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Time for another Fourth & 1 Roundtable Debate.   It’s my week to provide the topic.  Here goes.

This Week’s Topic
Which unheralded player is going to play the part of Billy Volek or Drew Bennett and make a huge splash in the opening round of the fantasy playoffs?

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Ryan Lester of
www.lesterslegends.com:
A player that I’m loving this week is
Jamaal Charles. He’s averaging 97.3 total yards and a score in his  last four games since taking over for Larry Johnson. Not only has he been hot, but he faces Buffalo’s run defense that ranks dead last with 172.1 yards allowed per game. They have also allowed 16 rushing TDs, which ranks 30th.

Another player I like this week is Joe Flacco. He is facing the Detroit’s pass defense that ranks dead last in both passing yards allowed (274.8 per game) and passing TDs allowed (28). If you have Flacco paired up with Jay Cutler (vs. GB), Kyle Orton (@ INDY), Carson Palmer (@ MINN), or Eli Manning (vs. PHI), you may want to roll with Joe this week.

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Hatty of www.hattywaiverwireguru.com:
I think Vince Young makes a big splash going into playoffs with his light schedule: Rams, Dolphins, Chargers, then Seahawks.  If you have been frustrated recently by your QB’s lack of performance then turn to Vince to carry you through the playoffs.  If you are in a monster league and need to dig a bit further then go after Brady Quinn for week 15 against the Chiefs then week 17 against the Jaguars.

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Kurt Turner of www.top-fantasy-football.com:
As Tab Bamford points out in his Playoff QB Primer Bruce Gradkowski (WAS, @ DEN, @ CLE) could arise to the occasion. “The Raiders are throwing the ball all over the place and Gradkowski’s been successful doing it. Washington’s not as bad as paper would tell you they were on Sunday, and the Broncos and Browns could get you some points in critical playoff matchups. If you’re sitting on a quarterback with a tough championship matchup (Orton, Hasselbeck, Roethlisberger), he might be a solid value add this week for the stretch.”

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Smitty of www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com:
If you’re looking for an unheralded hero in Week 14, consider giving Steelers WR Mike Wallace the green light for your third wide receiver spot. He shouldn’t be anyone’s fantasy WR2 heading into round one of the 2009 fantasy football playoffs, but with Hines Ward a long-shot to play in Week 14 (Thursday night game), Mike Wallace could see a grip of targets against the Browns. Wallace is a rookie, and he has a lot of learning to do, but he has shown flashes of brilliance at times this season. In Week 3, Wallace pulled in seven passes for 102 yards, and he also looked good in Weeks 5-9 (bye in Week 8), where he scored touchdown in three out of those four games. Take advantage of the match-up and the situation if you own Wallace and expect a a good 4-5 receptions, 70-80 yards and a score in this one. This kid has a bright future in Pittsburgh if he can stay healthy and refine his game.

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Bryce McRae of www.kffl.com:
The Washington Redskins stole my thunder a bit by naming Quinton Ganther their starter at running back; he’s still works for this question … AND he should still be available in your fantasy league.

With Clinton Portis (concussion) out and now done for the year, Ganther had been sharing part of the workload carrying the ball with Rock Cartwright and Marcus Mason. The Rock had started the last two games; he totaled just 77 yards on 29 carries, though. Mason has received a few token carries in each game but with 14 yards combined and just 33 yards on 12 carries this year, he hasn’t really accomplished anything for the ‘Skins.

Which brings us to Ganther. His workload has increased in each of the last two games; he received the ball five times for 32 yards in Week 11 (6.4 yards per carry) and eight times for 46 yards last week (5.8 yards per carry). He’s 5-foot-9 and 214 pounds and can be a bull in the running game. Offensive coordinator Sherman Smith has familiarity with Ganther from their time on the Tennessee Titans together.

Ganther will get his first taste of starter’s work against the Oakland Raiders, too; they aren’t exactly a top-notch run D. His final three matchups are tough, but quarterback Jason Campbell has looked better behind center, giving teams something to think about fromWashington’s receiving game. It isn’t a ton, but it helps.

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RC of www.junkyardjake.com:
Rookie
Mohamed Massaquoi has been rather inconsistent, but I think he has a chance to be a week 14 fantasy playoff hero against the struggling Steelers secondary.  Pittsburgh has been alarmingly bad against some awful offensive units over the past three weeks.  They gave up 119 yards to Chris Chambers, and let Kansas City QB Matt Cassell throw for 248 yards and 2 TDs in week 11.  Then last week against the Oakland Raiders, Pittsburgh somehow permitted Bruce Gradkowski to throw for 308 yards and 3 TDs as they ended up on the wrong end of perhaps the most shocking upset of the year.  If the Steelers’ recent defensive trend of folding against the worst offensive teams in the league holds up this week, you might be glad to have Mohamed Massaquoi in your lineup.

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Jacob of www.fantasyfootballfools.com:
Injuries have opened the door for many unheralded players in the fantasy football playoffs this year, including running backs like Cleveland’s Jerome Harrison and Kansas City’s Jamaal Charles, but in Week 14, my pick to make a splash is San Francisco quarterback Alex Smith.

The San Francisco 49ers have catered to Alex Smith’s skills with a spread offense similar to the one he ran in college, and within this new offense, Smith has taken advantage of receiving options like Vernon Davis, Michael Crabtree, and Josh Morgan. In Week 14, Smith faces the Cardinals’ secondary, a unit that likes to take chances and allows plenty of scoring through the air.

According to FF Today, Arizona ranks ninth in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, allowing an average of 20.2 points to quarterbacks each week.

Coming off a 310-yard, two-touchdown performance in Seattle, I believe Smith will make a game of it and do his best to keep up with the Cardinals explosive air attack. Chances are good that he scores a place among the top 10 at quarterback once again.

If your top fantasy quarterback is bound for trouble this week, and you can’t get your hands on Joe Flacco, who faces the Lions, take a chance on Smith. Best of luck in the playoffs.

4th Down Marker

Hatty of www.hattywaiverwireguru.com was responsible for this week’s Fourth & 1 Roundtable debate topic.

Click here to see the full article.

This Week’s Topic:
Waivers are about to close in some leagues for the playoff’s; who should we be grabbing for the final push?

My Response:
With the fantasy playoffs in sight, I begin to align my fantasy defenses to ensure I have favorable match-ups for the most important games of the year. I try to get a core group of skill positons (QB, RB, WR), carry one Tight End, and use any extra roster spots on quality defenses.

Here’s a look at some of the defenses to grab for the fantasy playoffs:

Arizona: @SF, @DET, STL
Houston: SEA, @STL, @MIA
Cincinnati: Week 16 vs. KC
Dallas: Week 16 @WAS
Denver: Week 15 vs. OAK
New York Jets: Week 14 @TB
San Francisco: Week 16 vs. DET

Panelists
RC of www.junkyardjake.com
Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com
Paul Greco of www.fantasypros911.com
Bryce McRae of www.kffl.com
Kurt Turner of www.top-fantasy-football.com
Eric Stashin of www.rotoprofessor.com
Lee of www.footballjabber.com
Smitty of www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com
Jacob of www.fantasyfootballfools.com
Hatty of www.hattywaiverwireguru.com

4th Down Marker
RC of www.junkyardjake.com was responsible for this week’s Fourth & 1 Roundtable debate topic.

Click here to see the full article.

This Week’s Topic:
Thinking back to the players that you targeted in drafts at the beginning of the season, which 1 or 2 players have been the biggest disappointments?   What kind of additional information do you think you could use to avoid selecting this type of underachieving player in 2010 ?

My Response:
A couple of players that I targeted in fantasy drafts this year were Calvin Johnson and Carolina’s Steve Smith. Both Wide Receivers were coming off of big years and came with high expectations.

However, a closer look at both of their situations would have revealed some red flags. Calvin Johnson had little talent around him on offense to take away some of the pressure that he faces from week to week. He also had to rely on an unproven Rookie QB in Matthew Stafford or washed up Daunte Culpepper. When you consider that he was being drafted ahead of Reggie Wayne, Marques Colston, Wes Welker, and Vincent Jackson it just makes you cringe.

There were warning signs for Steve Smith as well, that many chose to ignore. First of all he plays for a run-first offense. Plus, Carolina did not provide him a legitimate complimentary receiver. They don’t have a solid #2 WR, slot receiver, or even a pass-catching Tight End. It’s Smith and that’s it. Finally, the way Jake Delhomme imploded in the playoffs, especially when the Panther didn’t solidify their QB depth, should have been the last straw.

Next year, when I am investing an early pick on a Wide Receiver I am going to make sure he has a stable QB.

Panelists
RC of www.junkyardjake.com
Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com
Paul Greco of www.fantasypros911.com
Bryce McRae of www.kffl.com
Kurt Turner of www.top-fantasy-football.com
Eric Stashin of www.rotoprofessor.com
Lee of www.footballjabber.com
Smitty of www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com
Jacob of www.fantasyfootballfools.com
Hatty of www.hattywaiverwireguru.com

4th Down Marker
Eric of www.rotoprofessor.com was responsible for this week’s Fourth & 1 Roundtable Debate topic.

Click here to see the full article.

This Week’s Topic:
What adjustments do you make to your fantasy strategy in the second half with games now being played on Thursdays?

My Response:
My first thought was the short week was hard on Running Backs since they take such a beating. I decided to look back to last year’s games to see how the RBs fared.

Week 10
Jamal Lewis: 19-60, TD (3.2 ypc)
I disregarded Denver since they didn’t have a consistent running game.

Week 11
Thomas Jones: 30-104, TD (3.5 ypc)
I disregarded New England since they didn’t have a consistent running game.

Week 12
Cedric Benson: 16-35 (2.2 ypc)
I disregarded Pittsburgh since they didn’t have a consistent running game.

Week 13
Chris Johnson: 16-125, 2 TDs (7.8 ypc)
LenDale White: 23-106, 2 TDs (4.6 ypc)
Kevin Smith: 12-22 (1.8 ypc)

Week 14
LaDainian Tomlinson: 25-91, TD (3.6 ypc)
I disregarded Oakland since they didn’t have a consistent running game.

Week 15
Pierre Thomas: 22-87, TD (4.0 ypc)
Matt Forte: 11-34, TD (3.1 ypc)

Week 16
Maurice Jones-Drew: 20-91 (4.6 ypc)
I disregarded Indy since they didn’t have a consistent running game.

At first glance I noticed that the majority of the RBs had a low yards per carry ratio. I also noticed that a good portion of them score anyway. Judging by these numbers I would stick with my top backs in standard leagues and look for replacements in heavy yardage leagues.

I also decided to look at QB play.
Week 10:  Cutler 447 yards, 3 TDs; Quinn 239 yards, 2 TDs
Week 11:  Favre 258 yards, 2 TDs; Cassel 400 yards, 3 TDs
Week 12:  Big Ben 243 yards, TD; Cincy didn’t count
Week 13:
TENN-DET game didn’t count
Romo 331 yards, 3 TDs; Hasselbeck 287 yards
McNabb 260 yards, 4 TDs; Warner 235 yards, 3 TDs
Week 14:  Rivers 214 yards, 3 TDs; Oakland doesn’t count
Week 15:  Brees 232 yards, 2 TDs; Chicago doesn’t count
Week 16:  Peyton Manning 364 yards, 3 TDs, Garrard 329 yards, TD

Now we’re talking. Almost every QB that mattered had a monster game during the short week. Looking back to last year as guidance, I am starting QB that plays on Thursday whenever the situation arises.

Panelists
Junkyard Jake of www.junkyardjake.com
Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com
Paul Greco of www.fantasypros911.com
Bryce McRae of www.kffl.com
Kurt Turner of www.top-fantasy-football.com
Eric Stashin of www.rotoprofessor.com
Lee of www.footballjabber.com
Smitty of www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com
Jacob of www.fantasyfootballfools.com
Hatty of www.hattywaiverwireguru.com

4th Down Marker
Jacob of www.fantasyfootballfools.com was responsible for this week’s Fourth & 1 Roundtable Debate topic. Click here to see the full article.

This Week’s Topic:
Looking ahead at the fantasy football playoffs (Weeks 14-17), what one player would you want to own during those weeks and what one player would you want to unload before Week 14?

My Response:
Looking ahead to the fantasy playoffs there are a couple of Wide Receivers that I would love to own, and one that I want no parts of.

The WRs that I love for the fantasy playoffs are Larry Fitzgerald and Andre Johnson. Aside from being two of the best WRs in the game, there are some other reasons that make them so valuable when fantasy owners need them the most.

First of all, neither team is running away with their division meaning they will likely go full tilt the whole season as they vie for a playoff spot. While WRs like Reggie Wayne and Marques Colston are in the driver seat in their respective divisions, Fitz and AJ are not. It’s conceivable that Wayne and Colston get a reduced workload in your league’s championship game, you don’t have to worry about that with Fitz or AJ.

They also have favorable schedules in the fantasy playoffs. Fitz plays at San Francisco, at Detroit, and finishes at home against St. Louis. Week 14 could be tough for him, but the final two games could bring the monster performances you expected out of Fitz when you drafted him.

Andre Johnson schedules is also a breeze. He starts off at home against Seattle, travels to St. Louis, and finishes at Miami. Obviously I don’t like his championship opponent as much as Fitz, but if he leads you to the title game, you’re in the money anyway.

On the flip side, the player I don’t want on my team come fantasy playoffs time is Carolina’s Steve Smith. They start off on the road at New England. Weather is very much a factor in New England in December, which doesn’t bode well for members of the passing game. Next up is Minnesota at home. The pressure that Jared Allen and company put on opposing QBs could make for a long day. Finally, he finished up against the Giants on the road in the swirling winds.

Smith faces three of the best teams in the league, two in what are likely to be bad-weather games, during the fantasy playoffs. Not to mention he plays in a run-first offense. If I were a Steve Smith owner and had championship aspirations, I’d try to move him now that he’s coming off a pair of good games.

Panelists
Junkyard Jake of www.junkyardjake.com
Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com
Paul Greco of www.fantasypros911.com
Bryce McRae of www.kffl.com
Kurt Turner of www.top-fantasy-football.com
Eric Stashin of www.rotoprofessor.com
Lee of www.footballjabber.com
Smitty of www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com
Jacob of www.fantasyfootballfools.com
Hatty of
www.hattywaiverwireguru.com

4th Down Marker

Smitty of
www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com
was responsible for this week’s Fourth & 1 Roundtable Debate topic. Click here to see the full article.

This Week’s Topic:
Who is your biggest “buy-low” candidate heading into Weeks 8-16?

My Response:
There are several attractive “buy low” candidates out there.  LT is coming on.  Carolina’s Steve Smith finally had a good game.  Greg Jennings and Santonio Holmes aren’t getting in the end zone.

The player that intrigues me the most though is Jason Witten.  Witten has just 312 yards in six games (52 yards/game) with 1 TD.  Not exactly elite Tight End numbers.  It’s not from lack of involvement in the passing game though.  He has 33 receptions, which is good for an average of 5.5 per game.  With the emergence of Miles Austin, Witten should find seams in the middle of the field as they look to take away the deep threat.

There are a few reasons I think Witten could come available.  Obviously whoever drafted Witten used an early pick on him.  They aren’t exactly getting the return on investment they anticipated.  There’s a good chance that Witten owners are struggling because of that.

Another reason he could be available is the emergence of several Tight Ends that were initially drafted to be backups.  Vernon Davis, Visanthe Shiancoe, Heath Miller, and Brent Celek are a few TEs that have gained the confidence of fantasy owners.  If they feel they can upgrade in another area, Witten could come available.

He still carries a big name so you’ll still have to pay to get him.  The price tag is just lower right now than it’s been in years.

Panelists
Junkyard Jake of www.junkyardjake.com
Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com
Paul Greco of www.fantasypros911.com
Bryce McRae of www.kffl.com
Kurt Turner of www.top-fantasy-football.com
Eric Stashin of www.rotoprofessor.com
Lee of www.footballjabber.com
Smitty of www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com
Jacob of www.fantasyfootballfools.com

4th Down Marker
Time for another Fourth & 1 Roundtable Debate. Bryce McRae of KFFL.com came up with this week’s topic. Click here to see the full article.

This Week’s Topic:
Which two players are you stashing for the second half? Why?

My Response:

The two players that I am stashing away for the second half are  Chris “Beanie” Wells and Michael Crabtree.  Both have had tumultuous starts to their promising NFL careers, but I feel that once they get up to speed should be solid fantasy contributors.

Beanie Wells is more likely to make an impact this year.  He hasn’t been given an opportunity to show what he can do, initially because of his contract situation, and later because of injuries.  He also had some fumbling issues, which lost the trust of Ken Whisenhunt.  I feel he’s too talented of a back to sit on the sidelines.  Eventually he’s going to get a chance at the stripe and deliver.  Once he gets his confidence back, along with Whisenhunt’s, the sky is the limit.  That’s assuming that the Cardinals attempt to balance their offense a bit.  They were at their best last season in the playoffs when ran the ball more.  I believe they will get back to that at some point this year.  When they do, I want to have Beanie on my roster.

The other high-profile Rookie I would stash is Michael Crabtree. I know he missed a ton of time, probably too much to make an impact this year, but I believe in his skill set and think he’ll get an opportunity down the stretch to show what he’s capable of.

I wouldn’t consider him anywhere near the level of Randy Moss, but I do see some similarities. Both believed they were wronged in the NFL Draft, and I think Crabtree shares the same motivation to prove everyone wrong who doubted him. It’s not like the 49ers have major roadblocks in his way either.  Isaac Bruce and Josh Morgan aren’t high-end starters.

His role will be limited initially, but by season’s end, there is a great chance he works his way into the starting lineup. Who knows? Perhaps, he works his way into your fantasy starting lineup as well.

Panelists
Junkyard Jake of www.junkyardjake.com
Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com
Paul Greco of www.fantasypros911.com
Bryce McRae of www.kffl.com
Kurt Turner of www.top-fantasy-football.com
Eric Stashin of www.rotoprofessor.com
Lee of www.footballjabber.com
Smitty of www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com
Jacob of www.fantasyfootballfools.com


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