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Knowshon Moreno finally came to terms with the Denver Broncos.  Thankfully his holdout didn’t extend too far into Training Camp for Moreno to have a major setback.  He obviously won’t start the first couple of preseason games, but he should be able to get plenty of opportunities to compete for the starting Tailback gig.

Moreno was selected with the 12th pick in the NFL Draft, which is significant considering the shape their Defense was in last year.  He has the strength to run between the tackles, the speed to get outside, and the hands to catch the ball out of the backfield.  He’ll have to show he can pick up the blitz and he could be a three-down back eventually.  He’ll be pushed by fellow newcomer Correll Buckhalter, but Buck has been an career backup with a history of knee injuries, so I wouldn’t count on him to have too heavy of a workload.

Playing in the AFC West, Denver has some nice matchups.  They face Cincinnati, Cleveland, and Oakland to start the season, so it’s important he win the starting job by then.  He has another nice three game stretch starting in Week 13 when the Broncos face the Chiefs, and going into the fantasy playoffs when they face Indianapolis and Oakland again.  It’s not all a walk in the park though as Denver takes on New England (Week 4), Baltimore (Week 8), Pittsburgh (Week 9), Washington (Week 10), New York Giants (Week 12), and Philadelphia (Week 16).

If you’ve drafted already, perhaps you were able to sneak him a little later, but now that he’s signed he’ll likely go in the third or fourth round of fantasy drafts.  I’m expecting 1200 total yards and 8 TDs with 45 receptions.

We finish the Running Back previews with the RBs that will fill out your bench or be the guys you grab of the waiver wire.

Leon Washington/Shonn Greene, New York Jets - The Jets will operate the newly popular three-headed monster with Thomas Jones, Washington and Greene.  Leon Washington will have a heavier workload as the team will look to get the ball in the playmaker’s hands.  He can score from anywhere on the field on a run, pass, or return.  Shonn Greene, is the Jets’ RB of the future.  If the team struggles, the future may come sooner rather than later as the Jets get Greene acclimated to the NFL.  Unless you’re in a keeper league, Washington is the more attractive option.

Laurence Maroney/Sammy Morris/Fred Taylor/Kevin Faulk, New England Patriots – What to make of this mess?  The Patriots are so tough to read.  All the RBs are capable of delivering, but which one holds the best fantasy value?  Talk about a loaded question.  Kevin Faulk is probably the best bet in PPR leagues.  Fred Taylor is my pick for standard leagues.  Sammy Morris in TD heavy.  Maroney is the wildcard because if he can stay healthy, he’s young enough and talented enough to be their top back.  It may be best to avoid this mess all together.

Chester Taylor, Minnesota Vikings – Normally I would rank Chester higher, but I think the Vikings are going to allow Percy Harvin to steal some of his work.  Unless Adrian Peterson gets hurt, Chester has limited fantasy value.

Ricky Williams, Miami Dolphins – Ricky is 32 now. Though he hasn’t carried a heavy workload for a number of years, how much can you trust a Running Pack with his mileage?  Ronnie Brown is another year removed from his knee injury, and one would think Pat White would soak up some of his rushing yardage.
Jerious Norwood, Atlanta Falcons – Norwood is a guy to keep an eye on.  The Falcons gave Michael Turner an extremely heavy workload last year.  If Turner struggles or is injured, Norwood will see an increase in minutes.

Earnest Graham, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Though Ward will likely be the feature Back, Earnest Graham should still have a solid role with the Bucs.  Goal line duties should be his, as well as short yardage situations, and when the Bucs need a Closer.

T.J. Duckett, Seattle Seahwaks – Duckett only has value in TD heavy leagues.

Correll Buckhalter, Denver Broncos
– The longer that Knowshon Moreno holds out, the better the chances that Buckhalter gets early looks.  He’s not going to give you major production, but he can get the job done when given the opportunity.
Justin Fargas/Michael Bush, Oakland Raiders – Unless Darren McFadden suffers an injury, the starting Tailback job is his.  Fargas will still get some touches, but his brief run of fantasy relevance appears to be over.  Bush is third on the depth chart and is only worth considering if he beats out Fargas somehow or an injury occurs

Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Royals – Jamaal Charles will get his opportunities, as he is a great change of pace to LJ’s style. If LJ gets hurt or suspended again Jamaal’s stock would soar. 

Andre Brown, New York Giants – Andre Brown will form the third part of the triple-headed monster for the Giants.  Brandon Jacobs will be the lead Back and goal line guy.  Bradshaw will serve as the primary backup, and Brown will learn the system and get a small workload.

Jerome Harrison, Cleveland Browns – Harrison is an electric Back capable of taking the ball to the house on any given play.  He is too big of a playmaker to keep on the sidelines.  If Jamal Lewis struggles, Harrison could see an increase in touches.

Maurice Morris, Detroit Lions - Morris will garner some carries behind Kevin Smith for Detroit.  He won’t put up huge numbers, even if there is an injury, but he’s a good football player who will contribute when given the chance.

Brandon Jackson, Green Bay Packers – 2007 second-round draft pick by the Pack serves as Ryan Grant’s backup and third down back.  He should have a fair amount of receptions, which gives him some value in PPR leagues.  His overall value is tied to Ryan Grant’s health though.
Tashard Choice, Dallas Cowboys – Choice filled in admirably for the Cowboys at the end of last year, but finds himself third on the depth chart.  He’ll get some work, but won’t have much fantasy value unless there is an injury to Marion Barber or Felix Jones.

Ladell Betts, Washington Redskins – If the Redskins have any brains, they will utilize Betts a lot more in 2009.  They ran Clinton Portis to the ground, which made no sense considering they had a capable backup in Betts.  Washington’s Defense is going to be nasty and I can see Portis and Betts forming a solid 1-2 punch to wear teams down and grind out victories.

Fred Jackson/Dominic Rhodes, Buffalo Bills – This duo will have a chance to shine early as Marshawn Lynch spends three games in the Principal’s Office with a dunce hat on.  Of the two Jackson has more fantasy value since he’s been there.  All three backs can run and catch, and they will all get touches every week.  After the three game suspension is up, there isn’t much value for Jackson and Rhodes unless Marshawn acts up again.

Mewelde Moore, Pittsburgh Steelers - Mewelde will only be a fantasy factor if Willie Parker or Rashard Mendenhall go down.

These RBs come with a little more uncertainty, which is why I wouldn’t necessarily want to count on them as my primary backup.
Felix Jones, Dallas Cowboys – If Tashard Choice didn’t run so well at the end of last year, Felix would probably be a RB3.  As it stands the Cowboys have three very capable Backs and unless there is an injury to Marion Barber or Choice, Felix Jones will just have to occupy a spot on the bench.  The name of the game for Jones is speed so unless he breaks one, you won’t get a ton of production from him.  I would expect him to be targeted more frequently in the passing game as he had just two receptions last year.  If he can catch a couple passes a game, perhaps he can be worthy of a flex starter in PPR leagues.  His best matchups appear to be Denver in Week 4, KC in Week 5, Oakland in Week 12, and New Orleans in Week 15.

Julius Jones, Seattle Seahawks – Perhaps JJ should be ranked higher, but I just don’t trust him.  He has yet to show he can handle a full load and he doesn’t reach the end zone.  He did very little out of the backfield last year, which doesn’t even give him much of a bump in PPR leagues.  T.J. Duckett will handle the red zone duties and handle the Closer role.  Second-year back Justin Forsett will likely handle some of the carries available because of Maurice Morris’ departure.  At the end of the day I don’t see JJ with more than 200 carries.  His best matchups are in Weeks 1 & 12 vs. the Rams, Weeks 6 & 10 vs. the Cardinals, and Week 9 against Detroit.

Darren Sproles, San Diego Chargers – Sproles will have solid numbers, but it will be unsure how many touches he’ll get week to week.  If he doesn’t break a long one, you’re likely going to be stuck with under 50 yards of total offense.  Of course if LT gets hurt it’s a different story. Sproles will be a hot commodity after the way he finished the season so it’s likely he’s gone before I’m ready to take him.  His best matchups are in Weeks 1 & 8 against Oakland, Weeks 6 & 11 against Denver, Weeks 7 & 12 against KC, Week 13 against Cleveland, and Week 15 against Cincinnati.

Rashard Mendenhall, Pittsburgh Steelers - Willie Parker is in a contract year so if the Steelers are going to give Mendenhall the opportunity to prove that he can handle the load.  He would be a more reliable backup RB option if the Steelers didn’t have Mewelde Moore, who is an near perfect Third Down RB.  Mendenhall should get around ten carries a game, and will likely be given a chance to handle goal line duties.  The Steelers have plenty of good matchups against Cincinnati in Weeks 3 & 10, Cleveland in Weeks 6 & 14, Detroit in Week 5, Denver in Week 9, Kansas City in Week 11, and Oakland in Week 13.

Donald Brown, Indianaolis Colts - It’s pretty clear that the Joseph Addai cannot carry the load without a solid running mate.  He’s just too injury prone.  Dominic Rhodes has moved on to Buffalo, which opens a spot for Donald Brown, Indianapolis’ first round pick, to contribute right away.  There is a decent chance that Brown could even supplant Addai as the starter, which would skyrocket his fantasy value.  His best matchups come in Week 3 against Arizona, Week 7 against St. Louis, and Week 14 against Denver.

Tim Hightower, Arizona Cardinals -  Hightower will have tougher competition this yearfor the starting gig as Beanie Wells is better than Edge at this stage in his career.  Even if Beanie gets the bulk of the carries, Hightwower should still be a threat in the red zone.  His best matchups come against St. Louis in Weeks 11 & 16 and Detroit in Week 15. 

LeSean McCoy, Philadelphia Eagles -  Brian Westbrook has become such an injury risk that you have to make sure you have plenty of solid RB options if you use an early pick on him.  One of those option could be his new teammate, LeSean McCoy.  McCoy is a complete Back that should gain yards on the ground and through the air.  If Westy goes down with an injury, McCoy gets a serious bump.  Even if Westbrook does stay healthy, there will be plenty of opportunies for McCoy.  His top matchups are against New Orleans in Week 2, Kansas City in Week 3, Oakland in Week 6, and Denver in Week 16.

Ahmad Bradshaw, New York Giants - With Derrick Ward moving on to Tampa Bay, Bradshaw should move up to the backup role in the three-headed monster (with lead back Brandon Jacobs and Rookie Andre Brown filling Bradshaw’s former role).  I doubt that Bradshaw can run for 1000 yards like his predecessor unless Brandon Jacobs is sidelined for a significant amount of time.  The best opportunities to use Bradshaw appear to be in Week 4 vs. KC, Week 5 vs. Oakland, Week 6 vs. New Orleans, Week 7 against Arizona, or Week 12 against Denver.

Willis McGahee, Baltimore Ravens - The last time we saw Willis McGahee, he was taking a vicious hit in the AFC title game.  McGahee easily had the worst season of his career last year, and it looks like he’s yielded the starting gig to ray Rice.  He likely won’t even have goal line duties as Le’Ron McClain will likely serve in that capacity.  What does that leave for McGahee?  About ten carries a game.  If Rice or McClain get injured his stock will rise, but it appears McGahee’s fantasy run has ended.

Now that we went through the majority of the #1 & #2 Running Backs, it’s time to look at RB3s.  These Backs are ones you would use in a flex position (if you have one in your league format), as bye week replacements, or spot starters based on matchups.  If you load up elsewhere early, they could serve as RB2.

Derrick Ward, Tampa Bay -  Ward ran for 1025 yards and 2 TDs on 182 carries for an amazing 5.6 yards per carry.  He added 41 receptions for 384 yards.  Not bad for a RB that didn’t even start for his team.  He left the incredible Offensive Line that the Giants provide him, but he should get more touches.  Don’t expect him to get too many carries though as Earnest Graham and Cadillac Williams will likely be in the mix as well.  I can see Graham handing the red zone chances.  Ward’s best matchups appear to be against New Orleans in Weeks 11 & 16.  The rest of his schedule is pretty tough.  I expect Ward to produce 1200 total yards and 5 TDs.

Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens – Rice had decent production last year despite a limited role.  He had 454 yards on 107 carries (4.2 ypc) and added 273 yards on 33 receptions.  With Le’Ron McClain sliding over to Fullback, and McGahee moving to the backup role, Rice should get a much heavier workload in 2009.  Though McClain will get the ball at the strip and McGahee will get his touches, Rice should be a solid RB3, and even a nice RB2 in PPR leagues.  The Ravens have a some great matchups against Kansas City in Week 1, Cleveland in Weeks 3 & 10, Cincinnati in Weeks 5 & 9, Denver in Week 8.  Unfortunately they play the Raiders in Week 17.  Their fantasy playoff schedule starts off sweet with a game against Detroit.  Then they face the Bears and the Steelers.  If McGahee stays healthy, he’ll cut into Rice’s production, but I think he should be good for 1100 total yards, 4 TDs, and 55 receptions.

Larry Johnson, Kansas City Chiefs – Larry Johnson reported to training camp lighter, hoping improved conditioning will lead to a more successful 2009 season.  Even more than his weight, though, has been his attitude.  He has stayed out of the headlines.  He’s not going to return to his old form, but he should be able to build upon the 847 yards on an impressive 4.5 ypc last year.  He only scored 5 TDs, but with Tony Gonzalez gone, that number could easily doubt next year.  Jamaal Charles will push him for time, especially on third downs, but that could help to keep LJ fresh.  LJ is a back who could put up first round numbers, which is sweet considering you can get him in the third or fourth round.  He loses a cushy matchup with Denver in Week 17, but still faces Oakland in Weeks 2 & 10 and Denver in Week 13.  He does have some tough matchups early against Baltimore in Week 1, Philly in Week 3, NYG in Week 4, Washington in Week 6, and Pittsburgh in Week 11.  He’s a good Buy Low candidate if he gets off to a slow start because his fantasy playoff matchups against Buffalo, Cleveland, and Cincinnati are sweet.  There is a huge variance in the numbers LJ could produce.  I think he has 1100 total yards and 8 TDs.

LenDale White – Tennessee Titans – LenDale retired the LenWhale moniker (at least temporarily) by putting down the tequila.  Even though he’s in better shape, I don’t see LenDale having anything close to the year he had last year.  Let’s face it, 15 TD seasons don’t come along very often.  With Albert Haynesworth residing in Washington, will Tennessee’s Defense be good enough to suffocate teams and allow LenDale to slowly wear them down in the fourth quarter?  That could be a big reason why LenDale gets much fewer than the 2000 carries he had last year.  The Titans don’t really have any cakewalks on their schedule until Week 14 against the Rams.  It’s hard to use a guy in the fantasy playoffs when you’re not sure how many touches he’s going to get in the game.  LenDale is nice to own, but he’ll be tough to use unless Chris Johnson goes down.  I’m guessing LenDale has about 600 total yards with 10 TDs.

Darren McFadden – Oakland Raiders -  Run DMC had a pretty forgettable Rookie season thanks to a toe injury.  He had one monster week (164 yards. 1 TD vs. KC in Week 2) and one great week (10 carries for 38 yards, 2 TDs vs. Denver in Week 12).  He actually had more 50+ yard receiving games (3) than rushing (1).  Still, I believe he has too much talent to not have a much better Sophomore season.  He’ll be even more of an asset in PPR leagues, and I could see him throwing a couple passes this year to keep Defenses on their toes.  He has some good matchups this year against Kansas City in Weeks 2 & 10, Denver in Week 3 & 15, and Cincinnati in Week 11.  If you can get by the opening round of the fantasy playoffs against Washington, you’ll get the benefit of facing Denver and Cleveland in Weeks 15 & 16.  I’m predicting 1200 total yards and 8 TDs for McFadden.

Willie Parker – Pittsburgh Steelers – Willie Parker will be pushed by Rashard Mendenhall this year, but I think he’ll hold him off for the most part, assuming he stays healthy.  I just wouldn’t count on him for anything more than a bye week alternative or spot matchup Back.  Those matchups are Weeks 3 & 10 against Cincinnati, Weeks 6 & 14 vs. Cleveland, Week 5 against Detroit, Week 9 against Denver, Week 11 against KC, and Week 13 against Oakland.  I’m guessing Fast Willie has 1000 total yards and 6 TDs.

Jamal Lewis – Cleveland  Browns – Jamal Lewis turns 30 this month and though he managed another 1000 yard season, he appears to be on the decline.  He is going to be challenged for carries by Jerome Harrison and possibly Rookie James Davis.  They both can provide a burst that Jamal just can’t muster.  Mangini will try to limit the workload early as Jamal recovers from ankle surgery, which would be unfortunate because they have three games against soft run D’s in the first four weeks.  Minnesota (assuming Pat & Kevin Williams are suspended) in Week 1, Denver in Week 2, and Cincinnati in Week 4.  Later they face Detroit and Cincy in Weeks 11 & 12.  The Bengals actually have a pretty sweet fantasy playoff schedule with tilts against KC and Oakland in Weeks 15 & 16, though the Browns could be playing for the future by then.  I expect 700 yards and 6 TDs from Jamal in 2009.

Cedric Benson – Cincinnati Bengals – Cedric Benson was a fantasy hero last year with two 150+ total yard games in Weeks 15 & 16.  He managed just 3.5 ypc for the year though and his plodding style may not work as well considering they face Baltimore and Pittsburgh twice.  They do have some pretty nice matchups though against Denver in Week 1, Cleveland in Weeks 4 & 12, Oakland in Week 11, and Detroit in Week 13.  His fantasy playoffs heroics will be hard to repeat against Minnesota and San Diego, but he could have a big finish in Week 16 against KC.  I’m predicting 900 total yards and 6 TDs for Benson.

Thomas Jones running
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Thomas Jones is coming off an unbelievable year in which he ran for 1312 yards with 13 TDs, and added 36 receptions for 207 yards and 2 TDs.  Though he’s in great shape, he will turn 31 this year, which has typically been the beginning of the end for RBs.  He has carried a pretty heavy workload the past four seasons, which didn’t go unnoticed by the Jets as they drafted Shonn Greene from Iowa.  Also in the mix will be Leon Washington, who was electric (5.9 yards per carry) when he had the football last year.  Washington had 9 TDs (6 rushing, 2 receiving, 1 Kick Return).  I suspect Jones will have one more year to be the lead dog, but will be pushed out next year.  If the Jets struggle they could start planning for the future with more Greene for the Green & White.

The Jets have a pretty tough schedule playing in the AFC East along with tilts with Houston, Tennessee, Jacksonville, and Carolina.  Their fantasy playoff schedule consists of games against Tampa Bay, Atlanta, and Indianapolis, which shouldn’t prove too difficult.  It’s just a matter if he’s getting the bulk of the carries still when those games roll around.  My expectations have lowered of Jones, but he always seems to prove people wrong.  I’ll take my chances and figure him for 900 total yards and 6 TDs.

Beanie Wells
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Hopefully Beanie Wells’ ankle injury isn’t a sign of things to come for this talented back.  Not that I’m comparing him to Adrian Peterson, but they were both talented backs with injury history in college.  While Beanie will never reach the ceiling that All Day is setting, he could be a very solid back, especially with the pressure that their passing game puts on defenses.  The Cardinals were miserable in that department last year with Edgerrin James losing a step and Tim Hightower lacking explosiveness.  The addition of Beanie Wells should change that, should he stay healthy.  Before you start moving him too far up your draft board, remember that Tim Hightower was fairly effective in short yardage situations, and that the Cardinals will likely utilize him in that role to minimize the beating that Beanie takes.

The Cardinals have a fairly difficult regular season schedule with St. Louis (Week 11) looking like the only cream puff.  Where the Cardinals players are most valuable is the fantasy playoffs as they square off with San Franciso, Detroit, and St. Louis.  If Beanie can stay healthy I’m putting him on a 1150 total yard, 7 TD season.

Pierre Thomas running

Pierre Thomas has been a trendy pick in fantasy football leagues this year.  The hype train has finally let Reggie Bush off.  Pierre Thomas is the more complete Running Back and will take the lion’s share of the carries as well as the goal line duties.  He has bulked up to handle the beating that 100+ additional carries will bring.  He gave a glimpse of what he can do with regular touches last year in Weeks 11-16 when he averaged 112.83 yards (79.16 rushing) on 15.5 carries and 3.2 receptions with 9 TDs.  Reggie will still get his touches, but Pierre is clearly the feature back.

Reggie Bush Leaping
That doesn’t mean that Reggie Bush should be an afterthought.  If he can stay healthy, he is still one of the most explosive players in the league.  He will likely have more receiving yards than rushing yards.  He should have 70+ receptions to lead all Running Backs.  He will add a Punt Return for TD if he is given the opportunity, though at this point I would take that duty away for his health’s sake. 

In an offense like the Saints have matchups are almost irrelevant, but I’ll point out his favorable matchups against Detroit (Week 1) and St. Louis (Week 10) and his challenging ones against Philly (Week 2), the Giants (Week 6), Carolina (Week 9), New England (Week 12), and Washington (Week 13).  Their fantasy playoff schedule is Atlanta, Dallas, and Tampa Bay, which is fairly difficult.

Pierre Thomas will likely go in the second or third round in your fantasy draft.  I expect him to be very productive with 1400+ total yards and 10+ TDs.  Meanwhile, Reggie Bush should have around 1100 total yards (400 rushing, 700 receiving) with 8 total TDs.  Bush will be drafted in the third or fourth round, with a significant bump in PPR leagues.

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Marshawn Lynch tackled
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Well, Marshawn Lynch’s three-games suspension was upheld so you’re looking at 12 games of fantasy production from Beast Mode.  The good news is he’ll be there at the end of the season when it counts the most.  The suspension should drop him in drafts to at least the third round so he could end up being a great value.  There are some major concerns with Lynch though, other than the suspension.  The offseason addition of Dominic Rhodes means that the Bills will have three capable RBs, along with Fred Jackson.  While Lynch should remain the lead back, clearly the other two will cut into his production.  As long as he gets the ball at the stripe, he should be fine.  That’s where the other problem lies.  The Bills also added Terrell Owens, who puts up TDs in a hurry.  If Lynch is sharing his yardage with Jackson and Rhodes and TDs with T.O., that diminishes his fantasy value dramatically.

Lynch misses one of the Bills’ best matchups in Week 3 when they face New Orleans.  Playing in the AFC East he has a pretty tough schedule.  They also draw Carolina, Houston, Tennessee, and Jacksonville.  They open the fantasy playoffs with a favorable matchup against Kansas City, followed by New England and Atlanta.

The odds seem to be stacked against Lynch this year.  He’s missing three games, will share yards and TDs, and if he messes up one more time, he’ll be done for the year.  Plus, if Buffalo is successful without him, they may ease him back to the rotation slowly.  He’s a tough one to put numbers to, but I’m guessing he has 1000 total yards and 6 TDs.

kevin Smith running
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Kevin Smith had an unbelievable year considering he played for a winless team.  He had 976 yards rushing with 8 TDs.  He added 39 receptions for 286 yards.  Plus he didn’t have more than 16 carries until Week 10.  From Week 10 to Week 17 he averaged 99.4 total yards per game and half a TD.  With Matthew Stafford running the show at some point, the Lions will lean more heavily on Smith with both the run and as a safety net in the passing game.  The Lions also added Tight End Brandon Pettigrew, who should help pave the way for a successful 2009 campaign for Kevin Smith.

Kevin Smith should get off to a nice start with New Orleans in Week 1.  If the Vikings’ Williams Wall (Pat & Kevin) lost their appeal, they’ll miss the Week 2 tilt with the Lions, which would bode well for Smith.  He also has some nice matchups in Week 8 against St. Louis, Week 11 against Cleveland, and Week 13 against Cincinnati.  His fantasy playoff opener is against Baltimore, which is tough, but if you have a bye or are able to get by, you’ll be in good shape with matchups against Arizona and San Francisco.

Smith will go in the late second or third round in most fantasy drafts, with a bump in PPR leagues.  I’m expecting him to have 1400 total yards and 8 TDs.

Joseph Addai
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Joseph Addai was one of the biggest fantasy disappointments in 2008.  His total yardage dropped from 1406 in 2006 and 1436 in 2007 to 750 (544 rushing, 206 receiving) in 2008.  His TD production went from 15 in 2007 to 8.  His yards per carry dropped for a third straight year as it was 4.8 in 2006, 4.1 in 2007, and 3.5 last year.  The Colts reacted to his decline by drafting Donald Brown in the first round of the 2009 NFL Draft.  While that doesn’t signal the end of Joseph Addai’s fantasy reign, it’s not a good sign.  Addai needs to show that he can be healthy and productive.

He’ll have some opportunities to do just that as he faces Arizona in Week 3 and St. Louis in Week 7.  When the Colts’ offense is firing on all cylinders the matchup almost become irrelevant.  His fantasy playoff schedule consist of Denver, Jacksonville, and the Jets. 

If he stays healthy, Addai could put up 1200 total yards and 8-10 TDs.  I’m afraid the odds of that happening aren’t great though.

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