LestersLegends.com » Brandon Jacobs

Ahmad Bradshaw
.
Ahmad Bradshaw had a modest start to the 2011 season running for 44 yards on 13 carries (3.4 ypc) and a score. He added one reception for ten yards.
.
Bradshaw’s longest run of the day went for just seven yards, which is unfortunately a continuation of a trend from his last three games of last year where he failed to generate a double-digit yard rush. That should change this week.

The Giants take on St. Louis on Monday Night Football. In two MNF games last year Bradshaw had 229 yards on 35 carries (6.5 ypc) with a score. He added 24 yards on seven catches.
.
He’s also playing at home where he averaged 112.5 total yards last year, as compared to 81.1 on the road. Five of his eight touchdowns came at home as well.
.
Plus, with Hakeem Nicks hurting the Giants could be more inclined to use a more conservative offensive approach, relying on Bradshaw and Jacobs in the ground game.
.
That would play into St. Louis’ Week 1 weakness. The Rams gave up a league worst 236 rushing yards in the opener. Obviously with Michael Vick that number is going to be bloated, but the running backs combined for 139 yards on 19 carries (7.3 ypc) and a touchdown.
.
Bradshaw isn’t as effective as Shady McCoy, but he is a similar running back. With his speed, shiftiness, and receiving skills, Bradshaw is a good bet to put up big numbers on Monday Night Football.
.
.

Also check out:

 

The G-Men had question marks at WR and turned out three that had solid seasons. The running game took a step back. I see the running game bouncing back at the expense of the air attack.

Fantasy Playoffs Schedule:  Difficult
First they have to travel to Minnesota in Week 14. They return home to face the Eagles. Then they travel to Green Bay in the fantasy championship.

Five Star Fantasy Options
None

Four Star Fantasy Options
Eli Manning – Manning had an impressive season throwing for 4021 yards, 27 TDs, 14 INTs, a 62.3 completion percentage, and 93.1 passer rating. All of those numbers, except for the INTs, were career bests. He is a decent starting fantasy QB, but as I said, I expect the Giants to utilize the rushing attack more.

Steve Smith – Smith came out of nowhere to deliver for the G-Men in a big way. He had 107 catches for 1220 yards and 7 TDs. I expect a step back from Smith, but he still should be a solid WR2.

Three Star Fantasy Options
Brandon Jacobs – His 835 yards and 5 TDs were a far cry from the 1089 yards and 15 TDs he had in 2008. He suffered through injuries last year, which have been a problem most of his career. If he can stay healthy he can approach double-digit TDs. I wouldn’t bank on 1000 yards for him though.

Ahmad Bradshaw – Bradshaw almost certainly will have more total yards than Jacobs. Health could be a concern for Bradshaw as well, but he is very talented.

Hakeem Nicks – Nicks had fewer catches (47) and yards (790) than Steve Smith and Mario Manningham, but he offers the most upside. He has big play ability. Consistency could be an issue.

Giants Defense/Special Teams – They had a myriad of injuries in the secondary, but should be improved in that department. They are always a good bet to pile up the sacks.

Two Star Fantasy Options
Mario Manningham – Manningham was second in receptions and yardage last year, but is likely to be the third receiver this year. There will be times that you want to use him, but he’s more of a depth option at this point.

Kevin Boss – Boss had 567 yard and 5 TDs last year, which is solid, but I don’t seem much room for improvement. He’s a high-end TE2, but I wouldn’t want him as my starter.

One Star Fantasy Options
Andre Brown – What will Brown do for you? He’s coming off a serious Achilles injury so you will have to see his progress before you consider him. He’s probably at least a  year away (if he ever makes it at this level).

Click here for additional 2010 NFL Team Previews.

Brandon Jacobs running
Image courtesy of Icon SMI

Brandon Jacobs was a beast when healthy last year rushing for 1089 yards, his second straight 1000+ yard season, and 15 TDs.  His health is a concern though as he missed two games to injury last year after missing five in 2007.  When he played last year he was pretty consistent.  He had a TD in nine of his thirteen games.  Two of the games he didn’t score he had 116 yards against Washington and 93 yards against St. Louis.  Only Pittsburgh (47 yards) and Philly (52 yards) were able to contain him.  He ran for 126 yards and 2 TDs in his other meeting with Philly and 73 yards and two scores against Baltimore.

Jacobs is a pretty solid sell high candidate.  He matches up against Kansas City, Oakland, New Orleans, and Arizona in Weeks 3-7.  He has one more cake matchup against Denver in Week12 vs. Denver.  His fantasy playoff schedule is tough going up against Philly, Washington, and Carolina.  If you can, try and move in in Week 8 after his easy stretch and get your team lined up for a fantasy football championship push.  Because of Jacobs’ injury history, it may not be a bad idea to handcuff Ahmad Bradshaw to Jacobs.

Jacobs will likely be taken in the mid-to-late second round.  If he stays healthy he should be able to run for 1100 yards with 10-12 TDs.

This is my preseason top ten.

Click here for my Midseason revised rankings.

Click here for my Second Half rankings.

adrian-peterson
1.  Adrian Peterson – All Day led the league in rushing and scored double-digit TDs again.  Sure, the loss of Matt Birk will hurt, but Peterson shouldn’t miss a beat.  He’s looking to add some muscle mass this offseason without losing any speed.  A bigger AP with the same speed and quickness.  Scary.

2.  Michael Turner – Burner Turner did not disappoint in his first shot as the feature back.  He struggled early against good defenses, but scored in seven of his last eight games.  As Matt Ryan progresses at QB, it will become more difficult to key in on Turner.

3.  Matt Forte - I love Forte’s versatility.  As a rookie he had the third most receiving yards for a Running Back.  Second if you discount Kevin Faulk, who isn’t a feature back.  He had 1715 total yards and 12 combined TDs.  Even if he has a 10% Sophomore slump dip in production, he’d still be good for over 1500 total yards and 10-11 TDs.

4.  Maurice Jones-Drew – With Fred Taylor heading to New England, MJD should be huge in 2009.  He’s always good for 400+ receiving yards and double-digit TDs.  Give him 300-320 carries and you could be looking at nearly 2000 total yards and 15+ TDs.

5.  Ronnie Brown - Last year Ronnie had 214 carries to Ricky Williams’ 160.  I think the split will be even more in Ronnie’s favor next year.  With Ronnie another year removed from his knee injury, he should be closer to the 2007 back that had 991 total yards and five combined TDs in seven games.

lt
6.  LaDainian Tomlinson - LT battled through a variety of ailments last year and still managed to produce 1536 total yards and 12 combined TDs.  Not only do I think he’ll be healthy in ’09, I think he will be motivated.  I don’t see pre-2008 LT, but a better version that last year’s model.

7.  Clinton Portis – CP was severely overworked last year, but he still remains on the right side of 30. I see him producing similar numbers next year, only spaced out a whole lot better.  Jim Zorn will do a better job managing Portis’ carries so he doesn’t wear down at the end of the year.

8.  Brandon Jacobs - You would think Derrick Ward’s departure to Tampa Bay would have a significant impact on Jacobs’ value.  I don’t think so.  Ahmad Bradshaw will likely pick up most of the slack. As long as Jacobs can stay healthy, there isn’t any reason he couldn’t run for 1200+ yards and scored 18+ TDs.

9.  DeAngelo Williams – You must think I’m crazy putting D-Will this low after leading all RBs in scoring last year.  I’m sorry, but I don’t see another 1700 total yards from him.  Furthermore, there is little to no chance he approaches 20 TDs again.  Jonathan Stewart played a major role last year, and I think the split will be a little closer to 50/50 this year.

10.  Steven Jackson - Steven Jackson’s strong finish (637 total yards and 4 combined TDs in his last five games) is sticking in my mind more than the most forgettable 19 games he had in 2007 and the first part of 2008.  If he can stay healthy he has a chance to leapfrog several of the guys above him.  I haven’t completely forgotten though, which is why he’s in the ten spot.

Images courtesy of Icon SMI

Derrick Ward, one of the top Running Backs in the free agent market, signed a four-year deal with Tampa Bay worth $17 million.  He was part of a three-headed monster in New York with Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw.  Brandon Jacob’s role will remain the same, and Ahmad Bradshaw will take over Ward’s role as the Giants will likely move to a two-headed monster.

Meanwhile, in Tampa the signing signifies the end of Earnest Graham’s hold on the starting job.  He’ll still get plenty of carries, and will probably be the short-yardage back meaning he could vulture some TDs.  Cadillac Williams’ value takes a hit, but at this point you can hardly afford to gamble on him any more than the Bucs.  Ward should see a small boost in production as he moves to a feature back role.  As I said, Graham will get plenty of carries so temper your expectations.


Part of the USA Today Sports Media Group