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Brett Wallace was hitting .143 before taking the field on April 8th. He collected three hits that day, the first of ten multiple-hit games that he would have over his next 21 games. Wallace has hit .456 over that span.
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The power numbers haven’t followed. Though he hit a home run that day, he hasn’t hit one since. Oddly he had three RBI in his first six games and only six since despite hitting 313 points higher.
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The alarms are ringing for a big-time drop if you look at his BABIP, which at .471 is second only to Matt Holliday’s .492.
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Side note: If you’re interested in checking out BABIP and other interesting statistics, go to www.fangraphs.com.
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While that .471 BABIP is unrealistic, which in turn makes his .382 batting average unrealistic, Wallace has had high BABIP at every level.
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Single-A 2008:  .388
Double-A 2008:  .385
Double-A 2009:  .348
Triple-A 2009 (A’s):  .341
Triple-A 2009 (Cardinals):  .335
Triple-A 2010:  .343

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Even last year when he hit .222 with the Astros his BABIP was .326.
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What makes Wallace’s BABIP this year more impressive is the reduction of his strikeout rate from 34.7 percent to 20.2 percent. He’s putting the ball in play more frequently and he’s still finding the right places to hit the ball.
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I believe his will continue to be an asset in the batting average category. No, he’s not going to hit .380+ all year, but he has the tools to hit north of .300.
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Unfortunately he’s not going to help in the power department. He combined to hit 20 HRs in his three minor league stops in 2009 and 18 in 2010 at the Triple-A level, but he has just three home runs in 233 major league at bats. He may eventually develop into a 15-20 per year home run hitter, but that will take some time to grow into it.
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Brett Wallace won’t be your prototypical fantasy first baseman, but he does have value.
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Also check out Will Jason Kubel Cool Off?

Brett Wallace was dealt from the Cardinals to the A’s to the Blue Jays last year. After three solid seasons at Arizona State where he hit .406 with 193 runs, 45 HRs, 193 RBIs, and 31 SBs in 643 ABs, he was selected with the 13th pick in the 2008 draft.

Wallace tore it up for Single-A Quad Cities hitting .327 and Double-A Springfield (.367) in 2008. Last year he held his own hitting .281 with Double-A Springfield and Triple-A Memphis (.293). His average dipped after the first trade (to Oakland) as he hit .271 for Triple-A Sacramento. His combined Triple-A numbers were solid though as he hit .282 with 54 runs, 15 HRs, and 47 RBIs in 425 ABs. Unfortunately the speed he displayed in college didn’t carry over. He’s had just one stolen base in 755 minor league at bats.

With Toronto he’ll get the opportunity to win the DH gig as well as play some first base. There’s a chance he starts the season in Triple-A depending on how he performs this spring. If he tears it up, feel free to take a chance on him at the end of your draft. Otherwise, hold off and play the wait-and-see game with him. In deep keeper leagues, however, he’s an excellent option going forward.

Past profiles:
Arizona Diamondbacks:  Brandon Webb
Atlanta Braves:  Yunel Escobar
Baltimore Orioles:  Adam Jones
Boston Red Sox:  Clay Buchholz
Chicago Cubs:  Geovany Soto
Chicago White Sox:  Jake Peavy
Cincinnati Reds:  Joey Votto
Cleveland Indians:  Grady Sizemore
Colorado Rockies:  Ubaldo Jimenez
Detroit Tigers:  Miguel Cabrera
Florida Marlins:  Cameron Maybin
Houston Astros:  Lance Berkman
Kansas City Royals:  Billy Butler
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim:  Howie Kendrick
Los Angeles Dodgers:  James Loney
Milwaukee Brewers:  Corey Hart
Minnesota Twins:  Joe Nathan
New York Mets:  Jason Bay
New York Yankees:  Robinson Cano
Oakland A’s:  Kevin Kouzmanoff
Philadelphia Phillies:  Jimmy Rollins
Pittsburgh Pirates:  Octavio Dotel
San Diego Padres:  Everth Cabrera
San Francisco Giants:  Barry Zito
Seattle Mariners:  Franklin Gutierrez
St. Louis Cardinals:  Colby Rasmus
Tampa Bay Rays:  David Price
Texas Rangers: Chris Davis


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