Rotoprofessor Fantasy Football Start-Sit 2-Pack

Sep 12, 2009

RP4
Written by
Eric Stashin the Rotoprofessor

When ranking the Top 20 quarterbacks for 2009 (click here to view), Carson Palmer came in at #13. He was just outside being drafted as a starter in typical 12-team formats with injury concerns being the biggest reason why.

He was limited to just four games in 2008 thanks to an elbow injury, which he opted to rehab instead of undergoing Tommy John surgery to correct. Despite his claims that he’s recovered from the injury, the fact that there was no surgery to correct the problem has to be a concern.

If that wasn’t enough, he’s been limited to just 11 pass attempts this preseason thanks to a high-ankle sprain he suffered in the opening game. He claims he’s prepared. Coach Marvin Lewis claims he’s prepared. It really doesn’t matter what everyone says, until he steps onto the field and proves his health, there are going to be questions surrounding his ability.

I’m not talking about one game. I’m not talking about two games. It’s going to take a few weeks of good health and good play for him to convince me.

He hasn’t had time to work with the new players being worked into the offense like Laverneous Coles, something he should have had in the preseason. He hasn’t had an opportunity to work off any rust he had from such a long layoff.

Basically, he is one long list of questions without any convincing answers.

From 2005-2007 he was among the leagues best QBs, making him an ideal gamble. Anyone with 86 touchdowns and 45 interceptions with over 12,000 yards deserves that respect.

Still, the idea of rolling the dice on him over these first few weeks could be a crushing blow. Many owners are doing just that, however, thanks to his current ADP of 91.24, the twelfth QB coming off the board.

He’s going before:

  • Ben Roethlisberger (vs. Tennessee Week 1)
  • Matt Hasselbeck (vs. St. Louis Week 1)
  • Eli Manning (vs. Washington Week 1)

Palmer, meanwhile, takes on the Broncos. While he may ordinarily be the best option of this group, he’d probably be the last one I’d play this week. With the length of his layoff, you really can’t expect much from him this first game back.

My prediction for Week 1:

18-28, 178 yards, 1 TD, 1 Interception.

That’s an alright line, but it’s not going to win you anything. In two or three weeks, my projections for him would probably be significantly better, but you need to give him the time to adjust to the new players in the offense and the NFL game in general. It’s been way too long to expect huge things.

My suggestion would be to have him on your bench this week in one quarterback formats.

What about everyone else? What are you expecting from Palmer in Week 1?  Would you use him?

I was a big believer in Ted Ginn Jr. in 2008.  I thought he had the chance to really be a breakout wide receiver, but he fell well short with just 56 catches, 790 yards and 2 TD.  As we prepare for the start of the 2009 campaign, I find myself back in the same quandary.  Could this be the year that Ginn emerges as a must start fantasy option?

He did take a step forward last season, improving from 34 catches and 420 yards in his rookie season, though it wasn’t enough for him to crack our Top 25 (click here to view).  Part of that can be credited to the presence of a steady quarterback in Chad Pennington, who was able to get him the ball consistently and allow him to make plays.

The touchdowns are a concern, with Anthony Fasano leading the way with seven.  A lot of that likely had to do with Pennington’s adjusting to the offense.  Part could be due to the offense itself.

Remember, this is the team that brought the Wildcat offense to the NFL.  Ronnie Brown saw some time behind center, though he only threw three passes.  Still, with him rushing for 10 TD, as well as Ricky Williams getting four, there weren’t that many opportunities to score via the air.

Ginn helped to offset that by getting two touchdowns on the ground.  I know, four TDs are not going to blow your socks off.  Still, with continued growth and Pennington settling in, I could easily see him adding a few more TDs this season.

The Dolphins face the Falcons, who boasted the 21st best passing defense in the league last season.  While they added DT Peria Jerry through the draft, that does little to improve the passing defense.  Ginn enters the season as the team’s #1 receiver and I easily could see him posting a solid game.

Last season he had a pair of seven catch games, but only once surpassing 100 yards.  I wouldn’t expect him to get there, at least not in Week 1.  As for what I would expect him to do:

Receiving – 5 receptions, 83 yards, 1 TD

Those are stats that I’d take on my team and are certainly usable.  Maybe I’m a little too optimistic, but I’d recommend having him in my line-up for Week 1.

What do you think?  Is Ginn a player that you think is worth using in Week 1?  Why or why not?

Photos courtesy of Icon Sports Media, Inc.

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