sputter in the red zone.

Cincinnati - 
I’m not real confident in this pick.  The top D’s this weekend should be NE, SD, GB, SEA, TENN, INDY, TB, MN, and BAL.  Chances are you have one of those D’s.  If I was really hurting and gambling, I would take Cincy and hope they force some turnovers.

Friday Tidbits 12/14/07

14 December 2007

New England pounded Pittsburgh to improve to 13-0. Tom Brady threw for 399 yards and 4 TDs. Randy Moss caught his 18th & 19 TD passes. So much for guarantees. Miami remained winless. Peyton Manning tossed 4 TDs of his own, including his the 300th of his career, as Indianapolis destroyed Baltimore. Bart Scott got fined $25K for throwing the flag into the stands. Rodney Harris*n was fined $5K for taunting Brian Billick. Mike Shanahan was docked $25K for comments on the Travis Henry appeal. Reggie Bush may miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. Denver signed Brandon Stokley to a three-year extension. Marshawn Lynch returned to action for the Bills. Leonard Pope dislocated his ankle and will miss the rest of the year. Jerramy Stevens was suspended a game for violating the substance abuse policy for a DUI arrest last April. Mario Williams had 3-1/2 sacks to give him 13 for the season and a Texans record 17-1/2. Anyone willing to apologize to the Texans yet? Oh yeah, Houston pounded Denver. 

Pat Riley won his 1200th game. Chris Paul dropped 43 points on Memphis. Manu Ginobili scored 37 in back-to-back games. Micheal Redd’s 41 weren’t enough to beat Kevin Durant (35 points) and the SuperSonics. Stephon Marbury returned to the Knicks. Shareef Abdur-Rahim will miss the rest of the season after knee surgery. Josh Howard poured in 47 as Dallas bested Utah. Deron Williams did his part with 41 points. Big Al Jefferson scored 32 and grabbed 20 boards as Minnesota beat Phoenix. Chris Bosh returned to action. So did LeBron. T.J. Ford was carried away on a stretcher following a flagrant foul. Jamaal Tinsley was involved in a shooting outside a hotel. The Celtics improved to 18-2. Michael Redd was one assist away from a triple-double. Penny Hardaway got kicked to the curb. The Clippers waived Ruben Patterson. Atlanta’s Al Horford was suspended a game for his hit on Ford. 

Colorado’s Milan Hejduk had a hat trick of goals and assists. Detroit’s Henrik Zetterberg netted a hat trick against Minnesota. Philly had two guys net hat trick in the same game. Joffrey Lupul(plus 3 assists) and R.J. Umberger against Pittsburgh. Calgary’s Jarome Iginla and Kristian Huselius netted hat tricks against Tampa Bay. Dion Phaneuf had five assists in that game. This week’s shutouts: Detroit’s Dominik Hasek vs. Minnesota, Florida’s Tomas Vokoun vs. the Islanders, San Jose’s Evgeni Nabokov vs. Phoenix. New York Rangers’ Henrik Lundqvist vs. New Jersey. Ottawa’s Martin Gerber vs. Carolina. Florida’s Tomas Vokoun vs. St. Louis. Nashville signed David Legwand to a six-year, $27 million deal. Atlanta claimed Mark Recchi off waivers. Montreal will be without C Bryan Smoinski for six weeks because of a sprained knee and W Steve Begin for a couple weeks because of a separated shoulder. San Jose will be without Jonathan Cheechoo (groin) and Jeremy Roenick (knee) for a week or more. The Bruins will be without Manny Fernandez for the rest of the year following knee surgery. Pittsburgh G Marc-Andre Fleury could miss a couple months with a sprained knee. Carolina’s Scott Walker got suspeneded one game for head-butting Ottawa’s Mike Fisher. 

Miguel Tejada was traded to Houston. Eric Gagne signed a one-year deal with Milwaukee. Pittsburgh traded reliever Salomon Torres for minor leaguers. LaTroy Hawkins signed a one-year deal with the Yankees. Paul Lo Duca signed with Washington. Colorado signed Aaron Cook to a three-year, $30 million deal. David Segui admitted to using steroids and HGH during his career. San Diego signed Tadahito Iguchi. The Cubs signed OF Kosuke Fukudome to a four-year deal worth $48 million. The Twins signed SS Adam Everett. The Cubs declined an offer to Mark Pryor making him a free agent. Cliff Floyd signed with Tampa Bay. The Mitchell Report was released. A bunch of names were mentioned. I’m sure many more were omitted. Aaron Rowand signed a five-year, $60 million deal with San Francisco. David Eckstein signed a one-year deal with Toronto. The cheap Minnesota Twins signed their yearly garbage free agent in Adam Everett. 

Florida’s Tim Tebow became the first sophomore to win the Heisman Trophy. Darren McFadden won the Sporting News player of the year. Tennessee extended coach Phillip Fulmer’s contract through 2012. Paul Johnson left Navy to coach Georgia Tech. Ken Niumatalolo will take over for Johnson. Rutgers coach Greg Schiano spurned Michigan. Texas A&M will buy out football Dennis Franchione. Can you imagine being paid $4.4 million not to work? Move over Nick Saban. We have a new gutless wonder. Bobby Petrino quit on the Atlanta Falcons to take over the Arkansas gig. Paul Wulff is the new coach at Washington State, his alma mater. Southern Mississippi hired Oklahoma State offensive coordinator Larry Fedora as its new coach. Louisville RB Anthony Allen will transfer next year. 

Kansas G Brandon Rush was arrested for failing to appear in court on traffic charges. #10 Michigan State beat #22 BYU. Dayton upset #11 Louisville. Wright State beat #13 Butler. #15 Marquette beat #23 Wisconsin. Southern Illinois upset #24 Saint Mary’s. David N. Arseneault of Grinnell had 34 assists…in one game. Louisville suspended Derrick Caracter for a curfew violation. Tubby Smith finalized a seven-year deal with Minnesota. USC will be without F Kasey Cunningham for the year after he tore his knee.

That concludes the Tidbits. As always, feel free to add any stories you liked this week in sports or discuss any of the stories I mentioned.

 | Posted by | Categories: MLB, NBA, NFL | Tagged: College Basketball, College Football, NCAA, NHL |

I’m going back out on that fantasy football limb. I will pick five players I believe will score more points this week than a higher profile player. The scoring will be 6 points for rushing or receiving TD, 4 points for a passing TD, .1 points per yard for rushing or receiving and .05 points per passing yard. I will also do a Super Stretch Pick where I take a real longshot. First, I’ll recap last week.

Last Week
Tom Brady 36.35 beat Tony Romo 24.6 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
He didn’t need the two I spotted him.
Ryan Grant 22.2 beat Willis McGahee 5.2 as I predicted.
Travis Henry 8.4 beat Kolby Smith 1.0 WHICH I GOT WRONG.
Marques Colston 21.2 beat Greg Jennings 16.0 as I predicted.
Wes Welker 13.8 beat Calvin Johnson 5.1 WHICH I GOT WRONG.

Super Stretch
Fred Jackson 12.1 beat Frank Gore 11.7 as I predicted.
The fact that Marshawn Lynch played, really made this a Super Stretch.

Regular Picks: 2-3
Super Stretch Picks: 1-0
Overall: 3-3
Breakdown: QB: 0-1, RB: 2-1, WR: 1-1

Season Record
Regular Picks: 32-38-1
Super Stretch Picks: 12-2
Overall: 44-40-1
Breakdown: QB: 7-9, RB: 22-13-1, WR: 14-18

This Week’s Picks
Matt Hasselbeck over Ben Roethlisberger +2
Big Ben has more fantasy points than Matt, but Matt’s been hotter. Plus, he gets an easy matchup against Carolina while Big Ben gets to face Jacksonville. I’ll spot Ben two points for his troubles.

Photo courtesy of Nick Doan/Icon SMI

Edgerrin James over Marion Barber
I like the Edge’s matchup against New Orleans better than MB3′s against Philadelphia. This is risky because if Arizona can’t hang with New Orleans’ offense they will have to all but abandon the run.

Earnest Graham over Maurice Jones-Drew +2
Here’s the thing. Graham will have more total yards than MJD. If MJD finds the endzone it will be close. I’m not sure Pittsburgh will let him. Graham should have little problem finding the endzone against Atlanta. I’ll spot MJD two points.

Lee Evans over Torry Holt
Lee Evans should continue his trend of huge December games against Cleveland. Holt gets to face Green Bay with a QB that’s one hit from the sidelines. I know who I’d rather start given the choice.

Chris Chambers over Roddy White
White has been on fire, but I think this week it’s Chris Chambers’ turn to torch the Lions. Hopefully, Rivers plays otherwise Billy Volek get to become a fantasy football playoffs hero again.

Ryan Grant over Adrian Peterson
The last time All Day Peterson faced Chicago he ran wild for over 200 yards. I think they will remember that, and keep him somewhat in check. Favre is still hurting a bit so I think the Pack will rely on Grant more against St. Louis.

What did you think of my predictions? Do you have any fantasy upsets in mind? Please leave your comments.

Previous Out on a Limb Picks
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3

Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8
Week 9
Week 10
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14

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