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Ahmad Bradshaw
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Ahmad Bradshaw had a modest start to the 2011 season running for 44 yards on 13 carries (3.4 ypc) and a score. He added one reception for ten yards.
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Bradshaw’s longest run of the day went for just seven yards, which is unfortunately a continuation of a trend from his last three games of last year where he failed to generate a double-digit yard rush. That should change this week.

The Giants take on St. Louis on Monday Night Football. In two MNF games last year Bradshaw had 229 yards on 35 carries (6.5 ypc) with a score. He added 24 yards on seven catches.
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He’s also playing at home where he averaged 112.5 total yards last year, as compared to 81.1 on the road. Five of his eight touchdowns came at home as well.
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Plus, with Hakeem Nicks hurting the Giants could be more inclined to use a more conservative offensive approach, relying on Bradshaw and Jacobs in the ground game.
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That would play into St. Louis’ Week 1 weakness. The Rams gave up a league worst 236 rushing yards in the opener. Obviously with Michael Vick that number is going to be bloated, but the running backs combined for 139 yards on 19 carries (7.3 ypc) and a touchdown.
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Bradshaw isn’t as effective as Shady McCoy, but he is a similar running back. With his speed, shiftiness, and receiving skills, Bradshaw is a good bet to put up big numbers on Monday Night Football.
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Happy Birthday Heath!
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A commenter recently made a suggestion that Ahmad Bradshaw should be in my top 15 2011 fantasy football  running back rankings over Matt Forte.
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By no means would I dismiss the notion as I think it’s a valid assessment. So I decided to dig a little deeper into their production.
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Last year Forte was statistically the better back. He combined for 1616 yards (1069 rushing, 547 receiving) and ten touchdowns (seven rushing, three receiving). Ahmad Bradshaw had more rushing yards (1235) and nearly as many total yards (1549), but had two fewer touchdowns.
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Bradshaw comes with a little more uncertainty because we don’t know exactly where he’ll be playing next year. The Giants are expected to retain his services, but one never truly knows, especially in what is expected to be a crazy free agency period.
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Bradshaw has also had issues with his ankles and feet, which is a little concerning for a speed runner like Ahmad. He is healthy now, but can he hold up to another heavy workload like last year when he had 323 touches (276 carries, 47 receptions)? Prior to last year he combined for just 253 carries and 28 receptions in three year.
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Meanwhile Forte has been a workhorse. He has averaged 270.3 carries and 57 receptions in his three years without missing a game.  His carries and receptions have dipped in each of the past two years, but that isn’t unusual considering his decline coincided with Jay Cutler’s arrival. A running back with 288 touches like Forte had last year doesn’t really have much grounds to complain. His fantasy owners could have some beef, but it’s hard to not be pleased with his results.
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Bradshaw has scored seven and eight touchdowns in his two years with a key role for the Giants. Forte has reached double-digit combined touchdowns in two of his three years in the league.  Though I give Forte a slight edge in the touchdown department, I want to emphasize the word slight.
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Value won’t come into play with these two as they are currently 14th and 15th in ADP among running backs according to MockDraftCentral.
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It’s going to come down to preference when deciding between these two gifted running back. I prefer Forte, but completely understanding those in the Bradshaw camp.
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Which running back do yo prefer?
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Obviously the NFL season, assuming there will be one, is a long time away. That doesn’t mean that you shouldn’t have football on your mind, especially those of you in keeper leagues. While you’re deciding who to keep or while you are entertaining trade proposals, there is a trio of running backs that have recently announced that they are healthy and preparing for the upcoming season. 
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Ahmad Bradshaw
, who had his ankle scoped, is healthy and has his burst back. He told Zach Berman that he can “fly” after the procedure. He’s still an injury risk heading into the season, but his owners can rest a little easier. Bradshaw had 1549 total yards (1235 rushing) and eight touchdowns.
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Jahvid Best also has his burst back now that his turf toe has had time to heal. He’s been working at Nike Camp to get ready for the season. He’s hungry, tweeting “Someone please end this madness… I’m ready to go back to WORK!” Best got off to fast start scoring five touchdowns in the first two weeks before the injuries hit. He was never quite the same. If he can avoid the injury bug, he is explosive enough to play like a top 15 fantasy running back. Best finished with 1042 total yards (555 rushing) and six touchdowns (four rushing).
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Maurice Jones-Drew is ahead of schedule in his recovery from knee surgery. Mojo scared some owners off because of the knee injury last year, but he was able to play through it and pile up 1641 total yards (1324 rushing) and seven touchdowns (five rushing). Mojo should be a nice value pick next year going after the likes of Arian Foster, Adrian Peterson, Chris Johnson, Jamaal Charles, and Michael Turner.

RP4
Written by 
Eric Stashin the Rotoprofessor

While it’s just the season’s first week, that doesn’t mean you aren’t already looking towards the waiver wire for a little help.  Maybe an injury has opened up a void.  Maybe you’re just unhappy with your draft results.  Whatever the reasons, here’s a few under-the-radar offensive options to look at:

Quarterback
Mark Sanchez – New York Jets
It’s tough to lean on a rookie in his first career start, but Sanchez steps in to a pretty good situation.  The Jets are going to lean on the running game while trying to protect Sanchez, much like the Ravens did in 2008 with Joe Flacco.

He also gets to face a team in the Houston Texans who was in the bottom third in the league in defense last season, allowing 336.6 yards per game.  They didn’t do anything significant to upgrade either, outside of adding first round draft choice Brian Cushing at LB. 

They were among the leagues worst in interceptions, with just 12, so if the Jets can wear them down on the ground there should be plenty of opportunity for him to succeed.
Owned in 23% of Yahoo Leagues and 25.1% in ESPN Leagues

Runningback
Ahmad Bradshaw – New York Giants
We all know the successes of last seasons Giants #2 RB, Derrick Ward, who managed to rush for 1,000 yards despite being the understudy to Brandon Jacobs.  The third back in that vaunted trio, Bradshaw opens the season as the new Giants #2 man, which could lead to some huge success.

Jacobs was banged up a bit in the final preseason game, something that has become a common occurrence for him.  He did return, but you still have to wonder how healthy he’s going to be on Opening Day.

Facing the Redskins, running on the inside may be tough going, thanks to the new $100 million man in the middle of the defensive line, Albert Haynesworth.  If Jacobs is getting stuffed on the inside, or is still a bit banged up, they could turn to the speed of Bradshaw on the outside to get things going.
Owned in 48% of Yahoo Leagues and 98.2% of ESPN Leagues

Wide Receiver
Sidney Rice – Minnesota Vikings
Let’s make no mistake about it, Brett Favre is going to be coming out with something to prove.  He’s been listening to everyone doubt him and it wouldn’t surprise me if he steps onto the field and torches the Cleveland Browns, led by his former coach Eric Mangini.

It’s a season full of retribution for Favre, and Mangini is likely just the first on the hit list.

Bernard Berrian is going to be on one side, but he’s likely to draw the most interest from the defense.  That should open things up for Rice, a player who we’ve already discussed as having the potential to have a breakout campaign in 2009 (click here to read the article).
Owned in 18% of Yahoo Leagues and 13.3% of ESPN Leagues

Tight End
Brandon Pettigrew – Detroit Lions
We all know that tight end is a wild card position to begin with.  You just never know which player is going to step up and have a huge week.  With Pettigrew being named the starter for the Lions, as well as Matt Stafford being handed the starting role, it makes for a good combination.

When you have a rookie QB, they are going to be looking for an outlet.  They are going to be looking to get the ball out as quickly as possible.

Pettigrew was a first round draft pick, so we all know he can perform.  Look for him to try to prove to the masses right off the bat that he was deserving of his draft selection.
Owned in 21% of Yahoo Leagues and 18.9% of ESPN Leagues

How do you think these players are going to perform in the season’s first week?  Are there any other sleepers you are eyeing?

Make sure to check out our baseball site by clicking here.

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Derrick Ward, one of the top Running Backs in the free agent market, signed a four-year deal with Tampa Bay worth $17 million.  He was part of a three-headed monster in New York with Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw.  Brandon Jacob’s role will remain the same, and Ahmad Bradshaw will take over Ward’s role as the Giants will likely move to a two-headed monster.

Meanwhile, in Tampa the signing signifies the end of Earnest Graham’s hold on the starting job.  He’ll still get plenty of carries, and will probably be the short-yardage back meaning he could vulture some TDs.  Cadillac Williams’ value takes a hit, but at this point you can hardly afford to gamble on him any more than the Bucs.  Ward should see a small boost in production as he moves to a feature back role.  As I said, Graham will get plenty of carries so temper your expectations.

We’ve done the Big Dog RBs, Second Tier RBs, Third Tier RBsFourth Tier RBs, and Serviceable RBs, now it’s time to look at the Scrap Pile.  These are RBs that you’ll only use for bye weeks or in case of injury.

Ahman Green – He’s on the wrong side of 30 and is coming off an injury-plagued season.  However, he is still a starting RB (for the time being) so he’s worthy of a roster spot.  If he can stay healthy and Houston’s passing attack is on, there could be some decent weeks for Ahman.

DeAngelo Williams – He had close to 900 total yards last year while finishing strong (242 yards & 3 TDs in his last three games).  He also had 121 yards in Week 6 and 82 in Week 13 so he displayed some signs of life.  However, the Panthers brought in Jonathan Stewart for a reason.  DeAngelo may hold the starting job out of the gate, but he could easily be lapped.

Chester Taylor – If Adrian Peterson misses some time, Chester Taylor will vault into the Top Ten the weeks All Day is out.  As is, he’ll spell All Day and pick up some decent 40-60 yard games.  He’s probably the #1 handcuff out there.

Felix Jones – This dude is fast.  He’s from the University of Arkansas like Jerry Jones.  MB3 is the goods, but Felix will be taking carries for sure.  He’s also one of the best handcuffs given Dallas’ potent offense.

Deuce McAllister – He’ll turn 30 this year and is coming off an injury.  He also has to share the load with Reggie Bush in a pass-happy offense.  Things are stacked against him.  He will be the short-yardage guy though so he should score some TDs.  That said, I don’t see much more than 500 yards out of him.

Justin Fargas – You’ve got to feel a little bad for Fargas.  He ran for over 1000 yards last year for the sorry Raiders.  His reward?  The drafting of Run DMC.  He still should get some play though.  He clearly has big-game ability as evidenced by his three games of 139+ yards.  He averaged 106 yards and 0.6 TDs in Weeks 9-13.

Rashard Mendenhall – Mendenhall is interesting as the Steelers already have Willie Parker.  He’s got great speed with a great build.  He had a great Junior year for Illinois rushing for 1681 yards and 17 TDs.  He added 34 receptions.  Given his size over Fast Willie, he could get the goal line touches.

Ahmad Bradshaw/Derrick Ward - Ahmad didn’t do much in the regular season (190 yards), but looked pretty solid in the playoffs (208 yards in 4 games).  Ward looked good early, but didn’t didn’t do anything after Week 6 except for a big 154 yard effort in Week 13.  It’s likely that all three Giant RBs (Brandon Jacobs included) will get some touches.  If Jacobs goes down Bradshaw and Ward will have bigger roles.

Chris Brown – He was one of my Sleeper picks last year for Tennesse, and he did decent at times.  Now he’s on to Houston.  He seems older than the 27 he turned in April so there is still tread on the tires.  If (and most likely when) Ahman Green goes down, he’ll likely be thrust into the starter role.  Never much of a TD threat, he scored 4 in the last 5 weeks of the 2007 season. 

Chris Johnson – Replacing Chris Brown in Tennessee will be rookie Chris Johnson out of East Carolina.  He’s listed behind 2007 rookie Chris Henry, but the Titans must not have been thrilled with him given their 1st round selection of Johnson.  He’s not a big back, but could be a nice change-of-pace to LenDale White.  He’s lighting quick (4.24).  He had 1423 yards and 17 TDs rushing and another 528 yards and 6 TDs receiving.  He’ll have to prove he can stay healhty, but he’s a Home Run waiting to happen.

Jerious Norwood – His reign in Atlanta was short-lived as Michael Turner has stolen his starting gig.  He is lighting-quick though and should be a nice change-of-pace to Turner.  If Turner proves he can’t stay healthy or is not up to the task of being the Lead Dog, Norwood’s value will increase.

Warrick Dunn – Until he hangs up his cleats, I will not overlook Mr. Dunn.  He has quietly surpassed the 10,000 yard mark for his career.  How many people would have expected that.  Even in a down year he had close to 1000 total yards.  If Cadillac Williams isn’t up for the task, Dunn will still have some fantasy relevance.

Tatum Bell – If Kevin Smith doesn’t make the adjustments needed to be an NFL back suddenly Tatum Bell becomes interesting.  That said, the ceiling is rather low for Bell, and I wouldn’t get my hopes up if I were him.

Ladell Betts – He proved he’s more than capable if CP goes down.  However, Portis has been very durable in his career.  Betts will take touches away to keep CP fresh, but don’t look for major numbers out of Betts barring an unforseen injury.

Ryan Torain – He plays for Denver so never count him out.  The rookie out of Arizona State probably has the highest high-low differential in the league.

DeShaun Foster – He’s backing up Frank Gore now so there’s not much hope for Foster.  However, if Gore goes down, Foster is an adequate replacement.

Jamaal Charles/Kolby Smith – If Larry Johnson suffers a setback, the load will likely be shared between Kolby, who ran decent down the stretch, and rookie Jamaal Charles out of Texas.

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