Rotoprofessor’s Target Trends: Week 7

Oct 29, 2009


Written by Eric Stashin the Rotoprofessor

Targets is one of the hot stats this year for fantasy football owners, so let’s take a look at some of the recent trends:

Increase Targets (excluding those with Week 5 bye):

1. Fred Davis: Washington Redskins: +9
2. Louis Murphy: Oakland Raiders: +7
2. Sidney Rice: Minnesota Vikings: +7
4. Steve Smith: Carolina Panthers: +6
4. Gary Barnidge: Carolina Panthers: +6
4. Antonio Bryant: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +6
4. Percy Harvin: Minnesota Vikings: +6

  • With Chris Cooley going down to injury, Fred Davis stepped into the main tight end role and made the most of his opportunity. There was never any question about his ability to catch the ball, so let’s see if he can continue to put up big numbers.
  • Louis Murphy plays for the Raiders, so does anyone really care that he saw a big increase in targets?
  • Gary Barnidge went from no targets to six this week, landing him on this list. Chances are he goes back to obscurity next week, considering he’s the third tight end in Carolina.
  • Sidney Rice is quickly emerging as Brett Favre’s go-to receiver, so the fact that he’s getting more and more targets could mean big things for him moving forward.

Decrease in Targets:

1. Brian Westbrook: Philadelphia Eagles: -11
2. Andre Johnson: Houston Texans: -10
3. Dwayne Bowe: Kansas City Chiefs: -9
3. Hines Ward: Pittsburgh Steelers: -9
5. Zach Miller: Oakland Raiders: -8
5. Leon Washington: New York Jets: -8

  • Westbrook, Johnson & Washington all left due to injury, justifying their spot on this list. Johnson has the best chance of playing this week, with Washington’s season already over.
  • After Miller’s big day two weeks ago, his dropping off the table this week is no surprise.
  • Bowe & Ward each had down weeks, but I wouldn’t put too much stock into it. Both should have bounce back weeks.

Top Receivers Targeted:

1. Sidney Rice: Minnesota Vikings: 14
2. Larry Fitzgerald: Arizona Cardinals: 13
3. Marques Colston: New Orleans Saints: 12
4. Vernon Davis: San Francisco 49ers: 11
4. Chad Ochocinco: Cincinnati Bengals: 11
4. Steve Smith: Carolina Panthers: 11
4. Roddy White: Atlanta Falcons: 11
8. Fred Davis: Washington Redskins: 10
8. Louis Murphy: Oakland Raiders: 10
8. Steve Smith: New York Giants: 10
8. Wes Welker: New England Patriots: 10
8. Percy Harvin: Minnesota Vikings: 10
13. Santana Moss: Washington Redskins: 9
13. Antonio Bryant: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9
13. Vincent Jackson: San Diego Chargers: 9
13. Reggie Wayne: Indianapolis Colts: 9
13. Owen Daniels: Houston Texans: 9
13. Devin Hester: Chicago Bears: 9
13. Lee Evans: Buffalo Bills: 9
20. Ten Players were tied with 8 targets

  • For the second straight week, there were only five players who were in the Top 20 targeted receivers both this week and last (Larry Fitzgerald, Wes Welker, Owen Daniels, Devin Hester & Lee Evans)
  • There were three tight ends in the Top 20 this week (Vernon Davis, Fred Davis & Daniels) compared to seven last week (Tony Gonzalez, Daniels, Zach Miller, Dustin Keller, Greg Olsen, Antonio Gates and Chris Cooley)
  • No running backs were in the Top 20 this week, compared to two last week (Ray Rice & Brian Westbrook)

Two Games of 10+ Targets over past four weeks:

  • Larry Fitzgerald: Arizona Cardinals: Week 6 & 7
  • Roddy White: Atlanta Falcons: Week 5 & 7
  • Derrick Mason: Baltimore Ravens: Week 4 & 6
  • Mohammad Massaquoi: Cleveland Browns: Week 4 & 6
  • Andre Johnson: Houston Texans: Week 5 & 6
  • Michael Sims-Walker: Jacksonville Jaguars: Week 4 & 6
  • Dwayne Bowe: Kansas City Chiefs: Week 5 & 6
  • Steve Smith: New York Giants: Week 4 & 7
  • Larry Murphy: Oakland Raiders: Week 4 & 7
  • Hines Ward: Pittsburgh Steelers: Week 4 & 6
  • Vernon Davis: San Francisco 49ers: Week 5 & 7

Three Games of 10+ Targets over past four weeks:

  • Chad Ochocinco: Cincinnati Bengals: Week 4, 5 & 7

Four Games of 10+ Targets over past four weeks:

  • Wes Welker: New England Patriots: Wee 4, 5, 6 & 7

What are your thoughts on these trends?  Who stands out to you?

Need more help in trying to decide who to start this week, check out our weekly rankings by clicking here.

Make sure to check out our baseball site by clicking here.

Picture courtesy of Icon Sports

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