Now let’s take a look at some Pitchers who get off to fast starts.  These are guys who you could look to Sell High if  they continue their trend of early season success.

Dodgers Diamondbacks
Brandon Webb – Brandon Webb started the year 6-0 with a 1.98 ERA.  For his career he’s 18-2 with a 2.44 ERA in March and April.  The rest of the year he’s 69-60 with a 3.38 ERA.  That split is staggering.  What I recommend if you have him is to enjoy the early jump he gives your team in April and then look to move him.

Brad Penny - Penny went 4-2 with a 2.89 ERA last March/April.  He was 3-7 with a 8.48 ERA the rest of the way.  For his career, Penny is 21-7 with a 3.28 ERA in March/April.  He’s 73-68 with a 4.23 ERA in the other months.  If he starts off hot, he may be a good candidate to move.

Braden Looper - Braden Looper went 4-1 last year with a 3.86 ERA.  His ERA didn’t fluctuate much the rest of the way as he finished at 4.16.  However, his record saw a big dropoff as he went 8-13 the rest of the way.  Historically April is his best month as he’s 13-8 with a 2.79 ERA in 174 Innings.  He is 45-50 with a 4.18 ERA in the other months.

Micah Owings - Owings was red hot last year going 4-0 with a 3.48 ERA in five April starts.  Things got rocky going foward.  He was 2-9 with a 6.96 ERA the rest of the way.  He’s been pitching well this Spring and if he can win a spot in the rotation over Homer Bailey, he might be a decent early season play.

Carlos Silva - Carlos Silva was 3-0 with a 2.79 ERA.  Hardly numbers you’d expect from a guy who finished the season 4-15 with a 6.46 ERA.  His April start is not a fluke though.  He is 14-5 in his career in April.  He is 45-56 in the rest of the months.  If he somehow lands a spot in the rotation, he may be worth a few spot starts on your fantasy team.  Then dump him like a hot potato.  If you’re able to trade him to somebody, even better.

Mark Hendrickson – Mark was 4-0 with a 2.56 ERA last April.  He finished 3-8 with a 6.12 ERA.  Historically April has been his best ERA month.  In 21 career April starts (25 games) he has an ERA of 3.97.  Aside from September, where he’s 10-4 with a 4.12 ERA, Hendrickson’s ERA doesn’t dip below 5.30 in any other month.  I put him in the same boat as Silva.

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